Pulling Back 3.6% This Week, China Everbright Bank's SHSE:601818) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
Pulling Back 3.6% This Week, China Everbright Bank's SHSE:601818) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. For example, the China Everbright Bank Company Limited (SHSE:601818) share price is up 26% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 5.4% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 9.1% higher than it was three years ago.
如果您想在股市中复利增值,可以通过购买指数基金来实现。但投资者可以通过选择市场表现优于大盘的公司来提高回报。例如,光大银行股份有限公司(SHSE:601818)在过去一年中的股价上涨了26%,明显超过了约5.4%的市场回报(不包括分红派息)。这是我们标准下的良好表现!长期回报则不如预期,股价仅比三年前高出9.1%。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 3.6%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由于长期表现良好,但最近回落了3.6%,让我们检查一下基本面是否与股价相匹配。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
虽然有效市场假说仍然会被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Over the last twelve months, China Everbright Bank actually shrank its EPS by 15%.
在过去的十二个月中,光大银行的每股收益实际上下降了15%。
Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.
考虑到股价上涨,我们怀疑市场在用每股收益来衡量进展。因此,目前投资者似乎更看重除每股收益之外的其他指标。
Absent any improvement, we don't think a thirst for dividends is pushing up the China Everbright Bank's share price. Revenue actually dropped 6.6% over last year. Usually that correlates with a lower share price, but let's face it, the gyrations of the market are sometimes only as clear as mud.
没有任何改善,我们认为对分红的渴望并没有推动光大银行的股价。营业收入实际上比去年下降了6.6%。通常这与股价下跌相关,但事实是,市场的波动有时就像泥水一样难以捉摸。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。
China Everbright Bank is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling China Everbright Bank stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
光大银行是一个知名的股票,拥有众多分析师的覆盖,表明对未来增长有一定的可见性。如果您打算买入或卖出光大银行的股票,您应该查看这份免费的报告,其中展示了分析师对未来利润的共识预期。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Everbright Bank's TSR for the last 1 year was 33%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报和股价回报是非常重要的。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而总股东回报包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价资本募资或拆分的利益。从某种程度上来说,总股东回报提供了更全面的股票回报情况。实际上,光大银行过去1年的总股东回报为33%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。公司的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's nice to see that China Everbright Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Everbright Bank that you should be aware of.
很高兴看到光大银行的股东在过去一年中获得了33%的总股东回报。而这包括了分红。由于一年期的总股东回报率优于五年期的总股东回报率(后者为每年3%),这似乎表明该股票的表现最近有所改善。鉴于股价动量保持强劲,值得更仔细地关注该股票,以免错失机会。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他因素更为关键。例如,我们发现了1个需要注意的光大银行的警示信号。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,你可能会通过其他地方寻找一个绝佳的投资机会。所以请查看这个我们预计将增长每股收益的公司免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。