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Is JINHUI LIQUOR (SHSE:603919) Using Too Much Debt?

Is JINHUI LIQUOR (SHSE:603919) Using Too Much Debt?

金徽酒(SHSE:603919)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  01/08 12:45

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that JINHUI LIQUOR Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603919) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯提到,'我担心的不是股票价格波动,而是永久性损失的可能性……这是我认识的每个实际投资者都担心的风险。' 当我们思考一家公司有多危险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到金徽酒股份有限公司(SHSE:603919)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险高。

When Is Debt A Problem?

何时债务成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务对企业有帮助,直到企业在偿还债务时遇到困难,这可能是因为缺乏新资本或自由现金流。资本主义的一个重要方面是"创造性破坏"的过程,在这个过程中,失败的企业会被他们的银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须在低廉的股价下稀释股东以控制债务。尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司管理债务相对良好,并使其获益。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,首先会一起看现金和债务。

What Is JINHUI LIQUOR's Net Debt?

金徽酒的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 JINHUI LIQUOR had CN¥23.5m of debt, an increase on CN¥14.6m, over one year. But it also has CN¥771.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥747.8m net cash.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但截至2024年9月,金徽酒的债务为2350万元人民币,比一年前的1460万元有所增加。但它还有77130万元人民币的现金可以抵消这笔债务,也就是说它的净现金为74780万元人民币。

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SHSE:603919 Debt to Equity History January 8th 2025
SHSE:603919 债务与股本历史 2025年1月8日

A Look At JINHUI LIQUOR's Liabilities

看看金徽酒的负债情况

The latest balance sheet data shows that JINHUI LIQUOR had liabilities of CN¥1.01b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥45.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥771.3m as well as receivables valued at CN¥186.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥98.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,金徽酒在一年内有10.1亿人民币的负债,以及在此之后到期的4520万人民币负债。抵消这些负债,它拥有77130万人民币的现金,以及价值18600万人民币的应收账款,均在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收款的总和多9830万人民币。

Having regard to JINHUI LIQUOR's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥9.12b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, JINHUI LIQUOR boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到金徽酒的规模,其流动资产与总负债之间似乎保持了良好的平衡。因此,这家91.2亿人民币的公司不太可能缺乏现金,但仍值得关注其资产负债表。尽管负债情况显著,金徽酒却拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that JINHUI LIQUOR has boosted its EBIT by 39%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if JINHUI LIQUOR can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,我们很高兴地报告,金徽酒的息税前利润(EBIT)增长了39%,从而降低了未来债务偿还的风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定金徽酒是否能够随时间增强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会对这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告感兴趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. JINHUI LIQUOR may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, JINHUI LIQUOR recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 99% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,虽然税务官可能青睐会计利润,贷款人只接受冷硬的现金。金徽酒在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仔细看看该公司如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,这仍然是有趣的,因为这将影响其债务管理的需求和能力。在过去三年中,金徽酒记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的99%,这比我们通常期待的要强。这使其在需要偿还债务时表现良好。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about JINHUI LIQUOR's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥747.8m. The cherry on top was that in converted 99% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥294m. So is JINHUI LIQUOR's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in JINHUI LIQUOR, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

我们可以理解投资者对金徽酒的负债感到担忧,但我们可以放心的是它拥有净现金74780万人民币。 令人欣慰的是,它将99%的EBIT转化为自由现金流,带来了29400万人民币的收入。 那么金徽酒的债务是风险吗?在我们看来似乎不是。 随着时间的推移,股价往往跟随每股盈利的变化,因此如果您对金徽酒感兴趣,可以点击这里查看其每股盈利历史的交互图表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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