The Canaan Inc. (NASDAQ:CAN) share price has softened a substantial 30% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may still consider Canaan as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Canaan's Recent Performance Look Like?
Canaan could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Canaan will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Canaan's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 48% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 85% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Canaan's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Canaan's P/S?
Despite the recent share price weakness, Canaan's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Canaan maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Tech industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Canaan.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Canaan, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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