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Is It Time To Consider Buying Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR)?

Is It Time To Consider Buying Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR)?

现在考虑购买万豪酒店公司(纳斯达克:MAR)的时候了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01:41

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. The recent share price gains has brought the company back closer to its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Marriott International's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

今天我们将关注久负盛名的万豪酒店(纳斯达克:MAR)。该公司的股票在过去几个月在纳斯达克GS上上涨了超过10%的双位数股价。最近的股价上涨使公司更接近其年度高点。随着许多分析师关注这只大盘股,我们可以预期任何价格敏感的公告已经反映在股票的股价中。然而,股票是否仍在相对便宜的价格交易?今天我们将分析万豪酒店最新的前景和估值数据,以查看是否仍然存在机会。

Is Marriott International Still Cheap?

万豪酒店仍然便宜吗?

According to our valuation model, Marriott International seems to be fairly priced at around 12% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Marriott International today, you'd be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $311.75, then there's not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Marriott International's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

根据我们的估值模型,万豪酒店的价格似乎在我们的内在价值以下约12%,这意味着如果今天购买万豪酒店股票,你将支付一个合理的价格。如果你相信这只股票的真实价值为311.75美元,那么从定价错误中获得的潜在上涨空间不大。那么,未来是否还有再次低买的机会呢?考虑到万豪酒店的股价波动性较大(即其价格波动相对于市场的波动被放大)这可能意味着价格会下跌,从而给我们提供后来购买的机会。这是基于其高贝塔系数,这是一种良好的股价波动性指标。

Can we expect growth from Marriott International?

我们可以期待万豪酒店的增长吗?

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NasdaqGS:MAR Earnings and Revenue Growth January 9th 2025
纳斯达克GS:MAR2025年1月9日的盈利和营业收入增长

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Marriott International's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 22%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

希望在投资组合中寻求增长的投资者可能希望在购买其股票之前考虑公司的前景。尽管价值投资者会争辩说,相对于价格的内在价值才是最重要的,但更具吸引力的投资论点是低价位的高增长潜力。预计万豪酒店未来几年的营业收入将增长22%,这表明未来非常乐观。这将导致更强劲的现金流,从而促进更高的股值。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? MAR's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

您是股东吗?万豪酒店的乐观未来增长似乎已经反映在当前的股价中,股票交易价格大致在其公允价值附近。然而,还有其他重要因素我们今天没有考虑,例如管理团队的过往业绩。这些因素自您上次观察股票以来是否有所变化?如果价格跌破其公允价值,您是否还有足够的信心投资这家公司?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on MAR, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直在关注万豪酒店,现在可能不是最理想的买入时机,因为其交易价格大致在其公允价值附近。然而,积极的前景对公司是鼓舞人心的,这意味着值得进一步考察其他因素,例如其资产负债表的强度,以便利用下次价格下跌的机会。

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Marriott International at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Marriott International, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但同样重要的是考虑万豪酒店在此时所面临的风险。在投资风险方面,我们已识别出万豪酒店的2个警告信号,了解这些信号应成为您的投资过程的一部分。

If you are no longer interested in Marriott International, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再对万豪酒店感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们超过50只高增长潜力股票的列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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