Musk: Tesla Aims to Produce Up to 100,000 Optimus Robots Next Year
Musk: Tesla Aims to Produce Up to 100,000 Optimus Robots Next Year
TMTPOST -- Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk presented at the CES 2025 an ambitious vision for Optimus, or Tesla Bot, the humanoid robot that Musk boasted can bring a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity for his company.
TMTPost——特斯拉公司首席执行官埃隆·马斯克在CES 2025上提出了擎天柱(Tesla Bot)的雄心勃勃的愿景,马斯克吹嘘这个人形机器人可以为他的公司带来数万亿美元的机会。
Credit:Tesla
来源:特斯拉
Tesla is aiming to initially produce "several thousand of" Optimus robots this year, and then ramp up significantly, Musk told Stagwell CEO Mark Penn during a video interview at the CES show in Las Vegas. "Assuming things go well, we'll 10x that output next year (2026), so we'll aim to do maybe 50,000-100,000 humanoid robots next year, and then 10x it again the following year," Musk said in the interview.
马斯克在拉斯维加斯CES展上接受视频采访时告诉Stagwell首席执行官马克·佩恩,特斯拉的目标是今年最初生产 “数千个” 擎天柱机器人,然后大幅增加。马斯克在接受采访时说:“假设一切顺利,明年(2026年)我们的产量将增加10倍,因此我们的目标是明年生产大约5万至10万个仿人机器人,然后在第二年再生产10倍。”
Musk was so optimistic that even envisioned a world where the ratio of robots to humans could reach three to five robots per person, culminating in a global presence of 20 to 30 billion robots.
马斯克非常乐观,甚至设想了一个机器人与人类的比例可以达到每人三到五个机器人的世界,最终全球将有20到300个机器人。
Tesla first unveiled second generation Optimus in December 2023, showing its prototype through a demo video. Optimus Gen 2 is equipped with in-house designed actuators and sensors, with ability to walk 30% faster than its predecessor. Optimus, which powered by the company's artficial intelligence (AI) technology, is currently being used in a limited capacity in Tesla's energy-storage division.
特斯拉于2023年12月首次推出了第二代擎天柱,通过演示视频展示了其原型。Optimus Gen 2 配备了内部设计的执行器和传感器,其行走速度比其前身快 30%。Optimus由该公司的人工智能(AI)技术提供支持,目前在特斯拉的储能部门以有限的容量使用。
Musk said in May 2024 that Optimus' hands will be upgraded to have 22 degrees of freedom (DoF), in comparison with the previous version of just 11 DoF. That's already very close to a human's hands, which have 27 degrees of freedom. Optimus coud be ready for sale as soon as the end of 2025, Musk said at a conference call with investors the same month.
马斯克在2024年5月表示,擎天柱的双手将升级到22个自由度(DoF),而之前的版本只有11自由度。这已经非常接近人类的双手了,人类有 27 个自由度。马斯克在同月与投资者的电话会议上表示,擎天柱最快可能在2025年底准备出售。
Tesla said in June it has two Optimus robots that autonomously move around the company's office and laboratories every day. It also said it had started deploying two Optimus bots in its Gigafactory Texas, performing tasks autonomously.The tasks it was responsible for included sorting battery cells and other simple things. Tesla said it would be able to eliminate monotonous work that is boring to humans when its first-generation robot was unveiled.
特斯拉在6月表示,它有两个擎天柱机器人,每天可以在公司的办公室和实验室中自主移动。它还表示,它已开始在其德克萨斯州的Gigafactory部署两个擎天柱机器人,自动执行任务。它负责的任务包括整理电池和其他简单的东西。特斯拉表示,当其第一代机器人问世时,它将能够消除对人类来说无聊的单调工作。
At the company's annual stockholder meeting in June, Musk revealed Optimus Gen 2 is being produced for $10,000 and there will be over 1,000, or a few thousand Optimus robots working at Tesla in 2025. Musk expected Optimus robots some day will perform like R2-D2 and C-3PO in "Star Wars." They could cook or clean for you, do factory work, or even teach your children, the chief executive suggested. As for shareholder value, Musk believes Optimus could be the catalyst for lifting Tesla's market cap to $25 trillion someday.
在6月份的公司年度股东大会上,马斯克透露,擎天柱第二代的生产价格为1万美元,到2025年,特斯拉将有超过1,000台或几千台擎天柱机器人在工作。马斯克预计,擎天柱机器人有朝一日会像《星球大战》中的 R2-D2 和 C-3PO 一样表演。首席执行官建议,他们可以为你做饭或打扫卫生,做工厂工作,甚至教你的孩子。至于股东价值,马斯克认为擎天柱有朝一日可能会成为将特斯拉市值提高到25万亿美元的催化剂。
Musk called Optimus "the most advanced humanoid robot by a long shot" during Tesla's earnings call in late October. He said Tesla was the "only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots." "What other companies are missing is that they're missing the AI brain, that they're missing people to really scale to very high-volume production," Musk said. "I think Optimus will ultimately be the most valuable part, so I think [it] has a good chance of being the most viable product that we made."
在10月下旬的特斯拉财报电话会议上,马斯克称擎天柱是 “从长远来看最先进的人形机器人”。他说,特斯拉是 “唯一一家真正具备扩展仿人机器人所需全部要素的公司”。马斯克说:“其他公司缺少的是他们缺少人工智能大脑,缺少真正扩大到大批量生产的人才。”“我认为擎天柱最终将是最有价值的部分,因此我认为 [它] 很有可能成为我们生产的最可行的产品。”
Commenting on a video showcasing Optimus' flexible movement of hand with 22 DoF in October, Musk said the robot will "be able to play the piano, maybe even some guitar." Tesla last month released a video of its Optimus achieving a new milestone: walking autonomously outside.
马斯克在评论一段展示擎天柱在10月份以22 DoF灵活动手的视频时说,该机器人 “将能够弹钢琴,甚至可能弹吉他”。特斯拉上个月发布了一段关于擎天柱实现新里程碑的视频:在户外自主行走。
Bank of America analyst John Murphy last month raised his price target on Tesla by $50 to $400 per share, citing the impact robotics technology will have on the group's upcoming fleet of Cybercabs, which are expected to launch next year. Murphy said Tesla was testing Optimus in a host of use cases, as it looked to both refine the current version and determine its final design.
美国银行分析师约翰·墨菲上个月将特斯拉的目标股价上调了50美元,至每股400美元,理由是机器人技术将对该集团即将推出的Cybercabs车队产生影响,该车队预计将于明年推出。墨菲说,特斯拉正在一系列用例中测试擎天柱,因为它既想完善当前版本,又想确定其最终设计。