Opinion: 7 EV stocks with the best technical setups
Opinion: 7 EV stocks with the best technical setups
Several electric vehicle (EV) companies have come flying out of nowhere, with some doing quite well. Leading the charge is $Tesla, Inc.(TSLA.US)$, as we’ve seen a number of stocks come to life over the past 12 months. These EV stocks have been some of the best performers of the last several quarters and several years.
几家电动汽车(EV)公司从天而降，有些公司经营得相当不错。带头的是$Tesla，Inc.(TSLA.US)$在过去的12个月里，我们看到许多股票都恢复了活力。这些电动汽车股票在过去几个季度和几年中一直是表现最好的股票之一。
It’s got some investors confused, given the low valuations that tend to accompany the automotive sector. At the same time, it’s got other investors excited about what the future may hold.
这让一些投资者感到困惑，因为汽车行业往往伴随着较低的估值。与此同时，它也让其他投资者对未来可能发生的事情感到兴奋。
Tesla has seen its market cap balloon, rallying over 600% from the March 2020 low. Even traditional auto stocks have gotten in on the action, while a bevy of SPACs and IPOs have come to the market.
特斯拉的市值已经膨胀，从2020年3月的低点反弹了600%以上。即使是传统的汽车股也加入了这一行动，而一大批SPAC和IPO也进入了市场。
Despite the nasty bear market we’ve seen in growth stocks, we’re seeing some nice rebounds in the EV space. Let’s look at seven EV stocks with the best technicals, starting with you know who:
尽管我们在成长型股票中看到了糟糕的熊市，但我们看到电动汽车领域出现了一些不错的反弹。让我们来看看7只技术面最好的电动汽车股票，从你知道谁开始：
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: Tesla (TSLA)
技术含量高的电动汽车股票：特斯拉(特斯拉)
$Tesla, Inc.(TSLA.US)$ leads the pack when it comes to EV stocks and that’s true for the charts, too. While Tesla’s market capitalization of $634 billion is notably below its high, the technicals are starting to line up again.
$Tesla，Inc.(TSLA.US)$当谈到电动汽车股票时，它处于领先地位，图表也是如此。尽管特斯拉6,340亿美元的市值明显低于其高点，但技术面开始再次看好。
I kept looking for one last flush in this one and it never came to fruition. In early March, Tesla stock bottomed near $540. The rebound sent shares to the $700 zone, then the gap-fill measure near $781.
我一直在寻找这一次的最后一次同花顺，但从来没有结果。3月初，特斯拉的股价跌至接近540美元的底部。这一反弹将股价推高至700美元区域，随后填补缺口的指标接近781美元。
Upon another retreat, shares bottomed near $547, above the March low. That’s notable as many other growth and EV stocks went on to make new lows. Ultimately Tesla has reclaimed all of its major daily moving averages and continues to consolidate in a rather tight range.
在另一次回落后，股价跌至接近547美元的底部，在上面三月的低点。这一点值得注意，因为许多其他成长型和电动汽车类股继续创下新低。最终，特斯拉收回了所有主要的日均线，并继续在相当窄的区间内盘整。
From here, we either need to see a pullback into some of these key moving averages or a push toward $700. Above $700 opens the door to the $762 to $781 area. Above that and $800-plus is possible.
从现在开始，我们要么需要看到这些关键移动均线的回调，要么需要看到向700美元的推进。700美元上方开启了762-781美元区域的大门。超过这个数字，就有可能超过800美元。
If there’s going to be a rebound in EVs, it’s going to start with Tesla.
如果电动汽车市场要出现反弹，那就得从特斯拉开始。
Nio (NIO)
蔚来(蔚来)
That said, $NIO Inc.(NIO.US)$ is no slouch either. Unlike Tesla, Nio did make a new low in May. However, it wasn’t by much.
也就是说，$蔚来。(NIO.US)$也不是没精打采的。与特斯拉不同，蔚来做5月份再创新低。然而，这并不是很大的差距。
It gave what many of us call a “look below and fail.” That is, it looked below a key level — in this case, the prior low — and “failed” to break down. It ended up reversing higher and just recently cleared the key $50 level.
它给了我们许多人所说的“向下看，然后失败”。也就是说，它看起来低于一个关键水平--在这种情况下，是先前的低点--并未能突破。它最终逆转走高，最近刚刚突破了50美元的关键水平。
Already up a sizable amount from the May low, investors may not know what to expect. From here, let’s see if Nio can push higher up to the 61.8% retracement near $53.
已经从5月份的低点上涨了相当多的投资者可能不知道会发生什么。从这里开始，让我们看看蔚来能否推高至53美元附近的61.8%回档位。
If shares can build above $50 and eventually clear the 61.8% retracement, the gap-fill level at $58.65 is in play. On the downside, I want to see the 10-day and 21-day moving averages act as support. Below puts the $43 to $44 area on the table.
如果股价能够升至50美元上方，并最终突破61.8%的回档位，则58.65美元的填补缺口水平正在发挥作用。下行方面，我希望看到10日和21日移动均线起到支撑作用。下面将43美元至44美元的区域放在桌面上。
If Tesla is going to go for a run, it’s likely that its “little brother” Nio will be in a similar position. However, I would expect a little more volatility with this one.
如果特斯拉要出去跑步，它的“小兄弟”蔚来很可能也会处于类似的境地。然而，我预计这一次会有更多的波动性。
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: Ford (F)
技术含量高的电动汽车股票：福特(Ford)
Shifting gears here a bit, $Ford Motor Co(F.US)$ is far from a pure play on the EV space. For decades, the company has been a producer of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles and only recently began making a push into electrifying its fleet. However, it’s doing so with some major commitment.
在这里稍微换一下档次，$福特汽车公司(F.US)$远不是纯电动汽车领域的游戏。几十年来，该公司一直是内燃机(ICE)汽车的生产商，直到最近才开始推动其车队电气化。然而，它这样做是带着一些重大承诺的。
The company has already used its Mustang brand to bring an electric vehicle to market. Now it turns to America’s best-selling vehicle, the F-Series pickup, and adding the F-150 Lightning. There is a lot of promise in adding an electric pickup to its lineup and Ford hopes it will give its top and bottom line a nice jolt.
该公司已经使用其野马品牌将一款电动汽车推向市场。现在，它转向了美国最畅销的F系列皮卡，并增加了F-150闪电。在其阵容中增加一款电动皮卡有很大的希望，福特希望它能给它的顶线和底线带来很好的震动。
So far, Wall Street seems quite receptive to it.
到目前为止，华尔街似乎对此相当接受。
When I look at Ford stock, I see a large bullish pennant formation. That’s defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, as the stock consolidates its recent gains. From here, bulls are looking for an upside breakout over downtrend resistance (blue line).
当我看着福特的股票时，我看到了一个巨大的看涨旗帜。这是由一系列较低的高点和较高的低点定义的，因为该股巩固了最近的涨幅。从这里，多头正在寻找突破下行趋势阻力(蓝线)的上行突破。
It may need to chop around $15 some more, but an eventual breakout could put the highs back in play at $16.45. Above that and the 261.8% extension near $17.50 could be on the table.
它可能还需要再砍掉大约15美元，但最终突破可能会让16.45美元的高点重新发挥作用。在此之上，261.8%的延期可能会在17.5美元附近摆在桌面上。
If shares break down instead of break out, the 10-week moving average is the first line of support. That’s followed by the key $13.50 level and the 50-day moving average.
如果股票崩盘降下来10周移动均线切入位不是突破，而是一线支撑。紧随其后的是关键的13.50美元水平和50日移动均线。
General Motors (GM)
通用汽车(General Motors)
Like Ford, $General Motors Co(GM.US)$ is an old-time automaker trying to make the pivot toward electrification. The company has also done pretty well in its autonomous driving efforts with its Cruise unit. CEO Mary Barra hasn’t shied away from the automotive future and it’s given the stock a nice boost over the past year.
就像福特一样，$通用汽车(通用汽车美国)$是一家老牌汽车制造商，正试图转向电气化。该公司在其Cruise部门的自动驾驶努力中也做得相当好。首席执行官玛丽·巴拉并没有回避汽车的未来，这在过去一年里给该公司的股票带来了很好的提振。
Rather than looking at a daily chart like the preceding EV stocks on this list, let’s zoom out a bit with the weekly chart. Once we do, it becomes evident that GM stock is channel-bound as it slowly but surely grinds higher.
与其像这个列表上前面的电动汽车股票那样看日线图，不如让我们用周线图缩小一点。一旦我们这样做了，很明显，通用汽车的股票是受渠道限制的，因为它缓慢但肯定地走高。
Right now, GM is holding the 10-week moving average and trying for a weekly-up rotation by clearing the prior week’s high. If that doesn’t happen, it’s okay. It still has the 21-week moving average and channel support as potential dip-buy zones.
目前，通用汽车正在守住10周移动均线，并试图通过清除前一周的高点来进行一周的轮换。如果这种情况没有发生，那也没关系。它仍有21周移动均线和通道支撑作为潜在的下探买入区。
On the upside, bulls want to see a rally up to the 161.8% extension near $67 and to channel resistance. Above opens the door to $70-plus.
利好方面，多头希望看到67美元附近161.8%的涨势，并引导阻力位。上方打开了通向70美元以上的大门。
Should support fail, the $50 area and the 50-week moving average could be on the table.
如果支撑失败，50美元区域和50周移动均线切入位可能摆在桌面上。
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: XPeng (XPEV)
技术含量高的电动汽车股票：小鹏汽车-W(XPEV)
I think investors would be pretty impressed with how well some of the Chinese EV stocks are trading. Granted, many of these names were crushed during the growth-stock bear market, but a handful are making a strong recovery. In that group, we can include $XPeng Inc.(XPEV.US)$.
我认为，一些中国电动汽车股票的交易表现会给投资者留下相当深刻的印象。诚然，这些公司中的许多在成长型股票熊市期间遭到重创，但也有少数公司正在强劲复苏。在这一组中，我们可以包括$小鹏汽车-W公司(XPEV.US)$.
The company currently commands a $35 billion market cap and trades on the NYSE after coming public in August 2020. While we saw a peak-to-trough decline of 69.5%, the rebound has been strong as shares are now back above all of its major moving averages.
该公司目前市值350亿美元，2020年8月上市后在纽约证交所上市。虽然我们看到从峰顶到谷底的跌幅为69.5%，但反弹一直很强劲，因为股价现在回到了所有主要移动均线之上。
Amid that decline, the stock gave us a “1-2-3-4-5” or if you prefer, an “A-B-C-D-E” decline. As shares bottomed at $22.73, XPEV also showed some divergence on the Williams %R reading (shown at the top of the chart).
在那次下跌中，该股给了我们“1-2-3-4-5”或者如果你喜欢，“A-B-C-D-E”的下跌。随着股价跌至22.73美元的底部，XPEV在Williams%R读数上也出现了一些分歧(如图表顶部所示)。
From here, I want to see a rotation through $45.25, opening up the 50% retracement and $50 level. Above that and the 61.8% retracement is on the table near $55.
从这里，我希望看到45.25美元的轮换，打开50%回档位和50美元的水平。在此上方，61.8%回档位在55美元附近。
On the downside, I want the short-term moving averages to act as support. If they fail, it’s important to see that the 200-day buoys the stock and that the 50-day moving average turns from prior resistance into current support.
不利的一面是，我希望短期移动均线能起到支撑作用。如果他们失败了，重要的是要看到200日移动均线提振了股票，50日移动均线从之前的阻力位变成了当前的支撑位。
Li Auto (LI)
理想汽车-W(李娜)
Dare I say $li Auto Inc.(LI.US)$ is the best-trading EV stock right now? Shares have been on fire since bottoming in early May, rising in eight straight weeks since hitting bottom. Up roughly 95% and it’s clear that this stock is leading the current charge.
我敢说$理想汽车-W公司(LI.US)$目前交易最好的电动汽车股票是吗？自5月初触底以来，股价一直火爆，自触底以来已连续8周上涨。上涨了大约95%，很明显，这只股票在目前的潮流中处于领先地位。
The 10-day moving average continues to guide Li Auto higher, as shares have now cruised through the 50% retracement measures.
10日移动均线切入位继续引导理想汽车-W走高，目前股价已顺利通过50%回档位。
Into the 61.8% retracement now and I would love to see a mild pullback from here. Perhaps down to the 10-day moving average and the $30 to $31 area. That would allow the stock to cool off a bit and consolidate its gains while keeping the overall trend intact.
现在进入61.8%的回调，我希望看到从现在开始的温和回调。或许会跌至10日移动均线和30-31美元区域。这将使该股略有降温，巩固涨幅，同时保持整体趋势不变。
Above $35 and the $37 level is next in line, which saw resistance in January and also comes into play near the 2021 highs. Note that Li Auto didn’t make new highs in February like most EV and growth stocks. Instead, it was already breaking down — it was the canary in the coal mine.
在35美元上方，37美元是下一个趋势，该水平在1月份遭遇阻力，也在2021年高点附近发挥作用。请注意，理想汽车-W并没有像大多数电动汽车和成长股那样在2月份创下新高。相反，它已经崩溃了--它是煤矿里的金丝雀。
Above $37 puts the 78.6% retracement on the table.
37美元上方将78.6%回档位摆在桌面上。
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: Fisker (FSR)
技术含量高的电动汽车股票：菲斯克(Fisker)
$FISKER INC.(FSR.US)$ is evidently trying to give Li Auto a run for its money. It too has been trading incredibly well. Shares have rallied in six of the past seven weeks and at the recent high, were up about 75% from the May low.
$Fisker Inc.(FSR.US)$这显然是想和理想汽车-W较量一番。它的交易也令人难以置信地好。股价在过去七周中有六周出现反弹，在最近的高点，较5月份的低点上涨了约75%。
Those observations barely trail Li Auto and still leave Fisker in a pretty good position. However, the technical setup is a little more specific with this one.
那些观察到的勉强落后于理想汽车-W，仍然让菲斯克处于一个相当好的位置。然而，这一次的技术设置更具体一些。
At the time of this writing, it’s June 30, which means a new monthly candle is about to set as we enter July. If Fisker shares can continue higher, I want to see the stock take out the June high at $20.61 and give bulls a monthly-up rotation.
在写这篇文章的时候，是6月30日，这意味着当我们进入7月时，新的月度蜡烛即将落下。如果菲斯克的股价能够继续走高，我希望看到该股跌破6月份的高点20.61美元，并让多头每月轮流上涨。
In that event, it could open up to the $23 to $24 area or higher.
在这种情况下，它可能会打开到23美元至24美元或更高的区域。
If we don’t get a monthly-up rotation, that’s okay. Instead, we can look for a pullback too. Specifically, there are some nice bounces off the 21-week moving average, with support in play near $17.
如果我们不能按月轮换，那也没关系。相反，我们也可以期待回调。具体地说，21周移动均线有一些不错的反弹，支撑位在17美元附近。
If we get a pullback down into the 21-week and 10-week moving averages, I would consider that a potential buying opportunity at the moment. A break of $16.50 likely creates an issue for the bulls though and could put the 50-week moving average on the table.
如果我们回调至21周和10周移动均线，我会认为目前这是一个潜在的买入机会。不过，突破16.50美元可能会给多头带来麻烦，可能会让50周移动均线摆在桌面上。
On the date of publication, Bret Kenwell did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.
截至发稿之日，布雷特·肯威尔并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文表达的观点是作者的观点，以InvestorPlace.com为准出版指南.
Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of <i><span>Future Blue Chips</span></i> and is on Twitter <i><span>@BretKenwell</span></i>.
布雷特·肯威尔是该公司的经理，著有未来蓝筹股并在推特上@BretKenwell.
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