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Opinion: A robot trader thinks this Meme stock will outperform Facebook and Walmart

Opinion: A robot trader thinks this Meme stock will outperform Facebook and Walmart

观点:一名机器人交易员认为Meme股票的表现将超过Facebook和沃尔玛
Dow Jones Newswires ·  2021/07/15 10:04  · 观点

A benchmark-beating exchange-traded fund that is run by a robot expects to see shares in $AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.US)$ outperform the likes of Facebook and Walmart in July.

一只由机器人管理的超越基准的交易所交易基金预计将在$AMC娱乐控股公司(AMC.US)$7月份的表现超过了Facebook和沃尔玛等公司。

The Qraft AI-Enhanced U.S. Large Cap Momentum ETF, trading as AMOM on the New York Stock Exchange, bought shares in AMC -- the cinema chain and retail investor favorite -- over some of the S&P 500's largest companies this month. AMOM's preference for AMC came as another meme stock, $GameStop Corp(GME.US)$, was booted from its portfolio.

本月,卡夫人工智能增强的U.S.Large Cap Momentum ETF在纽约证券交易所(New York Stock Exchange)以AMOM的形式交易,购买了院线和散户投资者最喜欢的AMC的股票,而不是标准普尔500指数中一些最大的公司。AMOM对AMC的偏好是另一个表情包储备,$GameStop Corp(GME.US)$,被从其投资组合中除名。

Run by artificial intelligence, AMOM's rebalancing at the beginning of July was characterized by the removal of major technology and retail stocks, as it pivoted to focus on pandemic trades and reducing volatility.

由人工智能运营的AMOM在7月初的再平衡行动的特点是移除了主要的科技股和零售股,因为它将重点放在大流行交易和降低波动性上。

In June, $Facebook Inc(FB.US)$, $Walmart Inc(WMT.US)$, $The Home Depot Inc(HD.US)$, $Adobe Inc(ADBE.US)$, and $Texas Instruments Inc(TXN.US)$ made up a collective 28% of the fund's holdings, but all five stocks were ditched in its latest rebalancing -- meaning that the AI controlling AMOM believes they will see price declines across July.

在六月,$Facebook(FB.US)$, $沃尔玛(WMT.US)$, $家得宝(HD.US)$, $Adobe(ADBE.US)$,及$德州仪器(TXN.US)$占该基金总持有量的28%,但在最新的再平衡中,这五只股票都被抛弃了--这意味着控制人工智能的AMOM认为,他们的股价将在整个7月份下跌。

The standout among the stocks added in July was AMC, the cinema chain that along with GameStop has epitomized the "meme stock" trading frenzy in 2021.

在7月份新增的股票中,最突出的是AMC,这家影院连锁店与GameStop一起,是2021年“表情包股票”交易狂潮的缩影。

A flock of investors, largely organized on social media platform Reddit, helped squeeze hedge funds' short positions on companies including GameStop and AMC earlier this year. The trading frenzy caused multibillion-dollar losses for hedge funds, unbelievable gains for individuals that timed it right, and ushered in a new era of internet-inspired trading.

今年早些时候,一群主要在社交媒体平台Reddit上组织的投资者帮助挤压了对冲基金对GameStop和AMC等公司的空头头寸。这场交易狂潮给对冲基金造成了数十亿美元的损失,对时机正确的个人来说,这是令人难以置信的收益,并开启了一个互联网启发交易的新时代。

AMC's stock price rose 570% from January 20 to January 27 -- from nearly $3 a share to almost $20. Shares in the group are now up close to 1,500% so far in 2021, trading around $33.

从1月20日到1月27日,AMC的股价上涨了570%,从每股近3美元涨到了近20美元。2021年到目前为止,AMC的股价上涨了近1,500%,交易价格约为33美元。

And now the AI calling the shots at AMOM thinks the stock will move even higher in July, buying enough shares to make up 1.8% of the fund. Bringing AMC into the fold came as the robot ditched GameStop, which was added to AMOM in May but booted out after the stock fell more than 14% in June.

现在,人工智能对AMOM发号施令,认为该股在7月份将进一步走高,购买足够多的股票,占该基金的1.8%。AMC加入AMC之际,该机器人抛弃了GameStop,GameStop在5月份加入AMOM,但在6月份股价下跌超过14%后退出。

"Qraft's AI model is not specifically designed to invest in meme stocks, but rather in stocks with high capital appreciation potential," Geeseok Oh, a managing director at Qraft and the head of its Asia-Pacific business, told Barron's.

“卡夫的人工智能模式并不是专门为投资表情包股票而设计的,而是投资于具有高资本增值潜力的股票,”卡夫董事总经理、亚太区业务主管Geeseok oh告诉巴伦。

"AI is not swayed by prejudice or bias and may pick up meme stocks if the momentum seems highly positive," said Oh. "This month, our model found AMC more opportunistic than other meme stocks like GameStop."

“人工智能不受偏见或偏见的左右,如果势头看起来非常积极,它可能会收购表情包,”吴宇森说。“本月,我们的模型发现,AMC比GameStop等其他迷因股票更具机会主义色彩。”

The top five stocks by portfolio weight added to AMOM in July include retailer O'Reilly Auto Parts, software group Cadence Design Systems, electronics store chain Best Buy, biotech cancer specialist Seagen, and enterprise software developer HubSpot.

按投资组合权重计算,7月份加入AMOM的前五只股票包括零售商O‘Reilly Auto Parts、软件集团Cadence Design Systems、电子产品连锁店百思买(Best Buy)、生物技术癌症专家Seagen和企业软件开发商HubSpot。

After the fund was rebalanced, AMOM's five largest holdings by portfolio weight were online dating group Match, cybersecurity company Fortinet, O'Reilly Auto Parts as well as rival AutoZone, and retailer Kroger.

在基金重新平衡后,按投资组合权重计算,AMOM持有的五大资产分别是在线约会集团Match、网络安全公司Fortinet、O‘Reilly Auto Parts以及竞争对手AutoZone和零售商克罗格(Kroger)。

"With Covid-19 reaching new peaks, the AI made trades related to the pandemic conditions," Oh said. " Match Group is one of the beneficiaries of the pandemic with more people trying out online dating. Fortinet stock gained prominence with more and more governments emphasizing the importance of cybersecurity."

随着新冠肺炎达到新的峰值,人工智能进行了与大流行条件相关的交易,噢说。随着越来越多的人尝试在线约会,Match Group是大流行的受益者之一。Fortinet股票因越来越多的政府强调网络安全的重要性而声名鹊起。

Oh also added that it was noteworthy that AMOM has decided to adjust its portfolio away from very big bets -- in June, the fund's top three stocks accounted for 21% of the portfolio, but now the top three stocks account for just 11%.

吴还补充说,值得注意的是,AMOM已决定调整其投资组合,不再进行非常大的押注--6月份,该基金前三大股票占投资组合的21%,但现在前三大股票仅占11%。

"Given the volatile market sentiment, the AI seems to have adjusted portfolio and concentration to hedge against potential risks," he said.

他说:“鉴于市场情绪波动,人工智能似乎已经调整了投资组合和集中度,以对冲潜在风险。”

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AMOM has been listed in New York since May 2019, and has delivered total returns of 12% so far in 2021 and 42% in the past year -- outpacing its benchmark, the S&P 500 Momentum index, which has climbed a comparable 34% since July 2020.

AMOM自2019年5月在纽约上市,2021年迄今实现了12%的总回报率,过去一年的总回报率为42%,超过了基准的标准普尔500动量指数,后者自2020年7月以来上涨了34%。

The fund is a product of Qraft, a Seoul, South Korea-based fintech group leveraging AI across its investment products, which include three other AI-picked versions of major indexes: a U.S. large cap index QRFT; a U.S. large cap dividend index HDIV; and a U.S. value index NVQ.

该基金是总部位于韩国首尔的金融科技集团卡夫的产品,该集团在其投资产品中利用了人工智能,其中包括另外三个人工智能精选的主要指数版本:美国大盘股指数QRFT、美国大盘股股息指数HDIV和美国价值指数NVQ。

AMOM is an actively managed portfolio driven by artificial intelligence, tracking 50 large-cap U.S. stocks and reweighting its holdings each month. It is based on a momentum strategy, with the AI behind its stock picks capitalizing on the movements of existing market trends to inform the decision to add, remove, or reweight holdings. The artificial intelligence scans the market and uses its predictive power to analyze a wide set of patterns that show stock-market momentum.

AMOM是一种由人工智能驱动的主动管理投资组合,跟踪50只美国大盘股,并每月重新调整所持股票的权重。它基于一种动量战略,其选股背后的人工智能利用现有市场趋势的变动来为增持、减持或重新加权的决定提供信息。人工智能扫描市场,并利用其预测能力分析一系列显示股市势头的模式。

The entrance of AI-run funds onto Wall Street promised a new high-tech future for investing, though it hasn't quite lived up to the hype yet. Theoretically, researchers have shown that AI investing strategies can beat the market by up to 40% on an annualized basis, when tested against historical data.

人工智能运营的基金进入华尔街,预示着一个新的高科技投资未来,尽管它还没有完全达到炒作的程度。理论上,研究人员已经表明,如果对照历史数据进行测试,人工智能投资策略按年率计算可以比市场高出40%。

But Vasant Dhar, a professor at New York University's Stern School of Business and the founder of machine-learning-based hedge fund SCT Capital Management, argued in June 2020 that AI-run funds won't "crack" the code of the stock market.

但纽约大学斯特恩商学院教授、基于机器学习的对冲基金SCT资本管理公司的创始人瓦桑特·达尔在2020年6月辩称,人工智能运营的基金不会“破解”股市的密码。

Advocating caution, Dhar said that it was difficult for funds underpinned by machine learning to maintain a sustainable edge over markets, which have "a nonstationary and adversarial nature." He advised investors considering an AI system to ask tough questions, including how likely it is that the AI's "edge" will persist into the future, and what the inherent uncertainties and range of performance outcomes for the fund are.

Dhar提倡谨慎,他说,由机器学习支撑的基金很难保持相对于市场的可持续优势,市场具有“非平稳和对抗性的性质”。他建议考虑人工智能系统的投资者提出尖锐的问题,包括人工智能的“优势”有多大可能持续到未来,以及该基金内在的不确定性和业绩结果的范围。

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

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July 15, 2021 09:30 ET (13:30 GMT)

2021年7月15日东部时间09:30(格林尼治标准时间13:30)

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