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Is Tesla the meme stock of yesteryear?

Is Tesla the meme stock of yesteryear?

特斯拉是昔日的表情包吗?
Dow Jones Newswires ·  2021/07/27 10:13  · 观点

By Charley Grant

作者:查理·格兰特(Charley Grant)

For years, $Tesla, Inc.(TSLA.US)$ stock charged ever-higher despite weak operating results. So far in 2021, that pattern has reversed itself.

多年来,$Tesla,Inc.(TSLA.US)$尽管经营业绩疲软,但股价仍在不断上涨。2021年到目前为止,这种模式已经逆转。

Second-quarter results from Elon Musk's automaker were the company's strongest on record. Tesla booked $11.9 billion in sales and earned $1.1 billion in quarterly profit according to generally accepted accounting principles. Both figures topped analyst expectations. And while Tesla sold $354 million of regulatory credits to rivals, the automaker would have easily finished the quarter in the black without them. Results were flattered by Tesla receiving certain goods and services from suppliers for which it hadn't yet been charged, but Mr. Musk still deserves credit for that strong performance.

埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的汽车制造商第二季度业绩是该公司有记录以来最强劲的。根据公认的会计原则,特斯拉录得119亿美元的销售额和11亿美元的季度利润。这两个数字都超过了分析师的预期。虽然特斯拉向竞争对手出售了3.54亿美元的监管信贷,但如果没有竞争对手,这家汽车制造商本季度就很容易实现盈利。特斯拉从供应商那里获得了一些尚未收费的商品和服务,这让业绩受到了夸大,但马斯克的强劲表现仍值得称赞。

Tesla managed to deliver more than 200,000 cars in the quarter despite the global semiconductor shortage. And the falling price of bitcoin, which the automaker carries on its balance sheet for some reason, only resulted in a $23 million hit to the bottom line.

尽管全球半导体短缺,特斯拉在本季度仍设法交付了20多万辆汽车。而且,由于某种原因,这家汽车制造商将比特币计入其资产负债表,比特币价格的下跌只导致了2300万美元的利润下降。

But while Tesla's actual business has lately come of age, the stock isn't playing along. It was slightly higher on Tuesday morning, had dropped 9% so far this year, and is down by more than a fifth over the past six months, lagging bigger rivals like Ford and General Motors. Meme stock aficionados, who couldn't get enough of Tesla until recently, seem to have moved on to cryptocurrencies, brick-and-mortar video-game retailers, and movie-theater chains.

但是,尽管特斯拉的实际业务最近已经成熟,但它的股票并没有表现得很好。周二上午略有上涨,今年到目前为止已经下跌了9%,在过去的六个月里下跌了超过五分之一,落后于福特(Ford)和通用汽车(General Motors)等规模更大的竞争对手。迷因股票爱好者直到最近才对特斯拉感到厌倦,他们似乎已经转向了加密货币、实体视频游戏零售商和电影院连锁店。

One reason: Tesla's excellent results underscore how disconnected its valuation is from business reality. Tesla has earned $1.41 a share so far this year. If the automaker continues to shine in 2021, it might earn $4 a share on a GAAP basis. At the current stock price, the company is valued at more than 150 times that still-hypothetical earnings figure -- orders of magnitude higher than any comparable rival.

原因之一是:特斯拉的出色业绩突显出其估值与商业现实脱节的程度。今年到目前为止,特斯拉每股盈利1.41美元。如果这家汽车制造商在2021年继续大放异彩,按公认会计准则(GAAP)计算,它可能会每股盈利4美元。按照目前的股价计算,该公司的估值是仍在假设的盈利数字的150倍以上,比任何可比竞争对手高出几个数量级。

And the news wasn't entirely positive on Monday: Tesla said its semitrailer truck, which Mr. Musk first showed to the public in 2017, wouldn't begin production until next year. Given Tesla's decade-long track record of overpromising on timelines, investors shouldn't be expecting even this new guidance to hold up.

周一的消息并不完全是正面的:特斯拉表示,马斯克于2017年首次向公众展示的半挂车要到明年才会开始生产。考虑到特斯拉十年来在时间表上承诺过高的记录,投资者甚至不应该指望这一新的指导方针能站得住脚。

Meanwhile, rivals such as $Ford Motor Co(F.US)$, $General Motors Co(GM.US)$, and $VOLKSWAGEN A G(VWAGY.US)$ are developing electric offerings of their own. And startups, including Lucid Motors, give investors more options to speculate on an electrified future.

与此同时,竞争对手,如$福特汽车公司(F.US)$, $通用汽车公司(GM.US)$,及$大众汽车A G(VWAGY.US)$都在开发自己的电动产品。而包括Lucid Motors在内的初创公司,给了投资者更多的选择来投机电气化的未来。

Tesla seems to have put its most turbulent days behind it. That doesn't preclude a bumpy ride for its shareholders in the future.

特斯拉似乎已经摆脱了最动荡的日子。但这并不排除其股东未来会经历一段坎坷的旅程。

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

(完)道琼通讯社

July 27, 2021 09:32 ET (13:32 GMT)

2021年7月27日09:32美国东部时间(格林尼治标准时间13:32)

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