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Lucid Motors Stock Needs to Cool off a Bit After This EPA Rating Pop

Lucid Motors Stock Needs to Cool off a Bit After This EPA Rating Pop

美国环保局评级上升后,Lucid Motors的股票需要稍微降温
InvestorPlace ·  2021/10/22 06:00

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EV startup Lucid Motors (NASDAQ:LCID) stock is soaring after Lucid Air received an Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) rating.

在Lucid Air获得环境保护署(EPA)评级后,电动汽车初创公司Lucid Motors(纳斯达克股票代码:LCID)的股价飙升。

Source: gg5795 / Shutterstock.com
资料来源:gg5795 /Shutterstock.com

With momentum building it's clear that investors are betting big on these vehicles becoming a major player in America's near future transportation landscape.

随着势头的增强,很明显,投资者押注这些车辆将成为美国不久的将来交通格局的主要参与者。

There's also been more attention from the media coming from the launch of luxury sedan EVs, not to mention material upside as they begin deliveries.

豪华轿车电动汽车的推出也引起了媒体的更多关注,更不用说它们开始交付时的实质性上行空间了。

Against this backdrop, LCID stock becomes an interesting EV prospect—however, the intense competition. And an already high market capitalization makes it hard to justify a long position in Lucid at current levels.

在这种背景下,LCID股票成为了有趣的电动汽车前景——但是,竞争激烈。而且,本已很高的市值使得很难证明在当前水平上持有Lucid的多头头寸是合理的。

Lucid completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Churchill Capital Corp IV in July. The combination raised $4.4 billion, giving the company more than enough resources for at least until the end of 2022.

Lucid于7月完成了与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)丘吉尔第四资本公司的反向合并。此次合并筹集了44亿美元,使该公司至少在2022年底之前有足够的资源。

The problem is that Lucid Motors is already trading like a legacy automaker. In 2022 it will generate less than $3 billion in revenues.

问题在于,Lucid Motors已经像传统汽车制造商一样进行交易了。到2022年,它将产生不到30亿美元的收入。

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By 2024, this number will be less than $10 billion if everything continues according to plan. But the numbers do not justify a market cap of over $41 billion.

如果一切按计划进行,到2024年,这个数字将低于100亿美元。但是这些数字并不能证明市值超过410亿美元的合理性。

The company lacks revenues right now and has no car to sell, so their stock is risky. There are other EV plays with more potential out there that are not nearly as expensive.

该公司目前缺乏收入,也没有汽车可以出售,因此他们的股票存在风险。还有其他具有更大潜力的电动汽车公司,但价格却没有那么昂贵。

Several Challenges Ahead

未来的几项挑战

Lucid Motors was founded 14 years ago and is currently in the pre-revenue stage. It still hasn't entered a commercialization phase, but they hope to release their first vehicles this year if everything goes according to plan.

Lucid Motors成立于14年前,目前处于盈利前阶段。它仍未进入商业化阶段,但如果一切按计划进行,他们希望在今年发布第一批汽车。

It specializes in the design and production of luxury electric vehicles. They are gearing for the launch of their flagship car; an all-electric sedan called Lucid Air. The car will have a base price of around $77K per unit with more expensive versions available for over $170k.

它专门从事豪华电动汽车的设计和生产。他们正为旗舰车的推出做准备;一款名为Lucid Air的全电动轿车。该车的基本价格约为每单位7.7万美元,更昂贵的版本售价超过17万美元。

In the future, Lucid plans on releasing a premium SUV named Project Gravity in 2023. The company will then pivot towards more affordable vehicles. But it's too soon to tell if they'll successfully commercialize their models.

未来,Lucid计划在2023年发布一款名为Project Gravity的高端SUV。然后,该公司将转向更实惠的汽车。但是,现在判断他们是否会成功将其模型商业化还为时过早。

However, the EPA rating is certainly good news for LCID bulls. The Lucid Air Dream Edition Range was recently given its EPA rating, and it has already made a splash by topping the EV market with an amazing 520 miles of range on one charge.

但是,对于LCID多头来说,EPA的评级无疑是个好消息。Lucid Air Dream Edition系列最近获得了EPA评级,它已经在电动汽车市场上名列前茅,一次充电即可达到惊人的520英里续航里程。

This sedan is going to be popular before it even becomes available for purchase.

这款轿车在可供购买之前就会很受欢迎。

The EPA rating is a big deal for electric vehicle companies because it provides them with much-needed credibility. It also helps establish brand trust, resulting in higher reservations/sales.

EPA的评级对电动汽车公司来说意义重大,因为它为他们提供了急需的信誉。它还有助于建立品牌信任,从而提高预订量/销售额。

Nevertheless, the negative part is that there are only 13,000 paid reservations so far.

尽管如此,不利的一面是,到目前为止,只有13,000份付费预订。

It's uncertain whether all potential customers will buy the vehicle on launch since the reservation fee is $300 and the reservations are fully refundable.

目前尚不确定是否所有潜在客户都会在发布时购买该车辆,因为预订费为300美元,而且预订可全额退款。

And we have not even discussed the possibility of another delay.

而且我们甚至没有讨论再次推迟的可能性。

LCID Stock Is Risky and Trading at a Premium

LCID 股票存在风险且交易溢价

Lucid is an electric vehicle startup with no sales and no commercial manufacturing experience.

Lucid是一家电动汽车初创公司,没有销售,也没有商业制造经验。

The EV maker is also burning through a lot of cash at this point. But this could increase tenfold if they go through the full development stage on their latest model.

这家电动汽车制造商此时也在消耗大量现金。但是,如果他们进入最新模型的全面开发阶段,这一数字可能会增加十倍。

LCID stock also comes with considerable risks as major car brands like Ford (NYSE:F) and General Motors (NYSE:GM) are also set to release more vehicles that only run on electricity in coming years.

LCID股票也存在相当大的风险,因为福特(纽约证券交易所代码:F)和通用汽车(纽约证券交易所代码:GM)等主要汽车品牌也将在未来几年内发布更多仅靠电力运行的汽车。

Luxury electric vehicles are becoming more popular as the market continues to grow. Lucid has strong marketing and loyal customers, which gives them an edge in this competitive industry.

随着市场的持续增长,豪华电动汽车正变得越来越受欢迎。Lucid 拥有强大的营销能力和忠诚的客户,这使他们在这个竞争激烈的行业中占据优势。

A successful launch for their luxury sedan could make them one of your go-to brands. But there's a chance that margins may start decreasing as more companies enter the sector.

他们的豪华轿车成功推出可能会使它们成为您的首选品牌之一。但是,随着越来越多的公司进入该行业,利润率可能会开始下降。

All things considered, Lucid is one of the most promising EV startups, and their Air reservations could be better than expected by year-end.

综上所述,Lucid是最有前途的电动汽车初创公司之一,到年底,他们的机票预订可能会好于预期。

The free-charging offer makes a purchase even more attractive, but Lucid faces its biggest test yet with the upcoming rollout: will customers want something new or would rather stick to what they know with Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)? We will have to wait and see, which makes LCID stock a risky proposition at this stage.

免费充电优惠使购买更具吸引力,但Lucid在即将推出的产品中面临着迄今为止最大的考验:客户会想要新的东西还是宁愿坚持他们对特斯拉(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)的了解?我们必须拭目以待,这使得LCID股票在现阶段是一个冒险的选择。

On the publication date, Faizan Farooque did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,Faizan Farooque没有(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com出版指南的约束。

Faizan Farooque is a contributing author for InvestorPlace.com and numerous other financial sites. Faizan has several years of experience in analyzing the stock market and was a former data journalist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Faizan Farooque 是《Investorpla 以及许多其他金融网站。Faizan在股市分析方面拥有多年的经验,曾是标普全球市场情报的数据记者。

The post Lucid Motors Stock Needs to Cool off a Bit After This EPA Rating Pop appeared first on InvestorPlace.

在这次美国环保局评级大放异彩之后,Lucid Motors的股票需要稍微降温,这篇文章首次出现在InvestorPlace上。

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