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The secret behind charts

The secret behind charts

图表背后的秘密
Moomoo Courses ·  2021/12/02 01:48

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We got a helpful tip from the last lesson: to buy a wonderful company at a fair price.

我们从上一节课中得到了一个有用的提示:以公平的价格收购一家优秀的公司。

But what are the factors affecting the price?

但是影响价格的因素是什么呢?

Well, fundamentals represent one side of the coin, while technical analysis is often the other. 

嗯,基本面是硬币的一面,而技术分析往往是另一面。

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Stock prices rise and fall. It's nothing unusual.

股票价格有涨有跌。这没什么不寻常的。

Even for a wonderful company, there are ups and downs.

即使是一家出色的公司,也会有起伏。

So the question is, how to spot the highs and lows?

因此,问题是,如何发现高点和低点?

The answer is sought after by almost all market players.

几乎所有的市场参与者都在寻找答案。

Among all approaches in the market, technical analysis is a widely-used one. 

在市场上的所有方法中,技术分析是一种被广泛使用的方法。

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Technical analysis involves many tools.

技术分析涉及很多工具。

Let's get started with the most basic and commonly used one: candlesticks. 

让我们从最基本、最常用的一个开始吧:烛台。

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If you pay attention to a stock's daily chart, you'll find that price movements are usually not displayed in the form of a line chart. 

如果你注意一只股票的日线图,你会发现价格的变动通常不会以折线图的形式显示。

Instead, they are displayed in what is known as a candlestick chart which conveys more information about a stock. 

相反,它们被显示在被称为烛台图的地方,它传达了关于股票的更多信息。

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Let's first take a look at this line chart.

我们先来看一下这张折线图。

What does it tell us?

它告诉我们什么?

Apparently, we can tell there's a sharp price decline, but anything else?

很明显,我们可以看出价格有大幅下降,但还有其他的吗?

The answer is probably no.

答案可能是否定的。

To learn more about a stock, we can turn to a candlestick chart. 

要了解更多关于股票的信息,我们可以看烛台图。

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From the candlesticks, we can tell that the stock made multiple attempts to drop below $100 but eventually failed and bounced back. 

从烛台上我们可以看出,该股曾多次试图跌破100美元,但最终都失败了,并出现反弹。

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In this example, $100 is known as a support level where traders step in to avoid a further price drop.

在这个例子中,100美元被认为是交易员为避免价格进一步下跌而介入的支撑位。

Likewise, if the price meets pressure on its way up and cannot climb over a certain level, such level is known as a resistance level, where a growing number of sellers sell the stock at that price. 

同样,如果价格在上涨过程中遇到压力,无法攀升到一定水平,那么这种水平就被称为阻力位,越来越多的卖家在这个价格卖出股票。

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Candlesticks reflect the trading activities of buyers and sellers.

烛台反映了买卖双方的交易活动。

Before you can read a full candlestick chart, you need to know what each candle is made up of. Let's start with the body, shadow, and color of a daily candle.

在你阅读完整的烛台图之前,你需要知道每根蜡烛是由什么组成的。让我们从日常蜡烛的身体、阴影和颜色开始。

The body tells the day's open and close, the shadow shows the day's high and low, and the color tells the direction of movement during the period the candle was formed. 

身体告诉人们一天的开合,阴影显示一天的高低,颜色告诉人们蜡烛形成期间的运动方向。

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If the closing price is higher than the opening price, the candle will often be colored green to represent a bullish candle.

如果收盘价高于开盘价,蜡烛通常会被涂成绿色,代表看涨蜡烛。

Conversely, if the closing price is lower than the opening price, it is usually colored red to represent a bearish candle. 

相反,如果收盘价低于开盘价,它通常会被涂成红色,代表看跌的蜡烛。

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For example, a green candle will be formed if a stock opens at $155 and closes at $156, with the intraday high and low being $157 and $154, respectively.

例如,如果一只股票开盘报155美元,收盘报156美元,将形成绿色蜡烛,盘中高点和低点分别为157美元和154美元。

Based on the candle's body, shadow and color, we could quickly understand its intraday price movements. 

根据蜡烛的形体、阴影和颜色,我们可以迅速了解其盘中价格走势。

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Every candle reveals a battle of emotions between buyers and sellers.

每根蜡烛都揭示了买家和卖家之间的情感之战。

In general, there are three types of candlestick interpretations: bullish, bearish, and neutral. 

一般说来,烛台有三种类型的解读:看涨、看跌和中性。

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A full body candle indicates strong buying or selling, meaning that the buying or selling power is strong enough to push the stock price far from the open and to maintain the trend at market close. 

全身蜡烛表示强劲的买入或卖出,意味着买入或卖出的力量足够强大,足以推动股价远离开盘,并在收盘时保持走势。

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If a candle has long upper and lower shadows, it indicates high volatility occurred during the trading session, meaning that the stock price fluctuated substantially with both bulls and bears unable to overcome each other.

如果一根蜡烛有很长的上下阴影,这表明交易时段发生了很大的波动,这意味着股价大幅波动,多头和空头都无法克服对方。

That's why a candle with long shadows often indicates a neutral sentiment. 

这就是为什么有长长阴影的蜡烛通常意味着中立的情绪。

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We can more or less sense the intraday sentiment on a stock from one candle, but the information we gain from a series of candles can be a lot more valuable. 

我们或多或少可以从一支蜡烛上感受到一只股票的盘中情绪,但我们从一系列蜡烛上获得的信息可能要有价值得多。

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Let's start with two daily candles, a bull and a bear.

让我们从每天两支蜡烛开始,一只公牛和一只熊。

If we combine the two candles into one, what would we get? 

如果我们把这两支蜡烛合为一支,我们会得到什么?

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The result is a third candle representing the open, high, low, and close over the past two days.

结果是第三支蜡烛,代表过去两天的开盘、高点、低点和收盘价。

The third candle has a small body, a short upper shadow, and a long lower shadow, suggesting that the price dropped sharply before buyers stepped in and pushed it back.

第三支蜡烛的主体很小,上面的阴影很短,下面的阴影很长,这表明在买家介入并将其推回之前,价格大幅下跌。

From this example, we can tell that by switching the time frame for candlesticks, we may get a completely different story. 

从这个例子中,我们可以看出,通过改变烛台的时间框架,我们可能会得到一个完全不同的故事。

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To further explore the meaning of candlesticks, let's take a look at another example.

为了进一步探讨烛台的含义,让我们来看另一个例子。

This daily chart seems to show a downward trend, right?

这张日线图似乎是呈下降趋势,对吧?

But when we set a longer time frame, say weekly, guess what will happen? 

但是当我们设定一个更长的时间框架,比如说每周,你猜会发生什么?

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It seems that the stock maintains an upward trend!

看起来这只股票保持着上涨的趋势!

By referring to both daily and weekly charts, we can tell that the recent drop in share price may indicate a correction instead of a downward trend or reversal. 

从日线图和周线图可以看出,近期股价下跌可能意味着回调,而不是下跌趋势或反转。

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Keep in mind, although candlesticks are helpful in quickly reading market sentiment, they should be used along with other technical analysis tools to interpret the overall market trend. 

请记住,尽管烛台有助于快速解读市场情绪,但它们应该与其他技术分析工具一起使用,以解读整体市场趋势。

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'How can I better understand the market trend?' you may ask.

他说,我怎样才能更好地了解市场趋势?你可能会问。

No hurry, we're going to figure this out in the next chapter! 

不着急,我们会在下一章解决这个问题的!

For more investment knowledge and trends, welcome to Courses in the Community.

欲了解更多投资知识和趋势,欢迎访问课程在社区里。

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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