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Buy DigitalOcean Stock Now, If Your Concern Is 2026

Buy DigitalOcean Stock Now, If Your Concern Is 2026

如果您担心的是2026年,现在就购买DigitalOcean股票
InvestorPlace ·  2021/12/15 21:02

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DigitalOcean $DigitalOcean(DOCN.US)$ stock is a growth name in a time of value. DigitalOcean nearly matched its 2020 revenue in the first three quarters of 2021. Its losses are narrowing and operating cash flow has skyrocketed. There's nothing wrong with the cloud hosting company's operations.

数字海洋 $DigitalOcean(DOCN.US)$股票是价值时代的增长名称。DigitalOcean在2021年前三个季度的收入几乎与其2020年的收入持平。它的亏损正在缩小,运营现金流飙升。云托管公司的运营没有任何问题。

What's wrong is its valuation in the eyes of the market. Even after dropping 28% in less than a month, DigitalOcean's market capitalization of $8.06 billion is still over 20 times expected 2021 revenue. The value of growth has a limit. What you need to answer today is where the limit lies.

问题在于它在市场眼中的估值。即使在不到一个月的时间里下跌了28%,DigitalOcean的市值80.6亿美元仍然是2021年预期收入的20倍以上。增长的价值是有限的。今天你需要回答的是极限在哪里。

What's in the Ocean?

海洋里有什么?

DigitalOcean was founded 10 years ago to serve software developers with cloud hosting that explicitly supported open source.

DigitalOcean成立于10年前,旨在为软件开发人员提供明确支持开源的云托管服务。

Co-founders Ben and Moisey Uretsky saw a niche, Andreesen Horowitz led the funding, and the company's March IPO was a huge success. Investors who bought at $41 on March 26 had stock worth over $120/share by November. Even with the stock's recent fall, those investors have doubled their money.

联合创始人本和莫西·乌雷茨基看到了一个利基市场,安德森·霍洛维茨(Andreesen Horowitz)领衔融资,该公司3月份的首次公开募股(IPO)取得了巨大成功。3月26日以41美元的价格买入的投资者,到11月时已拥有价值超过120美元/股的股票。即使最近股价下跌,这些投资者的资金还是翻了一番。

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DigitalOcean now has a global network of 8 data centers, all in major computing hubs like Frankfurt in Germany, Bangalore in India, New York, and San Francisco. While it has its own technical terms (virtual machines are called "droplets"), it sells itself as being easier to use than giant competitors like Amazon.Com's (NASDAQ:AMZN) Amazon Web Services.

DigitalOcean现在拥有一个由8个数据中心组成的全球网络,所有这些数据中心都位于主要的计算中心,如德国的法兰克福、印度的班加罗尔、纽约和旧金山。虽然它有自己的技术术语(虚拟机被称为“Drops”),但它将自己标榜为比像这样的大型竞争对手更容易使用亚马逊的(纳斯达克代码:AMZN)亚马逊网络服务。

Analysts love DigitalOcean. It's growing 25%, its prospects are excellent, and profits are on the horizon.

分析师喜欢DigitalOcean。它正在增长25%,前景非常好,盈利即将到来。

Name Your Price

开出你的价格

Unfortunately for investors, the market has decided that there's a limit to growth's value. As 2021 turns into 2022, investors want "real" things. They want value stocks. If interest rates are rising, if money costs money, only real gains will make up for inflation, goes the thinking.

对投资者来说,不幸的是,市场已经认定增长的价值是有限的。随着2021年进入2022年,投资者想要的是“真实”的东西。他们想要价值型股票。这种想法认为,如果利率在上升,如果钱是要花钱的,那么只有实际收益才能弥补通胀。

This is not just a problem for DigitalOcean. Technology in general has fallen out of favor. Companies like Crowdstrike (NASDAQ:CRWD), Asana (NYSE:ASAN), and Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) have all been falling in price, with buyers ignoring calls to "buy the dip"  or pick up a "bargain." 

这不仅仅是DigitalOcean的问题。总的来说,技术已经失宠。像这样的公司CrowdStrike(纳斯达克:CRWD),体式(纽约证券交易所代码:ASAN),以及帕兰提尔(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PLTR)的价格一直在下跌,买家对“逢低买入”或“逢低买入”的呼声置之不理。

However, you can claim that DigitalOcean will grow five-fold by 2030, and it might. But what's the value of that growth? Is it 30 times current revenue? Is it 20 times revenue, which is the present valuation? Is it lower?

然而,你可以宣称,到2030年,数字海洋将增长五倍,而且有可能。但这种增长的价值是什么呢?是现在收入的30倍吗?是收入的20倍吗?这是目前的估值吗?是不是更低了?

Moreover, there are also hard questions for customers to answer. At a market cap of $8.06 billion, DigitalOcean is vulnerable to takeover. If DigitalOcean does get a buyout offer, will it come from a company that's equally friendly to open source? You don't want to move operations away from the big, bad wolf only to have the wolf buy your new home.

此外,还有一些客户很难回答的问题。市值80.6亿美元的DigitalOcean很容易被收购。如果DigitalOcean真的收到了收购要约,它会来自一家对开源同样友好的公司吗?你不会想要为了让狼买下你的新家而把业务从大而坏的狼身上转移出来。

Officially, analysts have yet to give up on DigitalOcean, with 8 of 10 at Tipranks having it on their buy lists. Unofficially all the technical indicators on the stock are down.

在官方看来,分析师尚未放弃DigitalOcean,Tipranks 10家公司中有8家在他们的买入清单上。非正式情况下,该股的所有技术指标都在下跌。

This leaves investors looking for the bounce. It may have come on Dec. 6, when shares hit a low of $84. But another wave of tech selling on December 15 had DOCN stock opening at about $73.08, a lower low.

这让投资者开始寻找反弹的机会。它可能发生在12月6日,当时股价跌至84美元的低点。但12月15日的另一波科技股抛售导致DOCN股价开盘报73.08美元左右,为较低水平。

The Bottom Line

底线

Dips pass and fashions change. If you buy DigitalOcean today, you might be in the red tomorrow. But will you still be in the red a year from now?

低潮过去了,时尚改变了。如果你今天购买了DigitalOcean,明天你可能会出现亏损。但从现在开始一年后,你还会出现赤字吗?

Over the long term, tech is the best hedge you can have against inflation. Tech investments lower the cost of doing business. They replace people with software. They create productivity, efficiency, and deflation.

从长远来看,科技是抵御通胀的最佳对冲手段。科技投资降低了做生意的成本。他们用软件取代人。它们创造了生产力、效率和通货紧缩。

If you're worried about next month, you can wait for analysts to grow bearish and for DigitalOcean to go lower. If your concern is 2026, DOCN Stock is a buy here.

如果你担心下个月,你可以等分析师变得悲观,等DigitalOcean走低。如果你关心的是2026年,DOCN股票在这里是一个买入。

On the date of publication, Dana Blankenhorn held a long position in AMZN. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,Dana Blankenhorn在AMZN担任多头职务。本文表达的观点是作者的观点,以InvestorPlace.com为准出版指南.

Dana Blankenhorn has been a financial and technology journalist since 1978. Just in time for the holidays he has a collection of COVID-19 stories at the Amazon Kindle store. Write him at danablankenhorn@gmail.com or tweet him at @danablankenhorn. He writes a Substack newsletter, Facing the Future, which covers technology, markets, and politics.

达娜·布兰肯霍恩(Dana Blankenhorn)自1978年以来一直是一名金融和科技记者。正好赶上假期,他收集了一本新冠肺炎故事集。在亚马逊Kindle商店。写信给他,地址是邮箱:danablankenhorn@gmail.com或者在推特上告诉他@danablankenhorn。他写了一份子栈时事通讯,面向未来,它涵盖了技术、市场和政治。

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