Cathie Wood's ARK stays the course, betting big on innovation
Cathie Wood's ARK stays the course, betting big on innovation
By Michael Wursthorn
迈克尔·维尔松(Michael Wursthorn)著
Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management LLC is snapping up more shares of largely unprofitable companies, doubling down on a bet that many traders and investors expect to be tested this year by rising interest rates.
凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)的方舟投资管理公司(Ark Investment Management LLC)正在抢购更多基本上无利可图的公司的股票,加倍押注,许多交易员和投资者预计今年将受到利率上升的考验。
Over the past two weeks, Ms. Wood's flagship $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK.US)$ has bought more than $400 million of high-growth stocks, including $Roblox(RBLX.US)$, $Block(SQ.US)$ and $Robinhood(HOOD.US)$. That's according to the firm's daily trading logs and stock-pricing data as of Friday. She says the companies, which span videogaming, digital payments, trading and other industries, have the potential to change the world.
在过去的两周里,伍德女士的旗舰产品$方舟创新ETF(ARKK.US)$购买了超过4亿美元的高成长股,包括$Roblox(RBLX.US)$, $阻止(SQ.US)$和$Robinhood(HOOD.US)$。这是根据该公司截至上周五的每日交易记录和股票定价数据得出的。她说,这些公司横跨视频游戏、数字支付、贸易和其他行业,有可能改变世界。
Shares of Roblox, Block and Robinhood are down at least 25% each over the first six weeks of the year. More than half of all of the stocks in the ETF, which goes by the ticker ARKK, are down 20% or more in 2022, according to FactSet.
今年前六周,Roblox、Block和Robinhood的股价分别下跌了至少25%。根据FactSet的数据,这只代号为Arkk的ETF中有一半以上的股票在2022年下跌了20%或更多。
ARK was among the big winners of the pandemic era, which featured big gains in shares of many unprofitable companies and cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin, as a result of low interest rates and extensive stimulus. Investors in these assets are now facing a rising interest-rate environment that stands to be much less forgiving to unprofitable firms or those trading at high valuations.
方舟是大流行时代的大赢家之一,由于低利率和广泛的刺激措施,许多无利可图的公司和比特币等加密货币的股价大幅上涨。这些资产的投资者现在面临着不断上升的利率环境,对无利可图的公司或那些估值较高的公司来说,这种环境将变得不那么宽容。
That doesn't bode well for Ms. Wood and her ARK funds, analysts said. When rates are low, companies often are freed to spend more on investing in their businesses and reduce the amount they spend servicing debt. Higher rates push up borrowing costs and potentially delay profitability.
分析师说,这对伍德和她的方舟基金来说不是好兆头。当利率较低时,公司通常可以自由地在业务投资上投入更多资金,减少偿债支出。更高的利率推高了借贷成本,并可能推迟盈利。
"Aggressive growth stocks are naturally disadvantaged when rates are rising," said Robby Greengold, an analyst with Morningstar.
晨星(Morningstar)分析师罗比·格林戈尔德(Robby Greengold)表示:“当利率上升时,激进的成长型股票自然处于不利地位。”
The ARK Innovation ETF is down 24% this year, matching its decline in 2021. The fund has lagged well behind the broader stock market, which has come under pressure, too. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have fallen 7.3% and 12%, respectively, in 2022 after logging double-digit increases last year.
方舟创新ETF今年下跌24%,与2021年的跌幅持平。该基金的表现远远落后于大盘,大盘也面临压力。继去年录得两位数涨幅后,标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在2022年分别下跌了7.3%和12%。
ARK has largely stuck to its strategy of buying and holding shares of companies it believes offer the greatest potential for change and innovation. $Tesla(TSLA.US)$, $Roku Inc(ROKU.US)$ and $Teladoc Health(TDOC.US)$ were the top three holdings in the innovation fund as of Friday. That is similar to early 2021, when Tesla, Roku and Block were the top three, with Teladoc coming in fifth.
方舟在很大程度上坚持其购买和持有其认为具有最大变革和创新潜力的公司的股票的战略。$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$, $Roku Inc.(ROKU.US)$和$Teladoc Health(TDOC.US)$是截至周五创新基金的前三大持有量。这与2021年初类似,当时特斯拉、Roku和Block位居前三,Teladoc位居第五。
Tesla, Roku and Teladoc are all down at least 19% in 2022, partly reversing large gains in 2020 when the pandemic turned them into stock-market darlings.
特斯拉、Roku和Teladoc在2022年都下跌了至少19%,部分逆转了2020年的大幅涨幅,当时疫情让它们成为股市宠儿。
There have been some changes to the innovation fund, too. $Zillow-C(Z.US)$, for example, was a top 10 holding last year and ARK frequently added to its position. It eventually unloaded the shares last fall, after the company said it was exiting the home-buying space following substantial losses.
创新基金也有一些变化。$Zillow-C(Z.US)$例如,去年是前10名的持有量,方舟经常增加其头寸。去年秋天,在该公司表示在大幅亏损后将退出购房空间后,该公司最终抛售了这些股票。
A spokeswoman for ARK referred to recent videos by Ms. Wood highlighting the firm's strategy and take on market conditions.
方舟的一位女发言人提到了伍德最近发布的强调公司战略和应对市场状况的视频。
"Today, we are still seeing things very differently from many others out there, particularly when it comes to inflation and interest rates and most importantly, innovation," Ms. Wood said in a video to investors this month.
伍德本月在给投资者的一段视频中说,“今天,我们的看法仍然与其他许多人截然不同,特别是在通胀和利率方面,最重要的是在创新方面。”
Ms. Wood added that a rise in Treasury yields to 3% would be more of an issue for mature growth companies facing steeper competition rather than the "super growth companies" she favors. She likened the situation to the early 2000s, saying $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ managed to achieve double-digit annual revenue growth.
伍德补充说,对于面临更激烈竞争的成熟成长型公司来说,美国国债收益率升至3%将是更大的问题,而不是她青睐的“超级成长型公司”。她将目前的情况比作21世纪初,她说$亚马逊(AMZN.US)$设法实现了两位数的年收入增长。
"You would've bought that stock all day long as a value investor," Ms. Wood said. "And of course the returns would've been phenomenal. We are in that same place with truly emerging growth right now."
伍德说,“作为价值型投资者,你可能会一整天都在买入这只股票。”“当然,回报将是惊人的。我们现在正处于同样的位置,拥有真正新兴的增长。”
Ms. Wood's message appears to be winning over some supporters. ARKK has gotten $350.8 million of net inflows over the past week, including more than $300 million on Thursday, its biggest single-day inflow since June, according to FactSet.
伍德的信息似乎正在赢得一些支持者的支持。根据FactSet的数据,Arkk过去一周净流入3.508亿美元,其中周四净流入逾3亿美元,为6月以来最大单日流入。
But Ms. Wood's detractors remain.
但伍德的批评者依然存在。
Bearish bets against ARKK account for nearly 16% of the fund's shares, according to data from S3 Partners. That is down from a peak of 17.3% in mid-January, but well above levels over most of the fund's lifespan.
根据S3 Partners的数据,看跌Arkk的股票占该基金份额的近16%。这低于1月中旬17.3%的峰值,但远高于该基金大部分寿命的水平。
Besides that, an ETF designed to track the inverse of ARKK's performance, the $Tuttle Capital Short Innovation ETF(SARK.US)$, has taken net inflows of nearly $200 million from investors so far this year, pushing assets to $309.8 million, according to FactSet data. The ETF, which goes by the ticker SARK, is up 24% in 2022.
此外,一只旨在跟踪方舟业绩反转的ETF,$Tuttle Capital做空创新ETF(SARK.US)$根据FactSet的数据,今年迄今已从投资者那里净流入近2亿美元,将资产推高至3.098亿美元。这只代号为Sark的ETF在2022年上涨了24%。
"There's demand out there to be short ARKK," said Matthew Tuttle, chief executive of Tuttle Capital. "We look at this as a better way to hedge your portfolio."
塔特尔资本(Tuttle Capital)首席执行官马修·塔特尔(Matthew Tuttle)表示:“市场上有做空方舟的需求。”“我们认为这是对冲你的投资组合的更好方式。”
Ms. Wood called the rollout of ETFs such as SARK "interesting" in her video before reiterating her view that disruption shouldn't be underestimated.
伍德在视频中称SARK等ETF的推出“很有趣”,然后重申了她的观点,即不应低估颠覆性。
"I think history tells us not to bet against innovation," she said.
她说:“我认为历史告诉我们不要押注于创新。”
Write to Michael Wursthorn at Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com
写信给Michael Wursthorn:Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com