During 2000-2003 the US economy was impacted by multiple negative forces including a recession, a 49% decline in the S&P500, and the shock of 9/11, but US house prices grew at a 9% annual rate during this period. Thus, macro-economic distress needn't always lead to falling home prices. However, we think the present situation differs from that of 2000-2003 in two respects: (1) during 2000-2003 unemployment rates peaked at 6% while our Economics team sees unemployment reaching 9% in the coming quarters (2) 30-year mortgage rates fell by 300bp during 2000-2003 but currently have less room to compress. On net, we think the strong positive and strong negative forces affecting the US housing market will lead to a 2% decline in national a
Independence Realty Trust, Inc.股票讨论
新增数据：23Q3，23Q4，营收持续小幅增长，营业利润持续小幅萎缩，净利润Q4转为亏损。
2023年营收增长5.2%，营业利润增长58.8%，净利润转为亏损，每股净资产减少4.9%。
2019至今每股净资产从6.76增长到15.29，4年平均增速为22.6%，股息率4%，市净率1，综合来看估值仍有折扣，暂不做调整。
5年来营收在前4年持续增长，平均增速为11.6%，受2021Q4的并购影响，2022年营收大幅增长1.5倍，营业利润前4年受营业费用不断攀升影响变化不大，2022年猛增79.3%，净利润在2022年暴增1.65倍。
2023上半年营收增长6.6%，营业利润受折旧费用大幅下降影响增长了4.4倍（这个很奇怪，照理说资产越多折旧应该越大才对），净利润则由于缺乏资产出售收益的加持大幅萎缩71.4%。
总资产65亿中有62亿是房地产，总负债28亿。
目前市盈率27，市盈率TTM已经提高到了44.7，市净率0.9，股息率4%，可以谨慎选择(⭐️)
• $飞塔信息 (FTNT.US)$ BMO Capital升级为跑赢大盘 - 目标价350美元（由325美元）
• $微芯科技 (MCHP.US)$ Stifel升级为买入 - 目标价75美元（由70美元）
• $Ovintiv (OVV.US)$ ：摩根大通从中立升级为增持-目标价64美元（从56美元）
• $Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$ ：Compass Point从中立升级为买入-目标价14美元（从30美元）
• $Snowflake (SNOW.US)$ 摩根大通升级为买入……
• $美国航空 (AAL.US)$ ：JP Morgan将评级从减持升级为中立 - 目标价26美元（原目标价18美元）
• $The AZEK (AZEK.US)$ 花旗集团 从中立升级为买入 - 目标价为$30（由$36）
• $BXP Inc (BXP.US)$ 瑞穗 从中立升级为买入 - 目标价为$135（由$120）
• $陶氏化学 (DOW.US)$ 花旗集团 从中立升级为买入 - 目标价为$82（由$70）
• $克罗格 (KR.US)$ Exane 从跑输市场升级为中立 - 目标价为$60
• $Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.US)$ ：Piper Sandler将评级从中立调高
(1) during 2000-2003 unemployment rates peaked at 6% while our Economics team sees unemployment reaching 9% in the coming quarters
(2) 30-year mortgage rates fell by 300bp during 2000-2003 but currently have less room to compress.
On net, we think the strong positive and strong negative forces affecting the US housing market will lead to a 2% decline in national a
暂无评论