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How far the high price of oil can go?

$美國原油ETF (USO.US)$ $兩倍做空彭博原油ETF-Proshares (SCO.US)$ $WTI原油主連(2501) (CLmain.US)$ Someone can tell me if I am wrong. I don’t think the high price will last too long because of two reasons.
The first, if the oil price not drop down, the inflation will crash the economy. When recession comes, all the things’ price will drop include oil.
Second, if Fed keep increasing interest to hold down the demand side, and success control the inflation. The recession doesn’t happen but the oil price still drop because of low inflation and low demand.
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