FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIRMAN JEROME POWELL HAS A SPEECH TOMORROW THAT WILL SURELY MOVE MARKETS
All investors around the world will be watching Jerome Powell's speech tomorrow.
Check the link above to see how I predicted the short term bounce off of a previous consolidation zone on the SPY. The link will give you a better description, but I have the pictures from the link illustrating the bounce off of a previous consolidation zone directly below. The link also has a great explanation on the correlation of all the major traded securities within equity, forex, commodity, corporate credit, and cryptocurrency markets.
The billish candlesticks from yesterday and today are showing a bounce off this previous consolidation zone. For this bullish bounce to continue then it will absolutely depend on what Jerome Powell says tomorrow in his yearly speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Jerome Powell will be speaking about inflation, interest rates, and the Federal Reserve's policy moving forward.
If Jerome Powell raises interest rates at higher than expected pace then it should impact equity markets negatively. If he raises interest rates at a lesser amount than expected then it should be positive for equity markets.
Typically when the Federal Reserve chairman gives a speech the market has really big moves. I'm expecting a big move this time as well. But I do not know which direction the market will decide on. That is why I purchased a strangle options spread so I can profit off of the big move in either direction. Here is how a strangle works.
Strangle Options Spread
A strangle options play is something you would want to utilize when you are expecting a big move in the markets, but you do not know which direction the move will be. Basically you would purchase an out of the money call and an out of the money put. For a strangle to make profit there must be a big move in either direction so the profit from the winning contract will be more than enough money to offset the losses from the losing contract. But if the move is not big enough in either direction then my strangle will lose big time. I've illustrated how a strangle option spread works in the two charts below.
A strangle options play is something you would want to utilize when you are expecting a big move in the markets, but you do not know which direction the move will be. Basically you would purchase an out of the money call and an out of the money put. For a strangle to make profit there must be a big move in either direction so the profit from the winning contract will be more than enough money to offset the losses from the losing contract. But if the move is not big enough in either direction then my strangle will lose big time. I've illustrated how a strangle option spread works in the two charts below.
So will the markets turn bullish or bearish after Jerome Powell gives his speech tomorrow?
$SPDR 標普500指數ETF (SPY.US)$ $SPDR道瓊斯指數ETF (DIA.US)$ $納指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $iShares羅素2000指數ETF (IWM.US)$ $VIX指數主連(2412) (VXmain.US)$ $美元ETF-PowerShares DB (UUP.US)$ $20+年以上美國國債ETF-iShares (TLT.US)$ $SPDR黄金ETF (GLD.US)$ $白銀ETF-iShares (SLV.US)$ $WTI原油主連(2501) (CLmain.US)$ $債券指數ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司債 (HYG.US)$ $債券指數ETF-iShares iBoxx投資級公司債 (LQD.US)$ $銅主連(2412) (HGmain.US)$
$阿里巴巴-W (09988.HK)$ $蔚來 (NIO.US)$ $蔚來 (NIO.SG)$ $蔚來-SW (09866.HK)$ $騰訊控股(ADR) (TCEHY.US)$ $嗶哩嗶哩-W (09626.HK)$ $嗶哩嗶哩 (BILI.US)$ $小鵬汽車 (XPEV.US)$ $小鵬汽車-W (09868.HK)$ $理想汽車 (LI.US)$ $美團-W (03690.HK)$ $美團(ADR) (MPNGY.US)$ $比亞迪股份 (01211.HK)$ $百度 (BIDU.US)$ $百度集團-SW (09888.HK)$ $恒生指數 (800000.HK)$ $滬深300 (000300.SH)$ $上證指數 (000001.SH)$ $S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$ $富時新加坡海峽指數 (.STI.SG)$ $SPDR 標普500指數ETF (SPY.US)$ $京東 (JD.US)$ $京東集團-SW (09618.HK)$ $拼多多 (PDD.US)$ $比亞迪股份 (01211.HK)$
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iamiam : 我認為它發出了他早點說的話，然後在他說話時崩潰
moneyworkhard : 最好什麼都不說...至少可以看到綠色
Violets : 我想我們今天閱讀，然後在他的演講之前在一場小集會中進行了反轉。問題是星期一會發生什麼？最近第二天他說話後一天是橫向或半看漲。我只是看不到下週看漲繼續。肯定可能錯了哈哈
Stockfishing : 沒有什麼意義M1 仍處於任何時期高，我們生活在謊言的泡泡中。
SpyderCall 樓主 Stockfishing : 市場很少有意義![[敲打]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "敲打")
![[暈]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "暈")
![[裂開]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "裂開")
![[抓狂]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "抓狂")
SpyderCall 樓主 Violets : 我認為，下週我們將迎來本輪反彈的回調。不過，我可能是錯的
Violets : 天哪，關於週五的逆轉，我錯了。我可以看到，到了10點，它會一整天都在下跌，但這是在他發表講話後，市場第一次沒有上漲來支持他。多好的一天啊！我知道你做得很好，我為你感到高興！我天生就是一隻熊市，所以在下跌的日子裏，我總是做得更好。謝謝你的評論一直在尋找你的帖子，因為我總是向你學習。
Violets SpyderCall 樓主 : 同意。或許370左右將是底部
SpyderCall 樓主 Violets : 這是一個堅實的支持。如果我們跌破這一點，那麼我們就會關注360和340水平...我讀了幾篇文章，給出了標普500ETF達到3000人的理由
Violets SpyderCall 樓主 : 哇。期待你的帖子，希望週日LOL
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