13-F Day
We really don't pay all that much attention to the news that floods across our screens on 13-F Day every quarter, but in a way, we do. We know the information is dated, coming 45 days after the quarter being reported ends. We know that short positions and cash positions are not included. What if a long position listed on a 13-F is merely a hedge against a larger short position in a somehow adjacent security? We'll never know.
Many of the 13-Fs released, come from very accomplished funds run or managed by very accomplished managers. I look at many of them. I don't really take away any feelings of conviction or concern about my own book based on the positions taken by these accomplished individuals in names that I do or do not trade, except maybe for two.
I won't change my book necessarily based on what these two have done, but I will read through what they have done a little more thoroughly than the rest and try to put their head in mine, or rather mine in theirs...knowing that the information is both dated and incomplete.
In my opinion, and it's just an opinion, the two greatest investors / traders of my long career on the street have been Warren Buffett and Stanley Druckenmiller. I revere Buffett so, to the point that I have been and remain an investor myself in Berkshire Hathaway, the "B" stock (BRK.B) $伯克希爾-B (BRK.B.US)$ . I choose the B over the A as the Southern Oak in my backyard does not grow gold bars on its branches.
Druckenmiller became a star manager for Quantum Fund (George Soros) and Duquesne Capital, which he shut down in 2010. He has since managed the Duquesne Family Office. We already knew that Buffett had cut his long position in Apple (AAPL) $蘋果 (AAPL.US)$ in half. It appears that Druckenmiller has also reduced his long position in Apple, along with reducing his long side exposure to Nvidia (NVDA) $英偉達 (NVDA.US)$ , and Microsoft (MSFT) $微軟 (MSFT.US)$ , while completely exiting Meta Platforms (META) $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ . His sizable bet on small caps in a broad way, is missing, as perhaps he feels that trade has come and gone. Buffet exited long positions in Paramount Global (PARA) $派拉蒙環球-B (PARA.US)$ , and Snowflake (SNOW) $Snowflake (SNOW.US)$ , while reducing long-side exposure to Chevron (CVX) $雪佛龍 (CVX.US)$ and Louisiana Pacific (LPX) $Louisiana-Pacific (LPX.US)$ . Notably, Buffet increased his long-side exposure to Occidental Petroleum. (OXY) $西方石油 (OXY.US)$ . Perhaps most interesting, was Buffett's new long position in Ulta Beaty (ULTA) $Ulta美容 (ULTA.US)$ .
I am long BRK.B, NVDA, and MSFT.
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built different : 誰問
BH_6730 : 謝謝長官的這篇文章
Space Dust : 馬丁·阿姆斯特朗比巴菲特更是對的
他在幾乎任何人之前開發了一個基於計算機的交易程序,他是「AI」計劃投資者。
在過去的 10 年中,馬丁建議投資的投資的回報率是巴菲特建議的 10 倍。
任何人都可以谷歌過去 30 年的文章以作證明。