ubinguides
表達了心情
10
3
ubinguides
讚了
$Senseonics (SENS.US)$
About the Company:
This play is NOT based around the fundamental value of SENS, but it is important to know what the company is before investing
SENS designs and manufactures Glucose monitoring systems. Their flagship device goes under the skin and transmits data to their app in real time! Their accuracy in real-time monitoring is revolutionary, especially considering that their newest transmitter lasts up to 180 days
They are currently awaiting FDA approval on the 180 day sensor, but have cleared most major regulatory hurdles
Knowing that they are creating a good product clears some of the risk
OK now that we got that boring shit out of the way, let me show you the REAL fun!
Options Market:
Sens has an INSANELY bullish options market with a put/call ratio of 0.2! This means that for every put, there are 5 MORE call options purchased!
https://preview.redd.it/2l7f1dhs5am71.png?width=1173&format=png&auto=webp&s=d48899e2ecf89dd2705d9996efc900c9e89f86a6
EVEN including meme stocks, this is the HIGHEST P/C ratio I have EVER SEEN
A high open interest and P/C ratio mean two things; the market thinks this stock will go up, and this has a potential for a gamma squeeze
The open interest on just 9/17 expiry is INSANE
https://preview.redd.it/ui55d21u5am71.png?width=1365&format=png&auto=webp&s=600508d2ac83260cfba660b4da4652452967eb0f
This means that ANY increase in IV or price of the underlying stock will lead to MM’s purchasing a shit ton of shares to ‘gamma hedge’ to stay delta-neutral, which in turn will lead to a chain reaction of MM’s buying shares to hedge which causes the price and IV to increase further
Every stock/option you buy will be multiplied by this effect, giving you a MUCH larger influence over the price of the stock
Short Interest:
Despite making a good product and having an insanely bullish options market, shorts have over-shorted this stock up to 30% SI!
https://preview.redd.it/1setq0yv5am71.png?width=424&format=png&auto=webp&s=889840adc77bcbb2250f1dd1e7891f5c4372dbb8
Additionally, over the past few weeks about 45% of the daily volume has been sold short
https://preview.redd.it/4gmvqiqw5am71.png?width=818&format=png&auto=webp&s=754d41ce9b3c815b5c9e52fb3c8a12a2d25ca1c3
These numbers alone don’t necessarily mean shorts will cover their positions… But if you include the bullish options market, which is primed for a gamma squeeze, and a potential FDA approval, you begin to see why shorts are fucked and will begin to close their positions soon. All this stock needs is a catalyst...
Possible Catalysts:
The main catalyst I see for a short squeeze is full FDA approval on their 180 day sensor. Once it is approved, many shorts who were betting on the company going bankrupt will get out
A few shorts covering mixed with such high open interest and new investors getting in will lead to a massive price spike and the potential to trigger margin calls on over-leveraged short positions
The more likely situation I see though is an immediate spike followed by slow exits from short positions. I don’t see a massive M O A S S happening, but instead steady upwards momentum as shorts close their positions
I see the 180 day sensor being approved within the next 1-2 months as their 90 day sensor has already been cleared awhile ago and their 180 day sensor has cleared most regulatory requirements already
Positions:
10 $3.5 C 9/17, 10 $4 C 9/17, 20 $4.5 C 9/17, 20 $5 C 9/17, 10 $3.5 C 10/15, 20 $4 C 10/15, 20 $4.5 C 10/15 100 shares
About the Company:
This play is NOT based around the fundamental value of SENS, but it is important to know what the company is before investing
SENS designs and manufactures Glucose monitoring systems. Their flagship device goes under the skin and transmits data to their app in real time! Their accuracy in real-time monitoring is revolutionary, especially considering that their newest transmitter lasts up to 180 days
They are currently awaiting FDA approval on the 180 day sensor, but have cleared most major regulatory hurdles
Knowing that they are creating a good product clears some of the risk
OK now that we got that boring shit out of the way, let me show you the REAL fun!
Options Market:
Sens has an INSANELY bullish options market with a put/call ratio of 0.2! This means that for every put, there are 5 MORE call options purchased!
https://preview.redd.it/2l7f1dhs5am71.png?width=1173&format=png&auto=webp&s=d48899e2ecf89dd2705d9996efc900c9e89f86a6
EVEN including meme stocks, this is the HIGHEST P/C ratio I have EVER SEEN
A high open interest and P/C ratio mean two things; the market thinks this stock will go up, and this has a potential for a gamma squeeze
The open interest on just 9/17 expiry is INSANE
https://preview.redd.it/ui55d21u5am71.png?width=1365&format=png&auto=webp&s=600508d2ac83260cfba660b4da4652452967eb0f
This means that ANY increase in IV or price of the underlying stock will lead to MM’s purchasing a shit ton of shares to ‘gamma hedge’ to stay delta-neutral, which in turn will lead to a chain reaction of MM’s buying shares to hedge which causes the price and IV to increase further
Every stock/option you buy will be multiplied by this effect, giving you a MUCH larger influence over the price of the stock
Short Interest:
Despite making a good product and having an insanely bullish options market, shorts have over-shorted this stock up to 30% SI!
https://preview.redd.it/1setq0yv5am71.png?width=424&format=png&auto=webp&s=889840adc77bcbb2250f1dd1e7891f5c4372dbb8
Additionally, over the past few weeks about 45% of the daily volume has been sold short
https://preview.redd.it/4gmvqiqw5am71.png?width=818&format=png&auto=webp&s=754d41ce9b3c815b5c9e52fb3c8a12a2d25ca1c3
These numbers alone don’t necessarily mean shorts will cover their positions… But if you include the bullish options market, which is primed for a gamma squeeze, and a potential FDA approval, you begin to see why shorts are fucked and will begin to close their positions soon. All this stock needs is a catalyst...
Possible Catalysts:
The main catalyst I see for a short squeeze is full FDA approval on their 180 day sensor. Once it is approved, many shorts who were betting on the company going bankrupt will get out
A few shorts covering mixed with such high open interest and new investors getting in will lead to a massive price spike and the potential to trigger margin calls on over-leveraged short positions
The more likely situation I see though is an immediate spike followed by slow exits from short positions. I don’t see a massive M O A S S happening, but instead steady upwards momentum as shorts close their positions
I see the 180 day sensor being approved within the next 1-2 months as their 90 day sensor has already been cleared awhile ago and their 180 day sensor has cleared most regulatory requirements already
Positions:
10 $3.5 C 9/17, 10 $4 C 9/17, 20 $4.5 C 9/17, 20 $5 C 9/17, 10 $3.5 C 10/15, 20 $4 C 10/15, 20 $4.5 C 10/15 100 shares
12
3
ubinguides
讚了
$蔚來 (NIO.US)$ 你们都做什么
已翻譯
8
ubinguides
評論了
到目前為止,您可能已經聽說過將於 5 月 1 日舉行的 2021 年伯克希爾哈瑟威股東大會。
同時,我們正在舉辦「沃倫·巴菲特 vs 凱西·伍德,誰是真正的大師?」討論。
加入討論並獲得獎勵積分!
* 獎勵積分商店即將推出,您將可以使用您的獎勵積分交換禮物!
[討論主題]
沃倫·巴菲特 vs 凱西·伍德...
已翻譯
![【獎勵積分贈】沃倫·巴菲特 vs 凱西伍德,誰是真正的大師?](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/moo-1619864150-77777017-iPhone-1-org.jpg/thumb)
139
383
3
ubinguides
評論了
你好,新加坡人moo友!怎麼樣?![]()
在過去的幾周裏,我們迎接了40K多名新加坡人moo友,收到了你們相當多的投資願望和故事。很高興在這裏見到大家!非常感謝您無私地與我們分享您的富有啓發性的投資經驗,這對我們更好地瞭解彼此有很大幫助。![]()
如前所述,每個參加討論的流浪者將獲得200個任務點獎勵。而moo友收到並分享了他們的富途公牛娃娃禮物,還將獲得88分。獎品已經送到你的客户手中了。
在過去的幾周裏,我們迎接了40K多名新加坡人moo友,收到了你們相當多的投資願望和故事。很高興在這裏見到大家!非常感謝您無私地與我們分享您的富有啓發性的投資經驗,這對我們更好地瞭解彼此有很大幫助。
如前所述,每個參加討論的流浪者將獲得200個任務點獎勵。而moo友收到並分享了他們的富途公牛娃娃禮物,還將獲得88分。獎品已經送到你的客户手中了。
已翻譯
![最後一個合一平台,新加坡moo友説](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/1616683079805-101000100-android-org.gif/thumb)
![最後一個合一平台,新加坡moo友説](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/1616683079849-101000100-android-org.jpg/thumb)
![最後一個合一平台,新加坡moo友説](https://ussnsimg.moomoo.com/1616683079855-101000100-android-org.jpg/thumb)
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