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PirateyAhoy 保密 ID: 102924722
Research driven, hunter of strong moat businesses
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    Never would I have expected this beaten down stock to almost double on me, but...that's why it is important to do your homework!
    will this be a 10-bagger?
    Happy Anniversary MooMoo!
    Being in your ecosystem this year has added a new dimension to my investing experience!
    The social element and hearing from other opinions has brought me new insights and deeper thinking into $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ and $阿里巴巴 (BABA.US)$, at the root of it, I know that I look for strong stable businesses...yet learning about other ones has enlarged my view of the market as a whole!
    Thank you and congratulations once again!
    1
    Do you have the patience to watch paint dry? The best businesses are not the ones making huge jumps and then being dead for a long time...the great businesses do unappreciated, yet crucial work on a daily basis!
    So...if you find a business with great cash flows, little or no debt and a good moat, all you have to do is buy in at a good price and hold it! Look at $3M (MMM.US)$ or $好市多 (COST.US)$ so unassuming, yet the products that they make or service they provide are extremely invaluable! I love "old school" businesses for their steady, predictable cashflows!
    Some principles I am learning...
    1) Watch the volume traded, and the size of the trades, these give an indication of where the money is flowing and can help you to identify the momentum...of the false signals
    2) Don't get sucked in by false signals, follow proper trading principles...establish your stop-loss positions first and size your trades properly... don't jump in and get sucked up by the momentum going down
    3) if day trading, use the hourly and 15min charts properly...
    4) for slightly longer, candlesticks and moving averages are your friends...establish the direction and the momentum, before you put in any trades...
    Short term trading has to be disciplined if you want to make money
    Ray Dalio stated he cannot stay out of any large economy, and on a valuation basis, the US is highly overvalued while Chinese stocks are beaten down
    It makes no sense to me if someone fears China because they are centrally controlled, which country wants to sabotage their own economy?
    My simple thesis is good companies can weather any storms, political, economic or otherwise...hence I am accumulating good, strong companies from China which are market leading...I see alot of fear from the US, but I genuinely smell more opportunities in China and Asia! Cash flow is still strong and the pandemic is better managed in these regions
    My most important habit is to slow myself down and ask relevant questions of a stock I am going to buy...for example...
    Asking myself:
    1) Am I happy with the value of this business?
    2) Will I be ok if the price falls 50%?
    3) Is this a long term value play? or a gamble?
    + other questions...
    當埃隆做的時候 $特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ 投票,然後賣掉... 人們是否意識到他們得到了多麼糟糕的交易?
    他以低於 7 美元的價格行使自己的期權,獲得了 200 萬股,然後只賣出了一半。這不到他的股票的 1%。看來還剩九成
    雖然每個人都專注於他每股獲得的每股 1000 美元的利潤,但人們是否意識到埃隆只是通過稀釋每個股東來快速取得的利潤?他現在持有一百萬股權... 他只是稀釋了他的每一位股東他將用其餘的股票做到這一點
    行政期權明年到期,所以預期不僅來自埃隆,而且從他的頂級行政人員來說,股票稀釋是隱藏的殺手,因為它從每個股東那裡偷走了... 我從來沒喜歡,當埃隆這樣做時,他感覺更像蛇油銷售人,而不是一個受尊敬的首席執行官
    已翻譯
    2
    A mentor once reminded me after an investment loss...the market is like getting a green light because over time, the market goes up because businesses grow, so just like driving...we can simply coast along, enjoying the view
    Occasionally, we get the amber/yellow caution light where we have to be cautious...
    But the most important function of the stoplight is the RED light, as it literally saves lives but making us stop before we venture into dangerous territory.
    It was a great story that I have remembered til now. I put in a stop-loss into every trade, based on my valuation or technical chart calculations BEFORE I execute a trade.
    Setting a stop-loss allows me to minimize losses and redeploy money out of losers and into winners
    But just like in
    因為聽信朋友的建議,或者受到內幕消息或某些知情人士的「極好消息!」而損失了錢。
    然而,在另一方面,我也擁有持有超過15年的投資……這些投資已經支付了分紅派息,並使投資價值增值了好幾倍。
    我視短期失誤為不守紀律和未認真準備的代價。但好事是這些失誤都很小,且教會了我如何做出正確的估值和理解業務的基本原理。
    學習如何評估一個業務,在投資方面比追踪股票選擇更有用,最終我們買的是一個業務,而不是一個股票價格。
    如果我們忽視痛苦,痛苦的教訓就毫無用處,但當我們從中汲取教訓時,它們是非常寶貴的。
    已翻譯
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