Fed Minutes: Majority of Members Supported a 50 BP Cut
Fed Minutes: Majority of Members Supported a 50 BP Cut
In the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee minutes released Wednesday, several participants in the meeting said a 25 basis point cut would be a more gradual and predictable "path of normalization." Still, the majority of participants voted for a 50 bp cut.
在週三發佈的聯儲局公開市場委員會會議記錄中,有幾位會議參與者表示,減息25個點子將是更漸進和可預測的"正常化路徑"。然而,大多數與會者投票支持減息50個點子。
"A substantial majority of participants supported lowering the target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 4-3/4 to 5 percent," the minutes read.
「絕大多數與會者支持將聯邦基金利率目標範圍下調50個點子至4-3/4至5%,」記錄中寫道。
The FOMC meeting looked at CME FedWatch Futures Feder Funds Rate cut predictions and noted that as of a week before, a 50 BP cut was priced in as more likely. The FOMC surveys market makers in the Open Market Desk's Survey of Primary Dealers and Survey of Market Participants. In September's survey, respondents had not changed their median economic outlook or rate cut expectations- most expected moderate growth and a 25 bp cut. But, the median unemployment rate in the survey rose.
FOMC會議關注了cme FedWatch期貨聯邦基金利率削減預測,並注意到在一週前,市場更傾向於預估減息50個點子。 FOMC調查了公開市場交易商和市場參與者調查中的市場交易商。在9月的調查中,受訪者未改變其經濟展望或減息預期-大多數人預期經濟增長適度,減息25個點子。但是,調查中的失業率中位數上升。
In the community economic outlook, the staff forecasted worse economic activity for the remainder of the year based on softening labor market conditions. The staff "marked down" its economic growth forecast based on softer-than-expected labor market growth.
在社區經濟展望中,工作人員預測今年餘下時間的經濟活動將惡化,原因是勞動力市場狀況的惡化。工作人員根據勞動力市場增長低於預期的情況下調其經濟增長預測。“
The meeting also covered briefly the Japan "Carry Trade" volatility event, where financial institutions were borrowing money and trading equities under the low interest rate Japanese yen, and were startled when the Bank of Japan raised its rates and signaled it would raise again in the future.
會議還簡要討論了日本"Carry Trade"的波動事件,金融機構利用低利率的日幣借錢和交易股票,當日本銀行提高利率並暗示未來將再次提高利率時,他們感到震驚。