While the Consensus View in the Survey Pointed to Another Quarter-Percentage Point Reduction This Week, It Is Expected to Be a Close Call Between That and a Potential Half-Percentage Point Cut, Forecast by a Few Banks Like Reuters://Realtime/Verb=Open/Url=Cpurl://Apps.cp./Apps/CB-Polls?Ric=Mxcbir%3Deci Poll Data
路透社://實時/動詞=打開/網址=Cpurl://Apps.cp./Apps/Cb-Polls?Ric=Mxcbir%3Deci 投票數據
By Gabriel Burin
作者：加布裏埃爾·布林
Buenos Aires, Dec 16 (Reuters) - Mexico's Central Bank Is Set to Deliver a Fifth and Final Quarter-Percentage Point Rate Cut of the Year on Thursday, a Reuters Poll Found, in a Possible Split Decision With Some Policymakers Leaning Towards a Larger Reduction.
布宜諾斯艾利斯，12月16日（路透社） - 墨西哥中央銀行預計將在週四實施本年度第五次也是最後一次四分之一個百分點的減息，路透社的調查顯示，這可能會導致決策者之間意見分歧，有些政策制定者傾向於更大幅度的減息。
The Bank of Mexico, Known as Banxico, Started Lowering the Cost of Credit in March, Applying Four 25 Basis Point Cuts Since Then to 10.25% Currently From a Record 11.25% as Inflation Cooled.
墨西哥銀行，稱爲Banxico，自三月份開始降低信貸成本，自那時以來已實施四次25個點子的減息，目前利率爲10.25%，創紀錄的11.25%由於通貨膨脹放緩。
While the Consensus View in the Survey Pointed to Another Quarter-Percentage Point Reduction This Week, It Is Expected to Be a Close Call Between That and a Potential Half-Percentage Point Cut, Forecast by a Few Banks Like J.P. Morgan.
儘管調查中的共識觀點指出本週還有一次四分之一個百分點的減息，但預計這將在預測由部分銀行如之間的減息和可能的半個百分點減息之間非常接近的決定。 摩根大通.
"We Anticipate a Difficult Decision for Banxico... on One Hand, Inflation Continues to Fall Gradually. However... It Remains at Practically the Same Levels as Last Year," Scotiabank Analysts Wrote in a Report, Predicting a 25 Basis-Point Cut.
"我們預計Banxico會面臨一個困難的決定……一方面，通貨膨脹仍在逐漸下降。然而……它仍然與去年基本持平，"斯科舍銀行的分析師在一份報告中寫道，預測將減息25個點子。
Scotiabank's Forecast Was in Line With the Median Estimate of 22 Economists Polled Dec. 11-16 That Saw a Reduction to 10.00% From 10.25% on Dec. 19. of the Total 22 Respondents, 20 Saw a 25 Basis-Point Cut and Two a 50 Basis-Points Move.
斯科舍銀行的預測與12月11日至16日調查的22位經濟學家的中位數估計一致，他們預計12月19日將減至10.00%，而不是10.25%。在所有22位受訪者中，20位預見到25個點子的減息，另外兩位預見到50個點子的減息。
Mexico's 12-Month Headline Inflation Rate Slowed More Than Forecast in November to 4.55% From 4.76% in October, as Latin America's No.2 Economy After Brazil Goes Through a Period of "Notable Weakness".
墨西哥12個月頭條 通貨膨脹率 11月的通貨膨脹率低於預期，從10月的4.76%降至4.55%，因爲拉丁美洲第二大經濟體墨西哥在經歷一段時間的 "顯著疲軟".
Core Inflation - Which Excludes Volatile Energy and Food Prices - Also Declined, to 3.58% From 3.80%. However, the Headline Measure Remained Above Bank of Mexico's Target of 3% Plus or Minus One Percentage Point.
核心通貨膨脹率——不包括波動的能源和食品價格——也下降，從3.80%降至3.58%。然而，頭條指數仍高於墨西哥銀行的目標，即3%正負一個百分點。
Scotiabank Economists Cited Different Possible Scenarios for the Upcoming Decision by Banxico's Five-Member Governing Board, Including Even a Potential 3-2 Vote in Favor of a Larger 50 Basis-Point Move.
加拿大豐業銀行經濟學家提到了墨西哥中央銀行五人財政委員會即將做出的決策可能出現的不同情景，甚至可能出現以3比2的投票結果支持更大50個點子變動的情況。
Last Month's Decision for a 25 Basis-Point Cut Had Been Unanimous, Reaffirming the Bank's Cautious Approach With Warnings Against Any Hasty Move in the Face of Higher Uncertainty Over Future Policies in the United States.
上個月的25個點子減息決定全體一致，重申了銀行的 謹慎方法 並警告在面對未來美國政策的不確定性增加時，不要急於行動。
But a Few Days Following November's Meeting, in an Interview With Reuters, Banxico's Governor Victoria Rodriguez Hinted at a Possible Vote for a Bigger Reduction, Depending on the Inflation Outlook.
但在11月會議後幾天， 《路透社》的採訪中，墨西哥中央銀行行長維多利亞·羅德里格斯暗示，根據通貨膨脹前景，可能會投票支持更大的減息。
The Bank of Mexico's Verdict Will Come One Day After the U.S. Federal Reserve's Last Meeting of 2024. the Fed Is Expected to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points and Pause in January Amid Concerns About Rising Inflation Risks.
墨西哥銀行的裁決將在2024年美國聯邦儲備委員會最後一次會議的一天後發佈。預計聯儲局將會 減息 25個點子並在1月份暫停，因對通脹風險上升的擔憂。
(Reporting and Polling by Gabriel Burin in Buenos Aires and ANA Isabel Martinez in Mexico City)
（在布宜諾斯艾利斯的加布裏埃爾·布林報道和調查，以及在墨西哥城的ANA·伊莎貝爾·馬丁內斯）
((Gabriel.burin@Thomsonreuters.com ; +54 11 2039-6646))
（（Gabriel.burin@Thomsonreuters.com ; +54 11 2039-6646））
