By Michael S. Derby
作者:邁克爾·S·德比
New York, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins Said Thursday That Significant Uncertainty Over the Outlook Calls for the Central Bank Moving Forward Cautiously With Future Rate Cuts.
紐約,1月9日(路透社)——波士頓聯邦儲備銀行行長蘇珊·柯林斯週四表示,關於前景的重大不確定性要求中央銀行在未來的減息中採取謹慎的態度。
“With an Economy That Is in a Good Place Overall and Policy Already Closer to a More Neutral Stance, I View the Current Nature of Uncertainty as Calling for a Gradual and Patient Approach to Policymaking,” Collins Said in the Text of a Speech Prepared for an Event at Her Bank.
柯林斯在其銀行的活動準備演講文本中表示:「由於經濟總體上處於良好狀態,政策已接近更中立的立場,我認爲當前不確定性的性質要求我們在政策制定上採取漸進和耐心的方法。」
The Official Said as the New Year Starts, “Inflation Is Down Significantly From Its 2022 Peak, and the Data Continue to Point to a Gradual, if Uneven, Trajectory Back to the Fed’s 2 Percent Target.” She Added Lower Inflation Has Been Achieved Even as the Job Market Has “Stayed Healthy Overall” and Rebalanced From Overly Hot Conditions.
這位官員在新年伊始表示:「通脹已顯著低於2022年的高峰,數據繼續指向逐漸恢復到聯儲局2%目標的軌跡,儘管這一過程是不均勻的。」她補充說,即使在就業市場「整體健康」並從過熱條件中重新調整的情況下,仍然實現了較低的通脹。
Collins’ Remarks Came as Central Bankers Have Begun to Weigh in on the State of the Economy and the Outlook for Monetary Policy Following Last Month’s Federal Open Market Committee Meeting That Saw Officials Trim Their Interest Rate Target Range by a Quarter Percentage Point to Between 4.25% and 4.5%. Officials Also Backed off on the Number of Cuts Projected for the New Year Amid Expectations Inflation Will Stay High Longer Than Expected.
柯林斯的發言是在中央銀行家們開始對經濟狀態和貨幣政策展望發表看法之時,發生在上個月的聯邦公開市場委員會會議上,官員們將利率目標區間下調了四分之一個百分點至4.25%到4.5%之間。官員們還減少了預計新年將在進行的減息次數,因爲預期通脹將比預期的時間更長地保持高位。
Collins Said She Supported Last Month’s Cut but Described It a “Close Call” That “Provided Some Additional Insurance to Preserve Healthy Labor Market Conditions While Maintaining a Restrictive Policy Stance That Is Still Needed to Sustainably Restore Price Stability.”
柯林斯表示她支持上個月的減息,但將其形容爲「近乎微妙的選擇」,該減息「提供了一些額外的保險,以保持健康的勞動力市場條件,同時維持仍然需要的限制性政策立場,以可持續地恢復價格穩定。」
Financial Markets Are Actively Debating Whether the Fed Will Be Able to Deliver Another Rate Cut at the Policy Meeting at the End of This Month. Further Complicating the Outlook Is the Return of Donald Trump to the Presidency, Having Campaigned on a Platform of Massive Trade Tariffs and Deportations That Many Economists Believe Will Further Pressure Inflation Higher and Make It Harder for the Fed to Get Price Pressures Back to 2%.
金融市場正積極討論聯儲局在本月底的政策會議上能否再進行一次減息。複雜形勢的是,特朗普概念重返總統職位,他的競選平台是大規模的交易關稅和驅逐令,許多經濟學家認爲這將進一步給通脹施加壓力,使聯儲局更難將價格壓力控制回2%。
Collins Also Said “It Is Too Early to Tell How Future Policy Changes by the New Administration and Congress Might Influence the Trajectories of Inflation and Economic Activity.”
柯林斯還表示:「現在還爲時尚早,無法判斷新政府和國會未來的政策變化可能如何影響通貨膨脹和經濟活動的軌跡。」
Collins Offered No Firm Views About Where She Expects Monetary Policy to Go but Said That Broadly Her Views on Rate Policy and the Economy Were in Alignment With the Forecasts Released by the Fed at Its Meeting Last Month.
柯林斯沒有明確表示她對貨幣政策的預期,但表示她對於利率政策和經濟的看法與聯儲局上月會議發佈的預測大致一致。
Collins Noted Fed Policy Is Not on a Preset Path and That It Is Currently Well Positioned for What May Come. She Also Said That She Now Sees Stickier Levels of Inflation Going Forward Relative to Her Recent Views.
柯林斯指出,聯邦政策並不是預設的路徑,目前在未來可能發生的事情面前處於良好位置。她還表示,她現在認爲未來的通貨膨脹水平將更加頑固,相對於她最近的看法。
(Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)
(報告者:邁克爾·S·德比;編輯:野宮千津)
((Michael.derby@Thomsonreuters.com;))
((邁克爾.德比@湯姆森路透.com;))