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Teladoc Health’s Vital Signs Are Not Getting Better

Teladoc Health’s Vital Signs Are Not Getting Better

Teladoc Health的生命體徵沒有好轉
InvestorPlace ·  2022/05/06 09:51

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Medical health services company Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC) has seen its prognosis go from bad to worse over the past month. TDOC stock had already plunged as part of the broader selloff in speculative technology companies. However, that selloff accelerated dramatically following Teladoc's latest earnings report, which was a disappointment on almost all fronts.

醫療保健服務公司Teladoc Health在過去的一個月裏,(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:TDOC)的預測每況愈下。作為投機性科技公司更廣泛拋售的一部分,TDOC的股價已經暴跌。然而,在Teladoc發佈最新收益報告後,拋售急劇加劇,幾乎在所有方面都令人失望。

The terrible news started with the company's headline earnings figure. The company lost more than $40 per share last quarter, or more than the stock is currently trading for entirely. That earnings number isn't a misprint either; Teladoc did really lose $6.7 billion last quarter on an accounting basis. However, almost all of that was due to the firm writing off a large chunk of goodwill from its acquisition of telehealth company Livongo. Teladoc bought Livongo back during the pandemic remote services boom, and — with hindsight — ended up paying far too generous a price. It's not as bad as it first sounds, however, as Teladoc paid for Livongo with its own high-valued stock rather than cash.

這一可怕的消息始於該公司的整體收益數據。該公司上個季度每股虧損超過40美元,超過了該股目前的整體股價。這個盈利數字也不是打印錯誤;Teladoc上個季度的會計基礎上確實虧損了67億美元。然而,幾乎所有這一切都是因為該公司註銷了收購遠程醫療公司Livongo的一大筆商譽。Teladoc在流行病遠程服務繁榮期間收購了Livongo,事後看來,最終支付了過於慷慨的價格。然而,這並不像乍聽起來那麼糟糕,因為Teladoc用自己的高估值股票而不是現金來收購Livongo。

The bigger issue for Teladoc isn't the shocking headline loss. Rather, it's the fact that profit margins unexpectedly slumped 150 basis points this quarter. This came despite management giving upbeat guidance not too long ago. This sudden deterioration in business performance led to a rash of downgrades and price target cuts. The fall in profit margins also caused Teladoc's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to fall despite growth in top-line revenue. The company also trimmed guidance going forward.

對Teladoc來説,更大的問題並不是令人震驚的頭條新聞虧損。相反,這是因為本季度利潤率出人意料地下降了150個基點。儘管管理層不久前給出了樂觀的指導,但這一點還是出現了。這種業務表現的突然惡化導致了一連串的評級下調和目標價下調。利潤率的下降也導致Teladoc的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)下降,儘管營收有所增長。該公司還下調了未來的指引。

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That's not all. Teladoc's mental wellness operation BetterHelp also may face issues. The service has faced concerns around its privacy and user data protections. Management also noted that its costs to acquire new BetterHelp customers have surged, which could limit further growth. More broadly, there's also a growing debate around the use of telemedicine therapy and counseling services and their potential excessive willingness to prescribe prescription drugs for mental health conditions. This week, Softbank-funded telemedicine firm Cerebral agreed to stop issuing new scripts for drugs such as Adderall and Ritalin after a report surfaced suggesting that Cerebral was trying to prescribe stimulants to all its ADHD patients to increase customer retention.

這還不是全部。Teladoc的心理健康業務BetterHelp也可能面臨問題。該服務面臨着圍繞其隱私和用户數據保護的擔憂。管理層還指出,其獲取BetterHelp新客户的成本飆升,這可能會限制進一步的增長。更廣泛地説,圍繞遠程醫療治療和諮詢服務的使用以及他們可能過度願意為心理健康疾病開處方藥的爭論也越來越多。本週,軟銀投資的遠程醫療公司大腦在一份報告浮出水面後,該公司同意停止發佈Adderall和Ritalin等藥物的新腳本,此前有報告顯示,Cerear試圖給所有ADHD患者開興奮劑,以增加客户保留率。

It's rough enough for speculative technology companies right now. The sector is out of favor and quarterly results are up against impossibly strong comparisons from early 2021 during the height of the stay-at-home era. Teladoc would be having trouble regardless. But throw in a sharp miss against guidance, falling profit margins, and that massive Livongo write-off and it's understandable why traders are rushing to sell TDOC stock even after its massive crash.

目前,對於投機的科技公司來説,這已經夠艱難的了。該行業失寵,季度業績與2021年初居家時代鼎盛時期的強勁對比令人難以置信。無論如何,Teladoc都會遇到麻煩。但再加上業績大幅低於預期、利潤率下降,以及Livongo的大規模減記,交易員們甚至在TDOC股價大幅下跌後仍爭相拋售股票,這是可以理解的。

On the date of publication, Ian Bezek did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文發表之日,Ian Bezek並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

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