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Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

深圳光聚能源股份有限公司(SZSE:000096)的股票正在飆升,但財務數據似乎不一致:這種上漲趨勢是否會繼續?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/09 22:23

Shenzhen Guangju Energy (SZSE:000096) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 24% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE today.

深圳光聚能源(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000096)在過去三個月中股價大幅上漲了24%。但該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在所有方面都不同,這讓我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭能否保持下去。特別是今天我們將關注深圳光聚能源的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話説,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化為利潤。

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Guangju Energy

查看我們對深圳光聚能源的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Guangju Energy is:

因此,根據上述公式,深圳光聚能源的淨資產收益率為:

2.3% = CN¥67m ÷ CN¥2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

2.3%=人民幣6700萬×人民幣29億元(以截至2022年3月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.02.

“回報”指的是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。因此,這意味着股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.02元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

淨資產收益率與盈利增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。一般來説,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存較高的公司比不具備這些特徵的公司有更高的增長率。

Shenzhen Guangju Energy's Earnings Growth And 2.3% ROE

深圳光聚能源盈利增長2.3%淨資產收益率

As you can see, Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 15%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 22% seen by Shenzhen Guangju Energy was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

如你所見,深圳光聚能源的淨資產收益率看起來相當疲軟。即使與行業平均15%的淨資產收益率相比,該公司的淨資產收益率也相當慘淡。因此,説深圳光聚能源五年淨收益下降22%可能是因為它的淨資產收益率較低,這可能是沒有錯的。我們認為,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益前景產生負面影響。例如-低收益留存或資本分配不佳。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Guangju Energy's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 15% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將深圳光聚能源的增長與行業進行比較時發現,在公司盈利一直在縮水的同時,行業同期的盈利增長了15%。這相當令人擔憂。

SZSE:000096 Past Earnings Growth June 10th 2022
上交所:過去000096的收益增長2022年6月10日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Guangju Energy is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來説,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是將進入清澈的藍色水域,還是等待沼澤水域。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看深圳光聚能源相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

深圳光聚能源是否有效利用了利潤?

Shenzhen Guangju Energy's low three-year median payout ratio of 9.1% (or a retention ratio of 91%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

深圳光聚能源過去三年的派息率中值較低,為9.1%(或留存比率為91%),這應該意味着該公司將保留大部分收益來推動增長,但該公司的收益實際上已經縮水。較低的派息應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益,因此應該會看到一些增長。看起來可能還有其他一些原因來解釋這方面的缺乏。例如,這項業務可能正在衰落。

Moreover, Shenzhen Guangju Energy has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,深圳光聚能源至少在十年或更長時間裏一直在分紅,這表明管理層肯定已經意識到,股東更喜歡分紅,而不是盈利增長。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shenzhen Guangju Energy. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 5 risks we have identified for Shenzhen Guangju Energy.

總體而言,我們對深圳光聚能源的感受複雜。雖然該公司的利潤留存率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能正在阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。我們的風險儀錶板將包含我們為深圳光聚能源確定的5個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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