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Recession vs. Depression: What Is the Difference?

Recession vs. Depression: What Is the Difference?

經濟衰退與蕭條:有什麼不同?
InvestorPlace ·  2022/06/30 18:07

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Since the start of the year, markets have been under pressure. Several factors have led to a global sell-off in stocks, bonds, and currencies. People are now debating about whether we are in for a recession or a slump. Recession vs. depression, therefore, is a key question on everyone's minds these days. It is important to note the difference when you are doing your portfolio planning.

自今年年初以來,市場一直承壓。有幾個因素導致了全球股票、債券和貨幣的拋售。人們現在正在爭論我們是在陷入衰退還是陷入衰退。因此,經濟衰退與蕭條是當今每個人腦海中的一個關鍵問題。重要的是,當你做投資組合規劃時,要注意其中的區別。

People are often afraid of recessions. However, they should not be because recessions are a natural part of the economy. It is a time when businesses have to make changes in their spending and investments to become more efficient.

人們常常害怕經濟衰退。然而,它們不應該是因為衰退是經濟的自然組成部分。這是一個企業必須改變他們的支出和投資以提高效率的時候。

Interest rates are increasing as a response to inflation. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is taking steps to combat inflation, but they are also worried about the risk of recession.

作為對通脹的迴應,利率正在上升。美國聯邦儲備委員會(美聯儲/FED)正在採取措施對抗通脹,但他們也擔心經濟衰退的風險。

A recession is a period of negative economic growth. It is normal to worry about recessions, but it is important to prepare for them so you are not caught off guard.

經濟衰退是指經濟負增長的時期。擔心經濟衰退是正常的,但重要的是為衰退做好準備,這樣你就不會措手不及。

Here at InvestorPlace, we've written different articles to help you navigate the inflationary environment to prepare for what might happen in the case of a recession.

在這裏投資商位置,我們寫了不同的文章來幫助你駕馭通脹環境,為經濟衰退可能發生的情況做好準備。

However, this article will tell you about the difference between a recession and a slump. Although occasionally used interchangeably, these terms explain two different things. It's important to understand this difference when deciding your investments.

然而,這篇文章將告訴你衰退和衰退之間的區別。雖然這些術語偶爾可以互換使用,但它們解釋了兩個不同的東西。在決定投資時,瞭解這種差異是很重要的。

Recession vs. Depression: What Is a Recession?

衰退與蕭條:什麼是衰退?

A recession is when the economy goes into a state of decline. It is characterized by declining production and rising unemployment.

經濟衰退是指經濟進入衰退狀態。它的特點是產量下降,失業率上升。

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When the recession hits, we get an economic bubble that eventually bursts, leading to severe economic depression. This recession can be measured in gross domestic product (GDP), unemployment rates, and other significant statistics.

當經濟衰退來襲時,我們會看到經濟泡沫最終破裂,導致嚴重的經濟蕭條。這場衰退可以通過國內生產總值(GDP)、失業率和其他重要統計數據來衡量。

A recession is a period when the economy experiences negative growth. A slump is when the economy experiences negative growth and there are no signs of recovery.

經濟衰退是指經濟經歷負增長的時期。衰退是指經濟出現負增長,沒有復甦跡象。

Many factors can cause slumps, such as:

很多因素都會導致經濟衰退,例如:

  • Economic downturns
  • Financial market crashes
  • Changes in global trade policy
  • 經濟低迷
  • 金融市場崩盤
  • 全球貿易政策的變化

What Is a Slump?

什麼是衰退?

A slump is a period of economic decline. There are many causes, including a lack of demand for goods and services.

衰退是一段經濟衰退期。原因很多,包括對商品和服務的需求不足。

There are different types of slumps:

經濟衰退有不同的類型:

  • Business cycle: A downturn in the business cycle is when an economy's output falls below its potential output for an extended period. This type of slump typically lasts longer than other types.
  • Economic contraction: An economic contraction is a decrease in production and demand that results from a recession or depression. A sharp decline in the prices of certain goods or assets, such as stocks, land, or houses, can also lead to an economic downturn.
  • Economic depression: An economic depression is generally defined as two consecutive years with negative GDP.
  • 經濟週期:經濟週期的低迷是指一個經濟體的產出在較長一段時間內低於其潛在產出。這種類型的衰退通常比其他類型持續的時間更長。
  • 經濟收縮:經濟收縮是經濟衰退或蕭條導致的生產和需求的減少。某些商品或資產的價格大幅下跌,如股票、土地或房屋,也可能導致經濟下滑。
  • 經濟蕭條:經濟蕭條通常被定義為連續兩年GDP為負。

Difference Between a Recession and a Slump

衰退和衰退之間的區別

A recession is a period when the economy is declining. A slump is a time when the economy is not doing well.

經濟衰退是指經濟下滑的時期。經濟低迷是指經濟表現不佳的時候。

A recession can happen due to a drop in economic activity, such as an economic depression, or by an external shock, such as war or natural disaster. A recession may also result from increased unemployment due to excess supply and decreased demand for goods and services.

經濟衰退可能是由於經濟活動減少,如經濟蕭條,也可能是由於外部衝擊,如戰爭或自然災害。經濟衰退也可能是由於供應過剩、商品和服務需求減少而導致的失業率上升。

A slump can happen for various reasons. A change in government policy, such as increased taxes or subsidies or an increase in the cost of raw materials is also a vital reason for an economic slowdown. Decreased demand due to oversupply may also lead to a slump because goods and services become less attractive to consumers.

經濟不景氣的原因有很多。政府政策的改變,比如增加税收或補貼,或者提高原材料成本,也是經濟放緩的一個重要原因。由於供過於求導致的需求減少也可能導致經濟衰退,因為商品和服務對消費者的吸引力降低。

However, after the government takes the necessary steps, it can navigate out of these issues and begin a new era of economic growth.

然而,在政府採取必要措施後,它可以走出這些問題,開始一個新的經濟增長時代。

What Is Needed to Promote Economic Growth?

促進經濟增長需要什麼?

The government can end a recession or slump by implementing policies that will stimulate the economy. Some of these policies include:

政府可以通過實施刺激經濟的政策來結束衰退或衰退。其中一些政策包括:

  • Increasing the money supply by printing more money to increase demand for goods and services.
  • Reducing taxes to encourage those who are unemployed to become employed.
  • Investing in public works projects, such as infrastructure improvements, will create jobs and stimulate the economy.
  • 通過印製更多的鈔票來增加貨幣供應,以增加對商品和服務的需求。
  • 減税鼓勵失業人員就業。
  • 投資公共工程項目,如基礎設施改善,將創造就業機會,刺激經濟。

Recession vs. Depression: Do Not Panic

經濟衰退VS大蕭條:不要恐慌

The economy is a complex system that is constantly changing. It's not always easy to understand how the economy works, but we need to know.

經濟是一個不斷變化的複雜系統。理解經濟是如何運行的並不總是那麼容易,但我們需要知道。

The economy moves in cycles which include growth, recession, and slump. The cycle's four phases are expansion, recession, recovery, and stagnation.

經濟運行的週期包括增長、衰退和衰退。這個週期的四個階段是擴張、衰退、復甦和停滯。

Expansion is when there is an increase in production and consumption. This phase usually lasts for a few years before entering into a recession. A recession happens when there is an economic decline because of reduced production or consumption. Recovery happens when the economy grows again after a recession or slump.

擴張是指生產和消費增加的時候。在進入衰退之前,這一階段通常會持續幾年。當由於生產或消費減少而導致經濟衰退時,就會發生衰退。當經濟在衰退或衰退之後再次增長時,就會出現復甦。

The Fed and the U.S. government are taking active steps to ensure we do not face a prolonged crisis. In the meantime, you can invest in bellwether stocks like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Disney (NYSE:DIS), and Walmart (NYSE:WMT). These companies perform well regardless of the economic environment and are great defensive plays for any portfolio.

美聯儲和美國政府正在採取積極措施,以確保我們不會面臨一場曠日持久的危機。與此同時,你可以投資於領頭羊股票,比如蘋果(納斯達克:蘋果),迪斯尼(紐約證券交易所:離岸),以及沃爾瑪(紐約證券交易所代碼:WMT)。無論經濟環境如何,這些公司的表現都很好,對任何投資組合來説都是很好的防禦性投資。

On the publication date, Faizan Farooque did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

截至發稿之日,法伊贊·法魯克並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com出版指南.

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