Buying a low-cost index fund will get you the average market return. But if you invest in individual stocks, some are likely to underperform. For example, the Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600989) share price return of 25% over three years lags the market return in the same period. Unfortunately, the share price has fallen 14% over twelve months.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
Check out our latest analysis for Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group was able to grow its EPS at 18% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 8% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SHSE:600989 Earnings Per Share Growth July 30th 2022
We know that Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, it has a TSR of 39% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
The last twelve months weren't great for Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 12%, including dividends. The market shed around 5.9%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Investors are up over three years, booking 12% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
購買低成本指數基金將為你帶來平均市場回報。但如果你投資於個股,一些股票的表現可能會遜色。例如,寧夏寶豐能源集團有限公司。(上交所:600989)過去三年的股價回報率為25%,落後於同期的市場回報率。不幸的是,該公司股價在12個月內下跌了14%。
考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。
查看我們對寧夏寶豐能源集團的最新分析
本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
寧夏寶豐能源集團能夠在三年內以每年18%的速度增長每股收益,推動其股價走高。這一每股收益增長高於股價年均8%的漲幅。因此,市場似乎在一定程度上降低了對增長的預期。
該公司的每股收益(在一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
上海證交所:2022年7月30日每股收益增長600989
我們知道寧夏寶豐能源集團最近提高了利潤,但它會增長收入嗎?檢查分析師是否認為寧夏寶豐能源集團未來將實現營收增長。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。公平地説,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。以寧夏寶豐能源集團為例,其過去3年的總資產收益率為39%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。
不同的視角
過去12個月對寧夏寶豐能源集團的股票來説並不好,該股的表現遜於大盤,持股者損失了12%,其中包括股息。股市下跌了約5.9%,無疑拖累了股價。投資者在三年多的時間裏上漲了12%,比最近的回報率好得多。有時候,當一個高質量的長期贏家有一個疲軟的時期,它被證明是一個機會,但你真的需要確保質量在那裏。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現寧夏寶豐能源集團的2個警示標誌(1有點令人不快!)在這裏投資之前你應該意識到這一點。
如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。