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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin lose late-July mojo: Crypto could see 'one last leg up' before things 'get dicey again,' says analyst

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin lose late-July mojo: Crypto could see 'one last leg up' before things 'get dicey again,' says analyst

位元幣、以太、Dogecoin失去了7月下旬的魔力:分析師說,在事情再次變得危險之前,加密可能會看到最後一條腿
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2022/08/01 22:06

Major coins traded in negative territory on Monday evening as the global cryptocurrency market cap dropped 0.6% to $1.08 trillion at press time.

週一晚上,主要硬幣的交易價格為負值,截至發稿時,全球加密貨幣市值下跌0.6%,至1.08萬億美元。

Price Performance Of Major Coins
Coin 24-hour 7-day Price
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) -0.7% 10.1% $23,212.12
Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) -3.1% 14.8% $1635.31
Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) -0.45% 10.8% $0.06833
主要幣種的價格表現
錢幣 24小時 7天 價格
比特幣(密碼:BTC) -0.7% 10.1% $23,212.12
以太(加密:ETH) -3.1% 14.8% $1635.31
道格考因(Dogecoin)(密碼:Doge) -0.45% 10.8% $0.06833
Top 24-Hour Gainers (Data via CoinMarketCap)
Cryptocurrency 24-Hour % Change (+/-) Price
Chiliz (CHZ) +18.6% $0.15
Theta Network (THETA)  +11.5% $1.5
Gala (GALA) +8.1% $0.06
24小時漲幅最大的股票(來自CoinMarketCap的數據)
加密貨幣 24小時百分比更改(+/-) 價格
Chiliz(Chz) +18.6% $0.15
Theta網絡(西塔) +11.5% $1.5
春晚(晚會) +8.1% $0.06


Why It Matters: $Bitcoin(BTC.CC)$ and $Ethereum(ETH.CC)$ were in the red at press time. 

為什麼這很重要:$比特幣(BTC.CC)$$以太(ETH.CC)$截至發稿時,我們都處於虧損狀態。

The apex coin continued to track stocks, as the $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ and $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ futures were down 0.2% each, respectively.

頂尖硬幣繼續跟蹤股票,因為$標準普爾500指數(.SPX.US)$$納斯達克100指數(.NDX.US)$期貨價格分別下跌0.2%。

The beginning of August has lacked the exuberance witnessed in the last week of July. That rally was due to the uncertainty in the backdrop of "potentially negative data being released, or an impactful event occurring," said GlobalBlock analyst Marcus Sotiriou in a note seen by Benzinga, adding that there's a lack of buyers leading into such events.

8月初沒有7月最後一週看到的那種旺盛氣氛。GlobalBlock分析師表示,這一漲勢是由於“可能發佈的負面數據,或發生有影響的事件”的背景下的不確定性馬庫斯·索蒂裏奧在Benzinga看到的一份便條中,他補充説,導致此類活動的買家缺乏。

In addition to the market pricing in bad news, there is another reason, in my opinion, why global markets rallied last week." 

- said Sotiriou.

在我看來,除了市場反映壞消息的因素外,上週全球市場反彈還有另一個原因。

“索蒂裏奧説。

The stock market bottomed in each recession when the Federal Reserve U-turned — by U-turning, I mean going from a stance of tightening monetary policy to accommodative monetary policy (this could be pausing rate hikes or even re-introducing rate cuts)."

當美聯儲180度大轉彎時,股市在每一次衰退中都觸底,我的意思是從收緊貨幣政策轉向寬鬆貨幣政策(這可能是暫停加息,甚至重新引入降息)。

many buyers have started to price in the probability of the Federal Reserve U-turning in the coming months."

- Sotiriou said.

許多買家已經開始計入美聯儲在未來幾個月內180度大轉彎的可能性。

-索蒂裏奧説。

OANDA senior market analyst Edward Moya said Wall Street still has the mindset that recent stock market gains were just a "bear market rally." 

OANDA高級市場分析師愛德華·莫亞他説,華爾街仍然有一種心態,認為最近股市的上漲只是一次“熊市反彈”。

On the rate-hike trajectory, Moya said, "The data-dependent Fed is still in a good position to deliver another massive rate increase, but expectations are anchoring them for a much slower pace after the September FOMC decision."

在加息軌跡上,莫亞表示:“依賴數據的美聯儲仍處於有利地位,有望再次大規模加息,但在9月份聯邦公開市場委員會做出決定後,市場預期加息的速度會慢得多。”

On-chain data remains "lackluster" and the late July rally "has not yet seen a convincing follow through in observable demand activity," wrote Glassnode in a weekly blog post. 

鏈條數據仍然“低迷”,7月下旬的反彈“還沒有看到令人信服的後續可觀察到的需求活動,”Glassnode在每週一篇博客文章中寫道。

The on-chain analysis company said, "Bitcoin blocks are partially empty, Ethereum gas prices are at multi-year lows, and the rate of EIP1559 burning is at all-time lows." The EIP1559 is a reference to an Ethereum fee burning mechanism.

這家鏈式分析公司表示,“比特幣區塊部分空置,以太氣價格處於數年低點,EIP1559的燃燒率處於歷史低點。”EIP1559是對以太費用燃燒機制的引用。

As an example of the lackluster on-chain activity, Glassnode shared Bitcoin's "number of active addresses," which the company said remained firmly in a well-defined downtrend channel.

作為鏈上活動平淡無奇的一個例子,Glassnode分享了比特幣的“活躍地址數量”,該公司表示,比特幣仍堅定地處於明確的下降趨勢通道。

"With exception of a few activity spikes higher during major capitulation events, the current network activity suggests that there remains little influx of new demand as yet."

“除了在重大投降活動期間出現少數活動激增外,目前的網絡活動表明,到目前為止,新需求的湧入仍然很少。”

Cryptocurrency trader Justin Bennett tweeted that the total market cap could see "one last minor leg up" before "things get dicey again." The analyst says the $1.15 trillion level is the one to keep an eye on. 

加密貨幣交易員賈斯汀·班尼特他在推特上寫道,總市值可能會出現“最後一次小幅上漲”,然後“情況再次變得危險”。這位分析師説,1.15萬億美元的水平是值得關注的。

2022080200014627031769fedd8.png

Chartist Ali Martinez said that Bitcoin is on top of stable support between the $17,000 and $23,000 levels where 3.4 million addresses purchased $2.14 million of the apex coin. The important resistance level is between $31,000 and $41,000, where 5.37 million addresses previously purchased 2.55 million BTC.

航海家Ali·馬丁內斯他説,比特幣在17,000美元和23,000美元之間的穩定支撐之上,340萬個地址購買了214萬美元的頂尖比特幣。重要阻力位在31,000美元至41,000美元之間,537萬個地址之前購買了255萬個BTC。

2022080200014628b9997169882.png

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