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Buy and Hold Apple Stock for the Long Term

Buy and Hold Apple Stock for the Long Term

長期買入並持有蘋果股票
InvestorPlace ·  2022/08/04 07:58

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Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), like other tech stocks, has bounced back in recent weeks. This is largely due to growing speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2023 in order to minimize the impact of a recession. Lower interest rates are a positive for growth-oriented names like AAPL stock. Lower rates increase the present value of future earnings.

蘋果納斯達克(Sequoia Capital:AAPL)和其他科技股一樣,最近幾周出現反彈。這在很大程度上是因為越來越多的人猜測,美聯儲將在2023年降息,以將經濟衰退的影響降至最低。較低的利率對蘋果股票等以增長為導向的公司來説是一個積極的因素。較低的利率會增加未來收益的現值。

It's too early to say that rate cuts next year are a done deal. That's why some commentators are suggesting that selling into strength is the move to make with Apple shares. Further developments could signal the Fed plans to remain hawkish for as long as it takes to fight high inflation. This may result in another tech selloff.

現在就説明年降息已成定局還為時過早。這就是為什麼一些評論員建議,賣出實力是利用蘋果股票的舉措。進一步的事態發展可能表明,美聯儲計劃在對抗高通脹所需的時間內一直保持鷹派立場。這可能會導致另一輪科技股拋售。

So, is cashing out the best move? Not so fast.

那麼,套現是最好的選擇嗎?還沒那麼快。

Buy and hold remains the better course of action here.

在這裏,買入並持有仍然是更好的做法。

AAPL Stock: Why You Shouldn't Cash Out Now

AAPL股票:為什麼你現在不應該套現

It's tempting to try to time the market, but it's easier said than done. In fact, it's nearly impossible, even for Wall Street pros. Plenty have tried to predict short-term price movements only to find themselves buying high and selling low. In turn, they miss out on the bulk of a stock's gains.

試圖把握市場時機是很誘人的,但説起來容易做起來難。事實上,這幾乎是不可能的,即使對華爾街的專業人士來説也是如此。許多人試圖預測短期價格走勢,結果卻發現自己逢高買入,逢低拋售。反過來,他們錯過了對一隻股票大部分收益的預期。

That's the key risk you take by selling AAPL stock today while external uncertainties continue. Cashing out today, and waiting things out until there's another big pullback, may on paper seem like a foolproof strategy. Yet just as it's far from a lock that relief for growth stocks is just around the corner, it's also not set in stone that another big selloff looms for tech stocks.

在外部不確定性持續的情況下,這是你今天拋售蘋果股票所要承擔的主要風險。今天套現,等到出現另一次大幅回調,從紙面上看似乎是一種萬無一失的策略。然而,就像成長型股票的解脱指日可待一樣,科技股的另一次大規模拋售也並非板上釘釘。

Put simply, if you are bullish on Apple in the long term, don't cash out in the hopes you can re-enter at a lower price. The opportunity may not arrive. Instead of pulling back, the rally could carry on.

簡而言之,如果你長期看好蘋果,不要指望能以更低的價格重新入市。機會可能不會到來。反彈可能會繼續,而不是回落。

There's no reason to waste effort and energy trying to trade around this stock. Instead, a set it and forget approach is the more fruitful path to potential profits.

沒有理由浪費精力和精力來交易這隻股票。相反,設置它並忘記的方法是通向潛在利潤的更有成效的道路。

Apple Has Ample Long-Term Runway

蘋果擁有充足的長期跑道

What do I mean when I say set it and forget it with AAPL stock? If you already own it, hold onto your position. If you don't own it yet, lock down a position at current market prices instead of sitting on the sidelines until it falls back to its 52-week low. Splitting hairs over entry price makes little sense.

我説用蘋果股票設定它,然後忘記它,這是什麼意思?如果你已經擁有它,那就堅守你的位置。如果你還沒有持有,在當前市場價格下鎖定頭寸,而不是袖手旁觀,直到它回落到52周低點。在入門價問題上挑撥離間沒什麼意義。

Why? It's likely that the bulk of Apple's gains from here will arrive steadily in the years ahead. Shares stand to move higher when the macroeconomic worries that are holding it back today clear up. From this factor alone, the stock could make its way to prices at or near $200 per share. On a longer timeframe, company-specific catalysts could catapult it to even higher prices.

為什麼?蘋果的大部分收益很可能會在未來幾年穩步實現。當今天拖累股價的宏觀經濟擔憂消除後,股價有望走高。僅從這一因素來看,該股可能會達到或接近每股200美元的價格。在更長的時間範圍內,特定於公司的催化劑可能會將其推高至更高的價格。

For instance, a pivot toward making more of the tech giant's revenue subscription-based will help. Per one sell-side analyst, achieving this could add another $1 trillion to Apple's already multitrillion-dollar market capitalization.

例如,轉向讓這家科技巨頭的收入更多地基於訂閲將會有所幫助。根據一位賣方分析師的説法,實現這一目標可能會使蘋果已經數萬億美元的市值再增加1萬億美元。

Its driverless electric car catalyst, another potential needle-mover, is still in motion as well. Don't forget either that there's the metaverse, where Apple can level up on its past success.

其無人駕駛電動汽車催化劑,另一個潛在的針尖推進器,也仍在運行中。也不要忘記還有元宇宙,蘋果可以在這裏提升其過去的成功。

The Verdict

判決結果

Currently, AAPL stock earns a B rating in my Portfolio Grader. It's unclear whether shares will continue to rebound in the near term. Even so, investors holding this stock today, or looking to add it to their portfolios, shouldn't let near-term volatility get in the way of long-term appreciation.

目前,AAPL股票在我的網站上獲得B評級投資組合評分器。目前還不清楚股價是否會在短期內繼續反彈。即便如此,投資者今天持有這隻股票,或希望將其加入自己的投資組合,也不應該讓短期波動阻礙長期升值。

Gains from here may arrive gradually, but runway is ample. Despite already sporting a valuation in the trillions, it hasn't hit a growth wall.

從這裏開始的收益可能會逐漸到來,但跑道是充足的。儘管它的估值已經達到數萬億美元,但它還沒有遇到增長的障礙。

Moving toward more of a subscription-based revenue model could produce significant shareholder value. Its move into self-driving electric cars and the metaverse could materially increase the company's value as well.

轉向更多以訂閲為基礎的收入模式,可能會產生巨大的股東價值。該公司進軍自動駕駛電動汽車和元宇宙的舉措也可能大幅提升該公司的價值。

There are multiple factors giving it a strong chance of retaking its past high and soaring to even higher prices. Don't cash out or sit out on AAPL stock today. Holding it as a long-term position is the better move.

有多種因素使其很有可能重拾過去的高點,並飆升至更高的價格。今天不要套現或觀望蘋果股票。將其作為長期頭寸持有是更好的舉措。

On the date of publication, neither Louis Navellier nor the InvestorPlace Research Staff member primarily responsible for this article held (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

在文章發表之日,Louis Navellier和主要負責本文的InvestorPlace Research工作人員都沒有(直接或間接)持有本文提到的證券的任何頭寸。

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最早出現在InvestorPlace上的帖子是買入並長期持有蘋果股票。

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