Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 18% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:
7.1% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.1% ROE
On the face of it, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.2%. But then again, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 8.5%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.
That being said, we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 14% in the same period.
SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth August 15th 2022
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its profits), Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
In addition, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 35% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is predicted to rise to 9.2% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
Conclusion
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上海機電工業股份有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600835)在過去的三個月裏股票大幅上漲了18%。但該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在所有方面都不同,這讓我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭能否保持下去。在本文中,我們決定將重點放在上海機電工業有限公司的淨資產收益率上。
股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,淨資產收益率顯示了每一美元相對於其股東投資產生的利潤。
查看我們對上海機電實業有限公司的最新分析
淨資產收益率是如何計算的?
這個股本回報率公式是:
股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益
因此,根據上述公式,上海機電工業股份有限公司的淨資產收益率為:
7.1%=CN元11億×CN元150億(以截至2022年3月的12個月為基礎)。
“回報”指的是一家公司過去一年的收益。一種概念化的方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,就會獲得0.07元人民幣的利潤。
為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?
到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。我們現在需要評估公司將多少利潤再投資或“保留”用於未來的增長,這就讓我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個瞭解。假設其他條件不變,淨資產收益率和利潤保留率越高,與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,公司的增長率就越高。
上海機電工業股份有限公司盈利增長7.1%淨資產收益率
從表面上看,上海機電股份有限公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)沒有太多可談的。然而,一項更仔細的研究顯示,該公司的淨資產收益率接近8.2%的行業平均水平。但話又説回來,上海機電工業有限公司的五年淨利潤以8.5%的速度縮水。請記住,該公司的淨資產收益率從一開始就有點低。因此,這可能是導致收益增長放緩的原因。
話雖如此,我們將上海機電工業有限公司的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現該公司在同一時期盈利縮水時,該行業的盈利卻以14%的速度增長時,我們感到擔憂。
上證綜指:過去600835的收益增長2022年8月15日
賦予一家公司價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長掛鈎。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是光明的還是不祥的。與其他公司相比,上海機電工業股份有限公司的價值是否公平?這3個估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。
上海機電股份有限公司是否有效利用其留存收益?
儘管上海機電工業有限公司正常的三年派息率中值為35%(該公司保留了65%的利潤),但正如我們上面看到的那樣,它的收益出現了下降。看起來可能還有其他一些原因來解釋這方面的缺乏。例如,這項業務可能正在衰落。
此外,上海機電工業有限公司在至少十年的時間裏一直在支付股息,這表明保持股息支付對管理層來説要重要得多,即使這是以業務增長為代價的。在研究了最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現,預計該公司將在未來三年繼續支付約35%的利潤。無論如何,儘管派息率預計不會有太大變化,但上海機電工業有限公司未來的淨資產收益率預計將上升至9.2%。
結論
總體而言,我們對上海機電實業有限公司的感受複雜。雖然該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師們預計該公司的收益增長率將大幅提高。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於該公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對該公司的預測頁面。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。