Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000505) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hainan Jingliang Holdings
What Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had CN¥1.78b in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥830.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥950.6m.
SZSE:000505 Debt to Equity History September 1st 2022
How Strong Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had liabilities of CN¥3.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥129.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥830.9m and CN¥230.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.52b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Hainan Jingliang Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥5.88b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Hainan Jingliang Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Pleasingly, Hainan Jingliang Holdings is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 195% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hainan Jingliang Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hainan Jingliang Holdings reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
Hainan Jingliang Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hainan Jingliang Holdings is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Hainan Jingliang Holdings's earnings per share history for free.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一些人説,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾説過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。與許多其他公司一樣海南京亮控股有限公司。(SZSE:000505)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。
債務會帶來什麼風險?
當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
查看我們對海南景亮控股的最新分析
海南景亮控股的債務是什麼?
下面的圖表顯示,海南精良控股2022年6月的債務為人民幣17.8億元,與前一年大致相同。點擊查看更多詳細信息。然而,它確實有8.309億加元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為9.506億加元。
深交所:000505債轉股歷史2022年9月1日
海南景亮控股的資產負債表有多強?
從最新的資產負債表可以看到,海南景亮控股有34.6億元的負債在一年內到期,還有1.297億元的負債在一年內到期。另一方面,它有8.309億新元的現金和2.307億新元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額為人民幣25.2億元,比現金和短期應收賬款的總和還要多。
海南景亮控股的市值為人民幣58.8億元,因此,如果有需要,它很可能會籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。
我們通過查看公司的淨債務除以利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),並計算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出(利息覆蓋)的容易程度,來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力的關係。因此,我們考慮債務相對於收益,包括折舊和攤銷費用。
海南景亮控股的淨債務與EBITDA之比約為2.0,這表明其僅適度使用債務。而其1k倍的強大利息覆蓋,讓我們更加舒心。令人欣喜的是,海南京良控股的息税前利潤增長速度快於澳大利亞前總理鮑勃·霍克(Bob Hawke)倒下一塊院子玻璃的速度,在過去12個月裏增長了195%。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為海南晶亮控股需要盈利來償還債務。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。
最後,儘管税務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要看看息税前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年裏,海南京亮控股報告的自由現金流相當於其息税前利潤的14%,這確實是相當低的。對我們來説,低現金轉換引發了一點偏執,那就是償還債務的能力。
我們的觀點
根據這一分析,海南景亮控股的利息覆蓋率及其息税前利潤增長率是一個真正積極的因素。另一方面,它將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流,讓我們對其債務不那麼放心。當我們考慮到上述所有因素時,在我們看來,海南景亮控股的債務管理得相當好。話雖如此,這筆負擔足夠沉重,我們建議任何股東都要密切關注。在大多數其他指標中,我們認為跟蹤每股收益的增長速度(如果有的話)是很重要的。如果你也意識到了這一點,你就幸運了,因為今天你可以免費查看海南景亮控股每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。