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Global Recession Fears Yet to Shake Australia's Biggest Firms

Global Recession Fears Yet to Shake Australia's Biggest Firms

全球經濟衰退擔憂尚未動搖澳大利亞最大的公司
Yahoo Finance ·  2022/09/05 19:50

(Bloomberg) -- A strong earnings season in Australia is giving investors confidence that the country will manage to escape the recessionary threat looming over much of the world.

(彭博社)--澳大利亞強勁的財報季給了投資者信心,相信該國將設法擺脱籠罩着世界大部分地區的衰退威脅。

About half of the 137 companies on the benchmark $S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$ that reported full-year results in August posted positive earnings surprises, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Soaring profits and strong dividends from firms like $CommBank (CBA.AU)$ and $BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AU)$ showed companies' resilience amid fears of a global economic slowdown. The nation's shares are also beating a gauge of global stocks this year.

在該基準指數的137家公司中,約有一半$S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$彭博社(Bloomberg)彙編的數據顯示,該公司8月份公佈的全年業績公佈了積極的收益驚喜。飛漲的利潤和豐厚的股息$CommBank (CBA.AU)$$BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AU)$顯示了企業在對全球經濟放緩的擔憂中的韌性。中國股市今年的表現也好於全球股市。

Economic conditions are buoyant for the major commodities exporter, with the probability of recession at just 25%, according to a Bloomberg survey. Whereas, going by the same measure, the likelihood is at least 50% for the US and UK, and 35% for neighbor New Zealand.

根據彭博社的一項調查,對這個主要大宗商品出口國來説,經濟狀況良好,衰退的可能性僅為25%。然而,按照同樣的衡量標準,美國和英國的可能性至少為50%,鄰國新西蘭的可能性為35%。

Positive results among consumer discretionary firms and robust economic data suggest household spending is holding up as interest rates increase. The Reserve Bank is expected to deliver a half-point hike at Tuesday's meeting, in what would be its fourth straight move of that size.

非必需消費品公司的積極業績和強勁的經濟數據表明,隨着利率上升,家庭支出保持不變。預計央行將在週二的會議上宣佈加息0.5個基點,這將是央行連續第四次加息。

"The biggest surprise to the market through the results season came from consumer stocks," UBS Group AG analysts including Richard Schellbach wrote in a note. While investors expected discretionary names would struggle amid cost-of-living pain and rate hikes, retailers showed "the consumer is in fact still spending quite healthily."

瑞銀集團(UBS Group AG)分析師理查德·謝爾巴赫(Richard Schellbach)在一份報告中寫道:“整個財報季給市場帶來的最大驚喜來自消費類股。”雖然投資者預計可自由支配的名稱將在生活成本痛苦和利率上調中苦苦掙扎,但零售商表明,“消費者實際上仍在相當健康地消費。”

Still, some companies offered cautious views on the domestic economy. Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, warned that steeper borrowing costs and inflation were hitting consumer demand. Supermarket Woolworths Group Ltd. also said inflationary pressures were changing customers' shopping behavior.

儘管如此,一些公司對國內經濟仍持謹慎態度。澳大利亞最大的銀行聯邦銀行警告説,借貸成本上升和通貨膨脹正在打擊消費者需求。沃爾沃斯超市集團有限公司還説,通脹壓力正在改變顧客的購物行為。

Labor shortages also remained a sticking point during the results season. National carrier $Qantas Airways Ltd (QAN.AU)$ highlighted staffing gaps in the aviation industry, while recruitment website operator $Seek Ltd (SEK.AU)$ flagged hearty job ad volumes.

在財報季,勞動力短缺也仍然是一個癥結。國家航空公司$Qantas Airways Ltd (QAN.AU)$強調了航空業的人員配備差距,而招聘網站運營商$Seek Ltd (SEK.AU)$顯示出豐厚的招聘廣告數量。

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

©2022年彭博L.P.

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