Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Miramar Hotel and Investment Company, Limited (HKG:71) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 27% over a half decade. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 12% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 12% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
With the stock having lost 5.2% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
View our latest analysis for Miramar Hotel and Investment Company
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Looking back five years, both Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 26% per year. The share price decline of 6% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:71 Earnings Per Share Growth September 9th 2022
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Miramar Hotel and Investment Company's TSR for the last 5 years was -13%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Although it hurts that Miramar Hotel and Investment Company returned a loss of 5.8% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 23%. Given the total loss of 2% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Miramar Hotel and Investment Company has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
We will like Miramar Hotel and Investment Company better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
理想情況下,你的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水平。但在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會喜憂參半。所以我們不會責怪長期美麗華酒店投資有限公司(HKG:71)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了27%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天裏下跌了12%。當然,在此期間,這一股價走勢很可能受到了大盤12%跌幅的影響。
鑑於該公司股價在過去一週下跌了5.2%,我們有必要看看它的業務表現,看看是否有任何危險信號。
查看我們對美麗華酒店和投資公司的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
回顧五年前,美麗華酒店投資公司的股價和每股收益都在下降;後者以每年26%的速度下降。股價每年6%的跌幅並不像每股收益下跌那麼糟糕。因此,市場此前可能預計會下跌,否則預計情況會有所改善。
您可以在下面看到EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來了解確切的值)。
聯交所:每股盈利增長71 2022年9月9日
我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。在買賣股票之前,我們總是建議仔細檢查一下歷史增長趨勢,可在此處找到。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,美麗華酒店投資公司過去5年的TSR為-13%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
不同的視角
儘管美麗華酒店和投資公司在過去12個月中回報了5.8%的損失,這是一件令人痛苦的事情,但大盤實際上更糟糕,回報損失23%。考慮到過去五年每年2%的總虧損,過去12個月的回報率似乎有所下降。雖然一些投資者擅長買入那些陷入困境(但估值仍然被低估)的公司,但不要忘記巴菲特曾説過,扭虧為盈的情況很少出現轉機。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,承擔風險--美麗華酒店和投資公司1個警告標誌我們認為你應該意識到。
如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡美麗華酒店投資公司。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。