The recent earnings release from Shenwu Energy Saving Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000820 ) was disappointing to investors. We looked deeper and believe that there is even more to be worried about, beyond the soft profit numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenwu Energy Saving
SZSE:000820 Earnings and Revenue History September 11th 2022
Examining Cashflow Against Shenwu Energy Saving's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to June 2022, Shenwu Energy Saving had an accrual ratio of 1.68. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥91m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥25.1m. We also note that Shenwu Energy Saving's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥91m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenwu Energy Saving.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
On top of the noteworthy accrual ratio and the spike in non-operating revenue, we can also see that Shenwu Energy Saving benefitted from unusual items worth CN¥427m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shenwu Energy Saving's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Shenwu Energy Saving's Profit Performance
Shenwu Energy Saving had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Shenwu Energy Saving's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenwu Energy Saving you should know about.
Our examination of Shenwu Energy Saving has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最近發佈的收益來自神霧節能有限公司。(SZSE:000820)令投資者失望。我們進行了更深入的研究,認為除了疲軟的利潤數據,還有更多值得擔心的問題。
查看我們對神霧節能的最新分析
深交所:000820年度盈利及收入歷史2022年9月11日
考察現金流對神武節能收益的影響
在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。為了得到應計比率,我們首先從一個時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該時期的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。
因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率是負的。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認為,當一家公司的應計比率相對較高時,這一點值得注意。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。
截至2022年6月止年度,神武節能的應計比率為1.68。一般來説,這對未來的盈利能力來説是個不好的預兆。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為9,100萬元,而前述利潤為2,510萬元。我們還注意到,神霧節能去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,所以我們可以理解股東是否對其流出的9100萬元人民幣感到困擾。話雖如此,故事中還有更多的東西。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。
注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處進入我們對神霧節能的資產負債表分析。
異常項目對利潤的影響
除了值得注意的應計比率和營業外收入的激增,我們還可以看到,神霧節能在過去12個月中受益於價值4.27億元人民幣的異常項目。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們保持樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了統計,不尋常的項目在性質上是一次性的,這是非常常見的。考慮到這些提振被描述為“不尋常的”,這正如你所預期的那樣。我們可以看到,神霧節能的積極異常項目與其截至2022年6月的年度利潤相比相當重要。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的項目使其法定利潤比其他情況下要強勁得多。
我們對神霧節能盈利業績的看法
神霧節能的應計比率較低,但它的利潤確實得到了不尋常項目的提振。基於上述所有原因,我們認為,乍一看,神霧節能的法定利潤可以被認為是低質量的,因為它們很可能給投資者帶來對公司過於積極的印象。請記住,在分析一隻股票時,值得注意其中的風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現神霧節能2個警示標誌你應該知道。
我們對神霧節能的調查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能會讓神霧節能的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。