In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Haining China Leather Market Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002344) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 45% over a half decade. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 9.3% in a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 7.3% in the same time.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Haining China Leather MarketLtd isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Haining China Leather MarketLtd
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the five years over which the share price declined, Haining China Leather MarketLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 5.3% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 11% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SZSE:002344 Earnings Per Share Growth September 20th 2022
We know that Haining China Leather MarketLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Haining China Leather MarketLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -43%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Haining China Leather MarketLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.2% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 7% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Haining China Leather MarketLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Haining China Leather MarketLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
But note: Haining China Leather MarketLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠多的贏家來抵消輸家,這樣我們就不會責怪長期海寧中國皮革市場有限公司(SZSE:002344)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在過去五年中下跌了45%。最近,該公司股價在一個月內進一步下跌了9.3%。但這可能與糟糕的市場狀況有關--股市同期下跌了7.3%。
如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對海寧中國皮革市場有限公司的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。
查看我們對海寧中國皮革市場有限公司的最新分析
用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨着時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
在股價下跌的五年中,海寧中國皮革市場有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降5.3%。每股收益的這一降幅低於該公司股價每年11%的降幅。這暗示市場此前對該股過於樂觀。
該公司的每股收益(在一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。
深交所:2022年9月20日每股收益增長002344
我們知道海寧中國皮革市場有限公司最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?如果你感興趣,你可以看看這個免費顯示一致收入預測的報告。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。TSR包括任何剝離或貼現融資的價值,以及任何股息,基於股息再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來説,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,海寧中國皮革市場有限公司過去5年的TSR為-43%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
很高興看到海寧中國皮革市場有限公司的股東在過去一年中獲得了9.2%的總股東回報。當然,這包括股息。毫無疑問,最近的回報率遠遠好於TSR在過去五年中每年7%的損失。這讓我們有點警惕,但這家企業可能已經扭轉了命運。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地瞭解海寧中國皮革市場有限公司,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,海寧中國皮革市場有限公司正在展示我們的投資分析中的3個警告信號,其中一條讓我們有點不舒服...
但請注意:海寧中國皮革市場有限公司可能不是買入的最佳股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費過去有盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。