The market for Clifford Modern Living Holdings Limited's (HKG:3686) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
See our latest analysis for Clifford Modern Living Holdings
SEHK:3686 Earnings and Revenue History September 28th 2022
Examining Cashflow Against Clifford Modern Living Holdings' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Clifford Modern Living Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.41 for the year to June 2022. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥125m, well over the CN¥95.5m it reported in profit. Clifford Modern Living Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Clifford Modern Living Holdings.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Surprisingly, given Clifford Modern Living Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥11m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
Our Take On Clifford Modern Living Holdings' Profit Performance
In conclusion, Clifford Modern Living Holdings' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think that Clifford Modern Living Holdings' profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Clifford Modern Living Holdings.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
的市場 克利福德現代生活控股有限公司的 (HKG: 3686) 在最近公佈疲軟的收益後,股價沒有太大變動。我們認爲,較疲軟的標題數字可能會被一些積極的潛在因素所抵消。
查看我們對克利福德現代生活控股公司的最新分析
香港交易所:3686 2022 年 9 月 28 日收益和收入記錄
將現金流與克利福德現代生活控股公司的收益進行比較
許多投資者還沒有聽說過 現金流應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。
因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正的應計比率是負數。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。
截至2022年6月的一年中,克利福德現代生活控股公司的應計比率爲-0.41。這表明其自由現金流大大超過了法定利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲1.25億元人民幣,遠遠超過其公佈的9,550萬人民幣的利潤。毫無疑問,Clifford Modern Living Holdings的股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。
注意: 我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Clifford Modern Living Holdings的資產負債表分析。
不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?
令人驚訝的是,鑑於Clifford Modern Living Holdings的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換率,其票面利潤實際上是由1100萬元人民幣的不尋常項目所推動的。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出了巨大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重要的不尋常項目通常不會重複。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。因此,假設這些不尋常的物品在本年度不會再次出現,那麼我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務缺乏增長的情況下)。
我們對克利福德現代生活控股公司盈利表現的看法
總之,Clifford Modern Living Holdings的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,不尋常的項目提振了利潤。基於這些因素,我們認爲Clifford Modern Living Holdings的利潤是衡量其潛在盈利能力的相當保守的指南。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的瞭解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,我們發現了 2 個警告標誌 爲了更好地瞭解克利福德現代生活控股公司,你應該仔細觀察。
在本文中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以告知你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而其他人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能希望看到這個 免費的 一系列擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在買入的股票清單。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章無意提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。