Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology Co., Ltd. (HKG:8139) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may still consider Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 12.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology
SEHK:8139 Price Based on Past Earnings October 6th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology, take a look at this
free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Growth For Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 35%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 273% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology's P/E?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology's very lofty P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
浙江長安仁恒科技股份有限公司 (HKG: 8139) 上個月,股價下跌了29%,這給等待某件事發生的股東帶來了打擊。對於任何長期股東來說,最後一個月的股價下跌了53%,從而結束了一年的忘記。
即使在價格大幅下跌之後,鑑於將近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)低於8倍,您仍然可以將浙江長安仁恒科技視爲市盈率爲12.8倍的股票。但是,市盈率可能相當高是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定是否合理。
舉例來說,浙江長安仁恒科技的收益在過去一年中有所惡化,這並不理想。一種可能性是市盈率很高,因爲投資者認爲該公司在不久的將來仍將做得足夠多,足以跑贏整個市場。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性感到非常緊張。
查看我們對浙江長安仁恒科技的最新分析
SEHK: 8139 價格基於過去的業績 2022 年 10 月 6 日儘管沒有分析師對浙江長安仁恒科技的估計,但看看這個
免費的 數據豐富的可視化,以了解公司如何累積收益、收入和現金流。
浙江長安仁恒科技有足夠的增長嗎?
看到像浙江長安仁恒科技這樣的市盈率如此之高,你唯一能真正放心的時候是該公司的增長有望明顯超越市場。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不令人興奮,因爲它公佈了令人失望的35%的跌幅。儘管如此,儘管短期表現不令人滿意,但最近三年來,每股收益總體增長了273%。因此,儘管他們寧願繼續運營,但股東們可能會對中期收益增長率表示歡迎。
這與其他市場形成鮮明對比,後者預計明年將增長20%,大大低於該公司最近的中期年化增長率。
有了這些信息,我們就可以明白爲什麼浙江長安仁恒科技的市盈率與市場相比如此之高。看來大多數投資者都預計這種強勁的增長將繼續下去,並願意爲該股支付更多費用。
我們可以從浙江長安仁恒科技的市盈率中學到什麼?
股價大幅下跌並沒有抑制浙江長安仁恒科技非常高的市盈率。我們可以說,市盈率的力量主要不在於作爲一種估值工具,而是衡量當前投資者的情緒和未來預期。
正如我們所懷疑的那樣,我們對浙江長安仁恒科技的審查顯示,其三年收益趨勢是其高市盈率的原因,因爲它們看起來好於當前的市場預期。目前,股東們對市盈率感到滿意,因爲他們非常有信心收益不會受到威脅。如果最近的中期收益趨勢繼續下去,那麼在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來強勁下跌。
你應該時刻考慮風險。一個很好的例子,我們已經發現了 浙江長安仁恒科技的4個警示標誌 你應該知道,其中有兩個很重要。
重要的是 一定要尋找一家優秀的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。 所以來看看這個 免費的 近期收益增長強勁(市盈率低於20倍)的有趣公司名單。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。