While AVIC Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600765) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SHSE. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine AVIC Heavy Machinery's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.
See our latest analysis for AVIC Heavy Machinery
What's The Opportunity In AVIC Heavy Machinery?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 39.4x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers' ratio of 35.21x, which means if you buy AVIC Heavy Machinery today, you'd be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe AVIC Heavy Machinery should be trading in this range, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. In addition to this, it seems like AVIC Heavy Machinery's share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it's trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
Can we expect growth from AVIC Heavy Machinery?
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-15895257-0-23297d4b86de77889b33a5fb0bd955ca.png/big)
SHSE:600765 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 24th 2022
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 70% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for AVIC Heavy Machinery. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? 600765's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 600765? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 600765, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 600765, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for AVIC Heavy Machinery from their most recent forecasts. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
If you are no longer interested in AVIC Heavy Machinery, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
雖然中航重機股份有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600765)目前可能不是最廣為人知的股票,但它的股價在過去幾個月裏在上海證交所實現了超過10%的兩位數漲幅。作為一隻分析師覆蓋率很高的中型股,你可以假設該公司最近前景的任何變化都已經計入了股價。然而,該股目前的交易價格還會相對便宜嗎?讓我們更詳細地審視中航重工的估值和前景,以確定是否仍有逢低買入的機會。
查看我們對中航重型機械的最新分析
中航重機有什麼機會?
根據我的市盈率模型,該公司的市盈率與行業平均水平進行了比較,目前股價似乎是合理的。我之所以在這種情況下使用市盈率,是因為沒有足夠的可見性來預測其現金流。該股目前的市盈率為39.4倍,略高於行業同行的35.21倍,這意味着如果你今天買入中航重工,你將支付一個相對合理的價格。如果你認為中航重工的股價應該在這個區間內交易,那麼從長期來看,中航重工的股價實際上沒有任何超出其他行業同行水平的上漲空間。除此之外,中航重工的股價似乎相當穩定,這可能意味着,由於該公司目前的市盈率在其他行業同行的市盈率附近,未來逢低買入的機會可能會減少。這是因為,鑑於其貝塔係數較低,該股的波動性低於大盤。
我們能指望中航重機實現增長嗎?
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-15895257-0-23297d4b86de77889b33a5fb0bd955ca.png/big)
上海證交所:600765收益和收入增長2022年10月24日
尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能希望在購買一家公司的股票之前考慮其前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯説,相對於價格的內在價值才是最重要的,但一個更有説服力的投資命題是以低廉的價格實現高增長潛力。由於未來幾年利潤預計將增長70%,中航重工的前景似乎是光明的。看起來,該公司股票有可能出現更高的現金流,這應該會帶來更高的股票估值。
這對你意味着什麼
你是股東嗎?600765樂觀的未來增長似乎已被計入當前股價,股價在行業市盈率附近交易。然而,還有其他重要的因素我們今天沒有考慮,比如公司的財務實力。這些因素與你上次關注的600765相比有變化嗎?如果價格波動低於行業市盈率,你會有足夠的信心買入嗎?
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你一直在關注600765,現在可能不是買入的最佳時機,因為它的交易價格在行業市盈率附近。然而,樂觀的前景對600765來説是令人鼓舞的,這意味着它值得進一步研究其他因素,如其資產負債表的實力,以利用下一次價格下跌。
考慮一下分析師對中航重工最新預測的預期,這可能是相當有價值的。幸運的是,您可以通過單擊此處查看分析師的預測。
如果你對中航重工不再感興趣,你可以使用我們的免費平臺查看我們的50多隻其他具有高增長潛力的股票。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。