Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:200429) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development
SZSE:200429 Price Based on Past Earnings December 6th 2022 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our
free report on Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 4.5% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% during the coming year according to the twin analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 42% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
廣東省高速公路發展有限公司深交所(SZSE:200429)6.9倍的市盈率可能使其與中國的市場相比看起來像是一隻強勁的買入股票,大約一半的公司的市盈率高於35倍,即使是高於62倍的市盈率也相當常見。儘管如此,僅僅從面值來看待市盈率是不明智的,因為可能會有一個解釋,為什麼它如此有限。
廣東省高速公路發展公司最近一直在苦苦掙扎,因為它的收益下降得比大多數其他公司都快。市盈率之所以偏低,可能是因為投資者認為這種糟糕的盈利表現根本不會改善。如果你仍然喜歡這家公司,你會希望在做出任何決定之前,它的盈利軌跡有所好轉。或者至少,如果你的計劃是在一些股票不受青睞的時候買入,你會希望收益下滑不會變得更糟。
查看我們對廣東省高速公路發展的最新分析
SZSE:200429基於過去收益的價格2022年12月6日如果你想看看分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們的
免費關於廣東省高速公路發展的報告。
增長指標告訴我們關於低市盈率的哪些信息?
對於一家預計增長非常緩慢、甚至盈利下降,而且重要的是表現遠遜於大盤的公司來説,廣東省高速發展的市盈率是典型的。
如果我們回顧去年的收益,令人沮喪的是,該公司的利潤下降了20%。過去三年的情況也不妙,該公司每股收益總計縮水了4.5%。因此,不幸的是,我們不得不承認,在這段時間裏,該公司在盈利增長方面做得並不出色。
根據跟蹤該公司的兩位分析師的説法,展望未來一年,每股收益預計將攀升16%。這將大大低於大盤42%的增長預期。
有鑑於此,廣東省高速公路發展公司的市盈率低於其他大多數公司也是可以理解的。似乎大多數投資者預計未來的增長有限,只願意為該股支付較低的價格。
最後的結論
我們會説,市盈率的力量主要不是作為一種估值工具,而是衡量當前投資者的情緒和未來預期。
我們已經確定,廣東省高速公路發展保持其低市盈率的疲軟,其預期增長低於更廣泛的市場,正如預期。在這個階段,投資者認為盈利改善的潛力還不夠大,不足以證明提高市盈率是合理的。在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來強勁上漲。
還有其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現廣東省高速公路發展的一塊警示牌你應該知道。
如果你.不確定廣東省高速公路發展業務的實力,為什麼不探索我們的互動列表,為其他一些你可能沒有達到預期的公司提供堅實的商業基本面。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。