Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000615) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd
How Much Debt Does Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd Carry?
As you can see below, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.22b of debt at September 2022, down from CN¥1.42b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥331.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥885.2m.
SZSE:000615 Debt to Equity History December 6th 2022
A Look At Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥862.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.25b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥331.6m in cash and CN¥261.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.52b.
Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.19b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.2b, which is a fall of 40%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥216m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥239m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一些人説,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾説過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。我們注意到奧源美谷科技有限公司。(SZSE:000615)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?
債務在什麼時候是危險的?
債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。當然,債務的好處是,它往往代表着廉價資本,特別是當它用能夠以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。
查看我們對奧源美谷科技有限公司的最新分析
奧源美谷科技有限公司揹負着多少債務?
如下所示,截至2022年9月,奧源美谷科技有限公司的債務為12.2億元人民幣,低於一年前的14.2億元人民幣。然而,由於它擁有3.316億加元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約為8.852億加元。
深交所:000615債轉股歷史2022年12月6日
奧源美谷科技有限公司負債情況一瞥
根據最近一次報告的資產負債表,奧源美谷科技有限公司有8.625億加元的負債在12個月內到期,12.5億加元的負債在12個月後到期。作為抵消,它有3.316億加元的現金和2.617億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債比現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和高出152B元。
奧源美谷科技有限公司的市值為51.9億元人民幣,因此如果有需要,它很可能會籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但決定奧源美谷科技有限公司未來保持健康資產負債表的能力,最重要的是未來的收益。所以,如果你關注未來,你可以看看這個免費顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。
在12個月的時間裏,奧源美谷科技有限公司息税前利潤出現虧損,收入下降至12億元人民幣,降幅為40%。至少可以説,這讓我們感到緊張。
告誡買入者
雖然奧源美谷科技有限公司收入的下降令人心碎,但可以説,其息税前利潤(EBIT)虧損就更沒有吸引力了。具體地説,息税前虧損為2.16億加元。考慮到除了上面提到的債務,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地説,我們認為資產負債表遠遠不能與之匹配,儘管隨着時間的推移,它可能會得到改善。然而,它在過去一年燒掉了2.39億元人民幣的現金,這也於事無補。因此,坦率地説,我們認為這是有風險的。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。請注意,奧源美谷科技有限公司正在展示在我們的投資分析中出現1個警告信號,你應該知道關於……
總而言之,有時候專注於甚至不需要債務的公司會更容易。讀者可以訪問淨債務為零的成長型股票列表100%免費,現在。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。