The Technovator International Limited (HKG:1206) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 40% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Technovator International's P/E ratio of 9.5x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Hong Kong is also close to 9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
For instance, Technovator International's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for Technovator International
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Technovator International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Growth For Technovator International?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Technovator International would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 71%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 82% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Technovator International's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Technovator International appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Technovator International revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Technovator International is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Technovator International. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.
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