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Federal Reserve's Loretta Mester Expects Likelihood Of More Rate Hikes — Here's Why

Federal Reserve's Loretta Mester Expects Likelihood Of More Rate Hikes — Here's Why

美聯儲局的洛雷塔·梅斯特(Loretta Mes)預計會有更多加息的可能性-這就是
Benzinga ·  2023/04/05 10:02

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester sees possibility of more interest rate hikes in the wake of signs indicating the recent banking crisis have abated.

克利夫兰联邦储备银行 總統 洛雷塔·梅斯特 在跡象表明近期銀行危機已經減輕的跡象之後,看到更多加息的可能性。

What Happened: Mester said she expects monetary policy moving "somewhat further into restrictive territory this year, with the fed funds rate moving above 5% and the real fed funds rate staying in positive territory for some time," according to a Reuters report.

發生了什麼事: Mst 表示,她預計貨幣政策今年「進一步進入限制性區域,美聯儲基金利率在 5% 以上移動,實際的聯儲基金利率保持在積極的領域一段時間」,根據路透社的報告。

U.S. markets closed in the red on Monday after job openings in February declined to the lowest level in about two years while factory orders dropped for a second straight month, showing signs the economy might be weakening.

2 月份的職位空缺跌至約兩年來的最低水平,而工廠訂單連續第二個月下降,美國市場週一紅色收盤,顯示出經濟可能正在走弱的跡象。

"Precisely how much higher the federal funds rate will need to go from here and for how long policy will need to remain restrictive will depend on how much inflation and inflation expectations are moving down, and that will depend on how much demand is slowing, supply challenges are being resolved, and price pressures are easing," Mester said in a speech before a group of economists in New York.

梅斯特在紐約一群經濟學家發表演講中說:「正是聯邦基金利率需要從這裡開始高出多少,以及保持限制性的政策需要多長時間取決於通貨膨脹和通貨膨脹預期下降,這將取決於需求放緩多少,供應挑戰正在解決,價格壓力正在緩和。」

The Cleveland Fed President said she sees somewhat more persistent inflation pressures than the median forecast among FOMC participants and pushed back on market views that the Fed will need to reduce rates much sooner than central bankers currently expect.

克利夫蘭聯儲主席表示,她看到比 FOMC 參與者的中位數預測要持續多一些持續的通脹壓力,並推遲市場觀點,認為美聯儲將需要比中央銀行家目前預期的更快地降低利率。

"Can I come up with scenarios that would have the Fed cutting rates? Yes. Is it my modal forecast? No," she said.

「我能想出將有美聯儲削減利率的情景嗎?是的這是我的模態預測嗎?不,」她說。

Banking Crisis: Mester also expressed confidence on the banking sector saying the stresses have eased and added that the central bank is monitoring the conditions carefully.

銀行危機: 梅斯特還對銀行業表示信心表示壓力已經緩解,並補充說,央行正在仔細監測條件。

"The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient," she said. "The stresses experienced in the banking system in March have eased, but the Fed continues to carefully monitor conditions and is prepared to take further steps as necessary to ensure financial stability," she added.

她說:「美國的銀行體系健全而有彈性。」她補充說:「三月份銀行體系所經歷的壓力已經放緩,但美聯儲繼續仔細監察條件,並準備採取必要措施以確保金融穩定。」

It is noteworthy that JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned shareholders in a letter that the U.S. banking crisis is ongoing and that its impact will be felt for years.

值得注意的是 摩根大通 執行長 傑米·戴蒙 在一封信中警告股東,美國銀行業危機正在進行中,並且將感受到其影響多年。

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