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Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

上海機電工業有限公司, Ltd.(SHSE: 600835)股票走強但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/04/26 19:48

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

上海機電工業股份有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600835)在過去的三個月裡股票大幅上漲了16%。然而,我們想知道該公司不一致的財務數據是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生不利影響。具體地說,我們決定在本文中研究上海機電工業有限公司的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或淨資產收益率是股東要考慮的一個重要因素,因為它告訴他們他們的資本再投資的效率。簡而言之,它衡量的是一家公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd

查看我們對上海機電實業有限公司的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海機電工業股份有限公司的淨資產收益率為:

6.0% = CN¥928m ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

6.0%=9.28億元×150億元(以截至2022年9月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回報”指的是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。這意味著,股東權益每增加1元,公司就會產生0.06元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前為止,我們瞭解到淨資產收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司將這些利潤再投資或“保留”多少,以及這樣做的效率如何,我們就能夠評估一家公司的收益增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.0% ROE

上海機電股份有限公司盈利增長和淨資產收益率為6.0%

At first glance, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.9%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 12% seen by Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,上海機電股份有限公司的淨資產收益率看起來並不是很有希望。其次,與7.9%的行業平均淨資產收益率相比,該公司的淨資產收益率讓我們感到更不熱情。在這種情況下,上海機電工業有限公司在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降12%也就不足為奇了。然而,也可能有其他因素導致收益下降。例如,可能是企業的資本配置不當,或者公司的派息率非常高。

However, when we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將上海機電工業有限公司的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在縮水,但同期該行業的收益增長了11%。這相當令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth April 26th 2023
上證綜指:過去收益增長600835 2023年4月26日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是評估一隻股票時需要考慮的一個重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。這樣做將有助於他們確定該股的未來看起來是光明的還是不祥的。如果你想知道上海機電工業股份有限公司的估值,看看這個衡量其本益比的指標,它與其行業相比。

Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海機電股份有限公司能否有效地對利潤進行再投資?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 35% (or a retention ratio of 65%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

上海機電股份有限公司的三年派息率中值為35%(或留存率為65%),這是相當正常的,但盈利的下降令人費解,因為當一家公司保留了很大一部分利潤時,人們預計會看到相當大的增長。看起來可能還有其他一些原因來解釋這方面的缺乏。例如,這項業務可能正在衰落。

Additionally, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 35%. However, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE is predicted to rise to 8.0% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,上海機電工業有限公司在至少十年的時間裡支付了股息,這意味著公司管理層決心支付股息,即使這意味著收益幾乎沒有增長。根據最新的分析師預估,我們發現該公司未來三年的派息比率預計將穩定在35%。然而,上海機電工業有限公司的淨資產收益率預計將上升至8.0%,儘管其派息率沒有預期的變化。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總體而言,我們對上海機電工業有限公司的表現有點矛盾。雖然該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低ROE意味著所有的再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。您可以通過訪問我們的網站查看我們為上海機電工業有限公司確定的4個風險風險控制面板在我們的平臺上是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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