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Could The Market Be Wrong About Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Could The Market Be Wrong About Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

鑑於上海氯鹼化工股份有限公司(SHSE: 600618)的財務前景誘人,市場會不會有錯誤的看法?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/22 18:13

With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's ROE.

在過去的三個月裡,上海氯鹼化工的股價下跌了14%,人們很容易忽視它(上海證交所代碼:600618)。然而,股價通常是由一家公司的長期財務表現推動的,在這種情況下,這看起來相當有希望。在本文中,我們決定將重點放在上海氯鹼化工的淨資產收益率上。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率(ROE)是對一家公司增值和管理投資者資金的效率的測試。簡而言之,它是用來評估一家公司相對於其權益資本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical

查看我們對上海氯鹼化工的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海氯鹼化工的淨資產收益率為:

12% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥8.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

12%=CN元11億×CN元85億(以截至2023年3月的12個月為基礎)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.12 in profit.

“回報”指的是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。另一種說法是,公司每持有價值1元的股權,就能賺取0.12元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前為止,我們已經瞭解到淨資產收益率衡量的是一家公司創造利潤的效率。根據公司選擇再投資或“保留”多少利潤,我們就能夠評估一家公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他條件不變,淨資產收益率和利潤保留率越高,與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,公司的增長率就越高。

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

上海氯鹼化工盈利增長及淨資產收益率12%

At first glance, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.3%. Probably as a result of this, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical was able to see a decent growth of 11% over the last five years.

乍一看,上海氯鹼化工似乎擁有不錯的淨資產收益率。此外,該公司的淨資產收益率(ROE)與8.3%的行業平均水準相比相當有利。可能正因為如此,上海氯鹼化工在過去五年中能夠實現11%的可觀增長。

As a next step, we compared Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 16% in the same period.

下一步,我們將上海氯鹼化工的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期16%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600618 Past Earnings Growth May 22nd 2023
上證所:過去600618的收益增長2023年5月22日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,重要的是知道市場是否已經消化了公司預期的收益增長(或下降)。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是將進入清澈的藍色水域,還是等待沼澤水域。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是本益比,它根據一隻股票的盈利前景決定市場願意為其支付的價格。因此,你可能想看看上海氯鹼化工的本益比相對於行業是高本益比還是低本益比。

Is Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海氯鹼化工是否有效利用了利潤?

Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 23% (implying that it retains 77% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

上海氯鹼化工三年對股東的派息率中值為23%(這意味著它保留了77%的收入),這一比率處於較低水準,因此管理層似乎正在將利潤進行大量再投資,以實現業務增長。

Moreover, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of nine years of paying a dividend.

此外,上海氯鹼化工決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是從其九年來支付股息的悠久歷史中推斷出來的。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Let's not forget, business risk is also one of the factors that affects the price of the stock. So this is also an important area that investors need to pay attention to before making a decision on any business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical visit our risks dashboard for free.

總體來說,我們覺得上海氯鹼化工的表現是相當不錯的。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,並以高回報率進行投資。因此,其收益的可觀增長並不令人意外。如果該公司繼續以目前的方式增長收益,考慮到每股收益對長期股價的影響,這可能會對其股價產生積極影響。我們不要忘記,商業風險也是影響股票價格的因素之一。因此,這也是投資者在對任何業務做出決定之前需要關注的一個重要領域。要了解我們為上海氯鹼化工確定的3個風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀錶板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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