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China Reform Culture Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600636) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

China Reform Culture Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600636) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

中國改革文化控股有限公司(SHSE: 600636)走勢強勁,但基本面似乎喜憂參半:該股有明確的方向嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/29 22:02

China Reform Culture Holdings' (SHSE:600636) stock is up by a considerable 40% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Reform Culture Holdings' ROE today.

中國改革文化控股(上海證券交易所代碼:600636)的股票在過去三個月裡上漲了40%。但該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在所有方面都不同,這讓我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭能否保持下去。今天我們特別關注中國改革文化控股的淨資產收益率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率(ROE)是用來評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它是用來評估一家公司相對於其權益資本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for China Reform Culture Holdings

參見我們對中國改革文化控股的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

這個淨資產收益率公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率=(持續經營的)淨利潤?股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Reform Culture Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國改革文化控股的淨資產收益率為:

5.1% = CN¥136m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

5.1%=CN元1.36億×CN元27億元(基於截至2023年3月的12個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“報稅表”是過去12個月的稅後收入。另一種說法是,公司每持有價值1元的股權,就能賺取0.05元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

為什麼淨資產收益率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經證實,淨資產收益率是一家公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司將這些利潤再投資或“保留”多少,以及這樣做的效率如何,我們就能夠評估一家公司的收益增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常會有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of China Reform Culture Holdings' Earnings Growth And 5.1% ROE

中國改革文化控股盈利增長與淨資產收益率5.1%的並列比較

It is hard to argue that China Reform Culture Holdings' ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 8.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, China Reform Culture Holdings' five year net income decline of 43% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很難說中國改革文化控股的淨資產收益率本身就很好。不僅如此,即使與8.3%的行業平均水準相比,該公司的淨資產收益率也完全不起眼。因此,中國改革文化控股五年來淨收益下降43%並不令人意外,因為它的淨資產收益率較低。我們認為,可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

However, when we compared China Reform Culture Holdings' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 16% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將中國改革文化控股的增長與行業進行比較時發現,在該公司盈利不斷萎縮的情況下,同期該行業的盈利增長了16%。這相當令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600636 Past Earnings Growth May 30th 2023
上海證交所:過去600636的收益增長2023年5月30日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about China Reform Culture Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者下一步需要確定的是,預期的收益增長是否已經計入了股價。這有助於他們確定這只股票是為光明還是黯淡的未來做準備。如果你想知道中國改革文化控股有限公司對S的估值,看看這個衡量其本益比的指標,與其行業相比。

Is China Reform Culture Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中國改革文化控股是否在高效利用其利潤?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), China Reform Culture Holdings has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管中國改革文化控股的正常三年中值派息率為32%(它保留了68%的利潤),但正如我們上面看到的那樣,它的收益出現了下降。因此,可能還有其他因素在起作用,可能會阻礙經濟增長。例如,該業務一直面臨一些不利因素。

Moreover, China Reform Culture Holdings has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,中國改革文化控股公司至少在十年或更長時間內一直在支付股息,這表明管理層肯定已經意識到,股東更喜歡股息而不是收益增長。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we have mixed feelings about China Reform Culture Holdings. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for China Reform Culture Holdings by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總體而言,我們對中國改革文化控股公司的感受複雜。雖然該公司的利潤留存率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能正在阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是查看業務的風險概況。您可以通過訪問我們的網站查看我們為中國改革文化控股確定的3個風險風險控制面板在我們的平臺上是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

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