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Improving Individual Investor Sentiment

Improving Individual Investor Sentiment

改善個人投資者情緒
Seeking Alpha ·  2019/11/08 10:03

Summary

摘要

Bullish investor sentiment improved 6.3 percentage points to 40.3% from the prior week's reported level as noted by the American Association of Individual Investors.
美國個人投資者協會(American Association Of Personal Investors)指出,看漲的投資者情緒比前一週報告的水平提高了6.3個百分點,達到40.3%。

Individual investor sentiment is certainly reacting positively to the upward trend in the equity markets.
個人投資者的情緒肯定對股市的上升趨勢做出了積極的反應。

Yet the current bullishness level only falls in the middle of a range of plus or minus one standard deviation of the average bullishness level.
然而,目前的看漲水平僅落在平均看漲水平的正負一個標準差區間的中間。

Bullish investor sentiment improved 6.3 percentage points to 40.3% from the prior week's reported level as noted by the American Association of Individual Investors. This is the highest bullishness level since the May 9 reading of 43.1%. Individual investor sentiment is certainly reacting positively to the upward trend in the equity markets, yet the current bullishness level only falls in the middle of a range of plus or minus one standard deviation of the average bullishness level. Due to the fact the weekly readings can be volatile, one should evaluate a moving average of the bullishness level, and in this case, the eight-period moving average. This eight-period average remains at a low 31.2%.

看漲的投資者情緒比前一週報告的水平提高了6.3個百分點,達到40.3%,這是由美國個人投資者協會。這是5月9日讀數43.1%以來的最高看漲水平。個人投資者情緒肯定對股市的上升趨勢做出了積極反應,但目前的看漲水平只落在平均看漲水平的正負一個標準差的中間。由於周度讀數可能會波動,人們應該評估看漲水平的移動平均線,在這種情況下,是8期移動平均線。這八個時期的均值維持在31.2%的低位。

saupload_sentiment_2B11_2B7_2B2019.png

The jump higher in the bullishness level is also impacting the bull/bear spread which equals 16.4 in this week's reading. The long-term average for the bull/bear spread is 5.3 percentage points.

看漲水平的上升也影響了牛熊價差,在本週的讀數中,牛熊價差等於16.4。牛/熊價差的長期平均值為5.3個百分點。

saupload_bull_2Bbear_2Bspread_2B11_2B7_2B2019.png

The sentiment measures are contrarian ones and tend to be most actionable at their extremes. With this noted, the current bullish sentiment level is not at an extreme; however, investors will want to keep an eye on individual investor sentiment as the recent equity market move seems to be having a favorable impact on individual investors.

情緒指標是反向的,在極端情況下往往最具可操作性。有了這一點,目前的看漲情緒水平並不是極端的;然而,投資者將希望密切關注個人投資者的情緒,因為最近的股市走勢似乎對個人投資者產生了有利的影響。

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.

編者按:本文的摘要項目符號是由尋求Alpha編輯選擇的。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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