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Liuzhou Iron&Steel (SHSE:601003) Shareholders Are up 4.5% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years

Liuzhou Iron&Steel (SHSE:601003) Shareholders Are up 4.5% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years

柳州鋼鐵(SHSE: 601003)股東上週上漲了4.5%,但在過去五年中仍處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  2023/07/26 18:19

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Liuzhou Iron&Steel Co., Ltd (SHSE:601003), since the last five years saw the share price fall 57%.

對許多人來說,投資的主要目的是創造比整體市場更高的回報。但幾乎可以肯定的是,每個投資者都會同時擁有表現優異和表現不佳的股票。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們在柳州鋼鐵股份有限公司(上交所:601003),自過去五年以來,股價下跌了57%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週對股東來說更令人安心,但他們在過去五年仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否對股價下跌負有責任。

See our latest analysis for Liuzhou Iron&Steel

查看我們對柳州鋼鐵的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Over five years Liuzhou Iron&Steel's earnings per share dropped significantly, falling to a loss, with the share price also lower. At present it's hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.

五年來,柳州鋼鐵的每股收益大幅下降,陷入虧損,股價也隨之走低。目前,很難將每股收益與股價進行有效的比較。然而,我們可以說,在這種情況下,我們預計會看到股價下跌。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(在一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數位)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601003 Earnings Per Share Growth July 26th 2023
上海證交所:2023年7月26日每股收益增長601003

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。在買賣股票之前,我們總是建議仔細檢查一下歷史增長趨勢,可在此處找到。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Liuzhou Iron&Steel's TSR for the last 5 years was -43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。恰好,柳州鋼鐵最近5年的TSR為-43%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Liuzhou Iron&Steel has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 10% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 7% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Liuzhou Iron&Steel you should be aware of.

令人欣慰的是,柳州鋼鐵在過去12個月裡為股東帶來了10%的總回報。當然,這包括股息。這當然超過了過去五年每年約7%的損失。這讓我們有點警惕,但這家企業可能已經扭轉了命運。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他資訊。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了柳鋼的2個警示標誌你應該意識到。

Of course Liuzhou Iron&Steel may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然了柳州鋼鐵可能不是最值得買入的股票那就是。所以你可能想看看這個免費成長型股票的集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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