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Do's and Don'ts in Real Estate

Do's and Don'ts in Real Estate

房地產行業的注意事項
sharecafe ·  2023/08/03 02:03

Recently, Sequoia Financial Group Investment Manager Winston Sammut spoke to us about property opportunities and pitfalls in the current economic climate.

最近,紅杉金融集團投資經理溫斯頓·薩穆特(Winston Sammut)向我們講述了當前經濟環境下的房地產機會和陷阱。

On the back of this, this article looks to expand on these points in depth, whilst highlighting the companies that fall within these sub sectors of the A-REIT market.

在此基礎上,本文希望深入探討這些觀點,同時重點介紹屬於A-REIT市場這些子領域的公司。

Currently, there are a lot of REITs yielding 6 and 7 per cent, and they are not in the traditional sectors of the Australian property market.

目前,有許多房地產投資信託基金的收益率分別爲6%和7%,它們不屬於澳大利亞房地產市場的傳統領域。

Non-traditional sub-sectors, childcare and seniors living (as opposed to the highly regulated aged-care sector), currently stands out as an opportunity/safe haven in the current environment.

非傳統子行業,即兒童保育和老年人生活(相對於高度監管的老年護理行業),目前在當前環境中脫穎而出,是機會/避風港。

Both of which are supported by government funding and capitalise on various trends currently presiding within the Australian population.

兩者都得到了政府資金的支持,並利用了澳大利亞人口中目前存在的各種趨勢。

In regard to childcare, Mr. Sammut notes that "if we are going to have more people go to work, the female workforce is going to be on demand, as it were, to go out and get work. That puts pressure on them to have children looked after."

在兒童保育方面,薩穆特先生指出:“如果我們要讓更多的人去工作,那麼女性勞動力將一如既往地被要求出去工作。這給他們施加了壓力,要求他們照顧孩子。”

Female participation in the workforce has risen 2% nationally over the last 5 years to 60.5%, whilst government funding has increased by 33% nationally over the last four years.

在過去的5年中,全國女性勞動力參與率增長了2%,達到60.5%,而在過去四年中,全國政府的資助增加了33%。

However, it is the actual owners of the bricks and mortars rather than the childcare operators that provide the 'safer' investment.

但是,提供 “更安全” 投資的是實體和迫擊炮的實際所有者,而不是托兒運營商。

They're triple net leases, meaning that the tenant agrees to pay the property expenses such as real estate taxes, building insurance, and maintenance in addition to rent and utilities.

它們是三重淨租約,這意味着租戶同意支付房產費用,例如房地產稅、建築保險和維護費用,以及租金和水電費。

Examples of these types of listed REITs are Charter Hall Social Infrastructure (ASX:CQE) and Arena REIT (ASX:ARF).

這些類型的上市房地產投資信託基金的例子包括Charter Hall社會基礎設施(ASX: CQE)和Arena REIT(ASX: ARF)。

With a particular focus on childcare education, Charter Hall Social Infrastructure is Australia's largest owner of early learning centres, actively partnering with 37 childcare operators to provide an integrated service offering.

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure 特別關注兒童保育教育,是澳大利亞最大的早期學習中心所有者,積極與 37 家托兒運營商合作,提供綜合服務。

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure's share price is currently trading at a 33% discount to their NTA per unit, whilst their dividend yield is 5.75%.

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure的股價目前的交易價格比每單位的NTA折扣了33%,而股息收益率爲5.75%。

Arena REIT has a massive exposure to childcare. Their portfolio consists of 271 social infrastructure properties, of which 246 are early learning centres.

Arena REIT在兒童保育領域有大量機會。他們的投資組合包括271處社會基礎設施物業,其中246處是早期學習中心。

The portfolio weighted average passing yield is 5.05% and the NTA per unit is $3.42.

投資組合加權平均合格收益率爲5.05%,每單位NTA爲3.42美元。

When assessing seniors living, which is not to be confused with aged care, which has a much more onerous set of regulations and is for people that require help with personal care or nursing care, seeks to capitalise on the growing ageing population within the country.

在評估活着的老年人時,不要將其與老年護理混爲一談,老年護理的法規要繁瑣得多,適用於在個人護理或護理方面需要幫助的人,目的是利用國內不斷增長的人口老齡化。

On 30 June 2020, approximately 4.2 million people (16% of Australia's total population) were aged 65 and over. By 2050, around one quarter of all Australians will be aged 65 years and over, with the proportion of younger Australians declining. In fact, the number of people aged 65 years and over will overtake the number of children aged 0 to 14 years by around 2025.

截至2020年6月30日,約有420萬人(佔澳大利亞總人口的16%)年齡在65歲及以上。到2050年,大約四分之一的澳大利亞人將達到65歲及以上,而年輕澳大利亞人的比例將下降。實際上,到2025年左右,65歲及以上的人數將超過0至14歲的兒童人數。

Listed REITs that have a heavy exposure to this sub sector include Lifestyle Communities (ASX:LIC) and Eureka Group Holdings (ASX:EGH).

在該子領域有大量風險敞口的上市房地產投資信託基金包括生活方式社區(ASX: LIC)和尤里卡集團控股公司(ASX: EGH)。

Lifestyle Communities' mission centred around owning the land that working, semi-retired and retired people can lease.

Lifestyle Communitions的使命是擁有在職、半退休和退休人員可以租賃的土地。

The Company's NTA per unit is $453.68 cents and they pay a dividend of $5.5 cents per unit.

該公司的每單位NTA爲453.68美分,他們支付的股息爲每單位5.5美分。

Eureka Group Holdings focuses on providing affordable rental accommodation for independent seniors within a comfortable community environment. Eureka owns 30 villages, 5 of which are owned in a joint venture and an additional 14 villages under management.

Eureka Group Holdings專注於在舒適的社區環境中爲獨立老年人提供負擔得起的出租住宿。尤里卡擁有30個村莊,其中5個由合資企業擁有,另外14個村莊由合資企業管理。

Eureka's NTA per unit is $41.5 cents, representing a 5.85% discount to the share price. The Company's dividend $0.67 cps.

Eureka的每單位NTA爲41.5美分,比股價折扣5.85%。該公司的股息爲每股0.67美元。

Another area of focus that has potential upside within the current economic climate is rural assets, "given that Australia is the food bowl of Asia," Mr. Sammut added.

薩穆特補充說,在當前的經濟環境下,另一個具有潛在上升空間的重點領域是農村資產,“因爲澳大利亞是亞洲的食物碗”。

Rural Funds Group (ASX:RFF) is the one that stands out the most.

農村基金集團 (ASX: RFF) 是最引人注目的集團。

In their half-year report, the NTA per unit was $2.08, representing a 5.05% discount to the current share price.

在他們的半年度報告中,每單位NTA爲2.08美元,比當前股價折扣5.05%。

The Company owns, develops and operates Australian farmland and agricultural infrastructure, in which they manage approximately $2.0 billion of agricultural assets on behalf of retail and institutional investors.

該公司擁有、開發和運營澳大利亞的農田和農業基礎設施,代表散戶和機構投資者管理約20億美元的農業資產。

Now shifting to the "Don'ts" of the Australian property sector, it is hard to go past commercial office buildings in this current climate.

現在轉向澳大利亞房地產行業的 “不該做什麼”,在當前的氣候下,很難超越商業辦公樓。

The issue with office spaces is twofold.

辦公空間的問題有兩個方面。

Firstly, there are increased costs to fund loans due to rising rates.

首先,由於利率上升,爲貸款提供資金的成本增加。

Secondly, the rise of remote work has reduced the number of people physically present in offices.

其次,遠程辦公的興起減少了實際在辦公室的人數。

As a result, there is a decline in demand for office space, putting pressure on office REITs to generate higher revenue from increased rentals, which is not occurring.

結果,對辦公空間的需求下降,這給辦公室房地產投資信託基金帶來了壓力,要求其通過增加的租金來創造更高的收入,而這種情況並沒有發生。

This situation is challenging for office REITs as their success relies on securing more income from office space rentals, but the work-from-home trend is hindering this growth.

對於辦公室房地產投資信託基金來說,這種情況具有挑戰性,因爲它們的成功取決於從辦公空間租賃中獲得更多收入,但是在家辦公的趨勢阻礙了這種增長。

Some of the bigger REITs by market cap have a significant exposure to this sector.

按市值計算,一些較大的房地產投資信託基金對該行業的敞口很大。

This includes Dexus (ASX:DXS), Charter Hall (ASX:CHC), and Centuria Office REIT (ASX:COF).

這包括Dexus (ASX: DXS)、Charter Hall (ASX: CHC) 和Centuria Office REIT (ASX: COF)。

About a month ago, Dexus downgraded the value of its diversified office portfolio by $1 billion.

大約一個月前,Dexus將其多元化辦公投資組合的價值下調了10億美元。

Dexus was a rare landlord that opted to sell one of its 26-storey office towers in the Sydney CBD for a significant loss.

Dexus是一位罕見的房東,他選擇以巨額虧損出售其位於悉尼中央商務區的一座26層高的辦公大樓。

Their NTA per security is $12.01, and they are currently trading at $8.18.

他們每隻證券的NTA爲12.01美元,目前的交易價格爲8.18美元。

Charter Hall has recently imposed a restriction on redemptions in the Charter Hall Direct PFA Fund, due to the fact that they are facing difficulty in selling its buildings at fair prices, weakness in the office sector due to increased demand for working-from-home and flexible workplace practices.

Charter Hall最近對Charter Hall Direct PFA基金的贖回施加了限制,因爲他們在以合理的價格出售其建築物方面面臨困難,辦公部門因對在家辦公的需求增加而疲軟以及靈活的工作場所做法。

The Company's recent office valuation has dipped by almost 4%.

該公司最近的辦公室估值下降了近4%。

Their NTA per security is $6.53, and their current share price is $11.10.

他們每隻證券的NTA爲6.53美元,目前的股價爲11.10美元。

Centuria Office REIT is Australia's largest pure-play office A-REIT and is included in the S&P/ASX300 Index.

Centuria Office REIT是澳大利亞最大的純辦公室A-REIT,被納入標準普爾/ASX300指數。

The Company has an NTA of $2.40 per unit, and the share price is currently trading at $1.47. The Company has a distribution yield of 8.8%.

該公司的NTA爲每單位2.40美元,目前的交易價格爲1.47美元。該公司的分銷收益率爲8.8%。

Another avenue for investment during high inflationary periods is non-discretionary sectors.

在高通脹時期,另一種投資渠道是非自由裁量行業。

Discretionary spending has been under pressure and is likely to continue given cost-of-living issues.

全權支出一直承受壓力,鑑於生活成本問題,這種壓力很可能會持續下去。

As a result, people are leaning towards spending more on essentials, like food, rather than non-essentials.

結果,人們傾向於在必需品(例如食物)上花更多的錢,而不是非必需品。

In the retail sector, focus remains on areas where purchases are necessary, such as supermarkets and petrol stations.

在零售業,重點仍然放在需要購買的領域,例如超市和加油站。

REITs that fall within this sector include Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR), Region Re (ASX:RGN), and RAM Essential Services Property Fund (ASX:REP), which also has exposure to healthcare.

屬於該領域的房地產投資信託基金包括Charter Hall零售房地產投資信託基金(ASX: CQR)、Region Re(ASX: RGN)和RAM Essential Services Property Fund(ASX: REP),後者也涉足醫療保健。

And on the other hand, the current climate puts pressure on discretionary sectors to perform.

另一方面,當前的氣候給自由裁量行業帶來了表現壓力。

Scentre Group (ASX:SCG) and Vicinity Centres (ASX:VCX) have a heavy exposure to this sub-sector.

Scentre集團(ASX: SCG)和鄰近中心(ASX: VCX)對該子行業的風險敞口很大。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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