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The One-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's (SHSE:600618 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 3.5% in Past Week

The One-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's (SHSE:600618 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 3.5% in Past Week

一年的收益下降無助於上海氯鹼化工(SHSE: 600618)的股價,因爲該股在過去一週又下跌了3.5%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/11 22:43

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) share price is down 23% in the last year. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 6.1%. On the bright side, the stock is actually up 8.1% in the last three years.

從上漲的市場中獲益的最簡單方式是購買指數基金。雖然個別股票可能是大贏家,但更多的股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。例如,上海氯鹼化工有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600618)去年股價下跌了23%。這與6.1%的市場跌幅形成了鮮明對比。從好的方面來看,這只股票實際上向上最近三年的8.1%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果以過去一週為標準,投資者對上海氯鹼化工的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在錯配。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical

查看我們對上海氯鹼化工的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Unfortunately Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical reported an EPS drop of 61% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 23% the share price fall. It may have been that the weak EPS was not as bad as some had feared.

不幸的是,上海氯鹼化工去年的每股收益下降了61%。每股收益的這次下跌比股價下跌23%的情況要糟糕得多。這可能是因為疲軟的每股收益並不像一些人擔心的那樣糟糕。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到EPS是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來了解確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600618 Earnings Per Share Growth August 12th 2023
上海證交所:2023年8月12日每股收益增長600618

Dive deeper into Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

通過查看上海氯鹼化工的收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,更深入地瞭解上海氯鹼化工的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical, it has a TSR of -20% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。以上海氯鹼化工為例,過去一年的TSR為-20%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical shareholders are down 20% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.1%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 5% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical .

我們遺憾地報告,上海氯鹼化工的股東全年下跌了20%(即使包括股息)。不幸的是,這比大盤6.1%的跌幅還要糟糕。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本面的發展。好的一面是,長期股東已經賺到了錢,過去五年的年回報率為5%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該意識到2個個警告標誌我們發現了上海氯鹼化工公司。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更願意看看另一家公司--一家財務狀況可能更好的公司--那麼不要錯過這一點免費已證明自己能夠實現盈利增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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