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Stock Market Slips Ahead Of Key Inflation Data, Fed Decision On Rates: The Bull, Bear Case

Stock Market Slips Ahead Of Key Inflation Data, Fed Decision On Rates: The Bull, Bear Case

在關鍵通脹數據公佈之前,股市下滑,美聯儲利率決定:牛市、熊市案例
Benzinga ·  2023/09/12 12:04

The SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) was slipping almost 0.5% on Tuesday ahead of Apple's highly-anticipated iPhone event, where one analyst expects to see the tech giant showcase a premium lineup of products.

這個SPDR標準普爾500指數(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:標普500ETF)週二在備受期待的蘋果手機發布會前下跌了近0.5%,一位分析師預計這家科技巨頭將在發布會上展示一系列高端產品。

Wednesday's key inflation report is weighing on investors who will be watching to see if consumer price index data shows inflation continued to creep higher in August after rising slightly in July. The economic data comes ahead of the Federal Reserve's next meeting, which takes place on Sept. 19 and Sept. 20, when the central bank will decide whether to hike interest rates or apply a pause.

週三的關鍵通脹報告令投資者承壓,他們將關注消費者價格指數數據是否顯示通脹在7月份小幅上升後,8月份繼續攀升。經濟數據先於美國聯盟儲備委員會下一次會議將於9月9日舉行。19日和9月1日。20日,央行將決定是加息還是暫停加息。

Some traders may sit on the sidelines until the report prints, while others may choose to place their bets on how the market will react when the data is released.

一些交易員可能會袖手旁觀,直到報告打印出來,而另一些交易員可能會選擇押注數據公佈後市場將如何反應。

More experienced traders who wish to play the SPY either bullishly or bearishly may choose to do so through one of two Direxion ETFs. Bullish traders can enter a short-term position in Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXL) and bearish traders can trade the inverse ETF, Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXS).

更有經驗的交易員如果希望看漲或看跌標普500ETF,可以選擇通過兩只Direxion ETF中的一隻來做到這一點。看漲的交易者可以進入短期頭寸,Direxion Daily標準普爾500指數牛市3倍股(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXL)和看跌的交易員可以交易反向ETF,Direxion Daily標準普爾500指數貝爾斯登3X股(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXS)。

The ETFs: SPXL and SPXS are triple leveraged funds that track the movement of the SPY, seeking a return of 300% or –300% on the return of the benchmark index over a single day.

ETF:SPXL和SPXS是跟蹤標普500ETF走勢的三重槓桿基金,尋求基準指數在一天內回報300%或-300%的回報。

It should be noted that leveraged ETFs are meant to be used as a trading vehicle as opposed to long-term investments.

應該指出的是,槓桿ETF旨在被用作一種交易工具,而不是長期投資。

The SPXS Chart: SPXS was trading slightly higher on Tuesday, inversely correlating to the movement of the SPY. SPXS's small rise was taking place on lower-than-average volume, which indicates a period of consolidation and lack of interest in the general market from investors ahead of CPI data.

SPXS圖表:週二,標準普爾500指數小幅走高,與標普500ETF指數的走勢呈負相關。SPXS的小幅上漲是在成交量低於平均水準的情況下發生的,這表明在CPI數據公佈之前,投資者對大盤缺乏興趣,處於盤整時期。

  • From a technical analysis perspective, the mostly sideways trading on lower-than-average volume, paired with the ETF's 18% jump higher between Sept. 1 and Monday, has settled SPXS into a bull flag pattern on the daily chart. The measured move of the formation suggests the fund could rise toward about $11.60 if SPXS breaks up from the bull flag on higher-than-average volume.
  • SPXS is also trading in an uptrend, making a series of higher highs and higher lows. The most recent higher high was formed on Monday at $10.63 and the most recent lower low was printed at the $9.81 mark on that same day.
  • If SPXS breaks up from the bull flag pattern, the ETF is likely to form another higher high to continue in its trend. On Tuesday, the ETF was also trading in an inside bar pattern, which leans bullish for continuation on Wednesday.
  • SPXS has resistance above at $11.11 and at $12.62 and support below at $9.54 and at $8.17.
  • 從技術分析的角度來看,ETF的交易量大多橫盤,交易量低於平均水準,同時該ETF在9月1日之間躍升了18%。1和週一,已使SPXS在日線圖上進入牛旗模式。這只基金的謹慎走勢表明,如果SPXS突破成交量高於平均水準的牛市,該基金可能會漲至約11.60美元。
  • SPXS也在上漲趨勢中交易,創造了一系列更高的高點和更高的低點。最近的較高高點是在週一形成的10.63美元,最近的較低低點是在同一天列印在9.81美元關口。
  • 如果SPXS脫離牛旗格局,ETF很可能形成另一個更高的高點,繼續其走勢。週二,該ETF也在以內桿模式交易,這種模式傾向於週三繼續看漲。
  • SPXS在11.11美元和12.62美元上方有阻力,在9.54美元和8.17美元下方有支撐。

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