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Here's Why Shenzhen Ecobeauty (SZSE:000010) Can Afford Some Debt

Here's Why Shenzhen Ecobeauty (SZSE:000010) Can Afford Some Debt

這就是爲什麼深圳生態美(深交所股票代碼:000010)可以負擔得起一些債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/15 19:41

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shenzhen Ecobeauty Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000010) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人說,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾說過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是深圳市生態美容有限公司(SZSE:000010)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務在什麼時候是危險的?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。當然,債務的好處是,它往往代表著廉價資本,特別是當它用能夠以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮一家公司的債務水準時,第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Ecobeauty

查看我們對深圳生態美容的最新分析

What Is Shenzhen Ecobeauty's Net Debt?

深圳生態美人的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Shenzhen Ecobeauty had CN¥202.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥137.2m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥14.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥187.4m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2023年6月,深圳生態美的債務為2.02億元人民幣,比一年前增加了1.372億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有1460萬加元的現金,導致淨債務約為1.874億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000010 Debt to Equity History September 15th 2023
深交所:000010債轉股歷史2023年9月15日

How Strong Is Shenzhen Ecobeauty's Balance Sheet?

深圳生態美人的資產負債表到底有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Ecobeauty had liabilities of CN¥2.62b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥61.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.6m in cash and CN¥2.29b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥372.5m.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,深圳生態美有26.2億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期,6160萬元的負債在一年內到期。作為抵消,它有1460萬加元的現金和22.9億加元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和3.725億元。

Given Shenzhen Ecobeauty has a market capitalization of CN¥3.68b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Ecobeauty will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

鑑於深圳生態美容的市值為36.8億元人民幣,很難相信這些債務會構成太大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控它的資產負債表,以免它變得更糟。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為深圳生態美容需要盈利來償還債務。因此,當考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看互動快照。

In the last year Shenzhen Ecobeauty had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 77%, to CN¥372m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,深圳生態美業息稅前虧損,收入縮水77%,至3.72億元。坦率地說,這不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

告誡買入者

While Shenzhen Ecobeauty's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥578m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥45m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Ecobeauty that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然深圳生態美人收入的下降令人心碎,但可以說,其息稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損就更沒有吸引力了。事實上,在息稅前利潤水準上,它損失了非常可觀的5.78億加元。當我們看到這一點,並回憶起資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,在我們看來,該公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認為資產負債表遠遠不能與之匹配,儘管隨著時間的推移,它可能會得到改善。另一個值得警惕的原因是,在過去的12個月裡,自由現金流為負4500萬元。因此,坦率地說,我們認為這是有風險的。在分析債務水準時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現深圳生態美容的一塊警示牌在這裡投資之前你應該意識到這一點。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,關注那些沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。你可以訪問我們的這類公司的特別名單(都有利潤增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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