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Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding (SGX:BWM) A Risky Investment?

Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding (SGX:BWM) A Risky Investment?

浙能錦江環境控股(新加坡證券交易所代碼:BWM)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/18 18:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding Company Limited (SGX:BWM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(Charlie Munger 支持他)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們想到一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡看看它對債務的使用,因爲債務超負荷會導致破產。我們注意到 浙能錦江環境控股有限公司 新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:BWM)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東們是否應該擔心其對債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding

查看我們對浙能錦江環境控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding Carry?

浙能錦江環境控股公司揹負多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding had CN¥11.3b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥379.4m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥10.9b.

下圖顯示,浙能錦江環境控股在2023年6月有113億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同,你可以點擊該圖表了解更多詳情。但是,由於其現金儲備爲3.794億元人民幣,因此其淨負債較少,約爲109億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:BWM Debt to Equity History September 18th 2023
新加坡證券交易所:BWM 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 9 月 18 日

How Healthy Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's Balance Sheet?

浙能錦江環境控股的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding had liabilities of CN¥5.74b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.64b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥379.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.25b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥10.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,浙能錦江環境控股在12個月內到期的負債爲57.4億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲86.4億元人民幣。抵消了這些債務,它有3.794億元人民幣的現金和價值32.5億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出108億元人民幣。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥1.56b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

這裏的缺陷使這家15.6億人民幣的公司本身承受着沉重的負擔,好像一個孩子在裝滿書籍、運動裝備和小號的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,毫無疑問,我們會密切關注它的資產負債表。畢竟,如果浙能錦江環境控股公司今天必須償還債權人,則可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.8, it's fair to say Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.6 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. However, one redeeming factor is that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding grew its EBIT at 17% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

由於淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲6.8,可以公平地說,浙能錦江環境控股確實有大量債務。但好消息是,它擁有相當令人欣慰的2.6倍利息保障,這表明它可以負責任地償還債務。但是,一個贖回因素是,浙能錦江環境控股的息稅前利潤在過去12個月中增長了17%,這增強了其處理債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,正是浙能錦江環境控股的收益將影響資產負債表未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收益趨勢。點擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,儘管稅務員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,浙能錦江環境控股公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地說,浙能錦江環境控股將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其保持在總負債之上的往績,都讓我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,它的息稅前利潤增長率是一個好兆頭,使我們更加樂觀。在考慮了所討論的數據點之後,我們認爲浙能錦江環境控股的債務太多了。儘管一些投資者喜歡這種冒險的遊戲,但這當然不是我們的理想之選。資產負債表顯然是你分析債務時要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現 浙能錦江環境控股的3個警告信號 在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這一點。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時候更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司身上。讀者可以訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單 100% 免費,現在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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